Mo Money Monday Matchups

[Randercity]

well... so far it hasn't been the case. Like many INTERLEAGUE was a downer... Think JACK was right by passing all week, such discipline.

Kudos to you MJ!

YTD: 26-27 - 7.15

Sides: 14-19 -10.85

Totals: 12-8 + 3.70
DOUBLES 3-7 -11.70

Run-Lines 2-0 + 2.15

[This message has been edited by Randercity (edited 06-18-2001).]

 

[Randercity]

Milw at CINCY

• MILW has only scored over 4 runs 4 times in last ten, averaging 4.3 rpg.
• CINC has lost 6 straight, averaging 4.5 rpg in last ten, while giving up 5.6 per game.
• CINCY has lost all four games started by REITH this year.
• REITH has pitched well at home, losing 2-1 and 2-0, giving up only 3 ER in 12 innings.
• MILW is 2-2 in LEVRAULT's 4 Road starts, but he hasn't been too bad. He's only averaging 4.83 Innings per outing, but other than giving up 8 ER in 3.33 against PHIL, he's allowed 15 hits, 4 ER in last 3 starts covering 16 innings.
• MILW is 6-17 in game one of a series.
• CINC is 7-24 at home this year.

So what's it all mean??? I'm not sure. I was leaning towards playing MILW with both starters being former relievers, they can't expect to go past six. That means, BULLPEN city, and both were used alot over the weekend. CINCY blew leads in losing two of the three losses to COLORADO, so their bullpen HAS to be in bad shape, physically, emotionally, and mentally. I think I'll wait for the UMPIRE REPORT and pass at this point.

 

[Aces High]

liked milw too, but would check total or pass like me. better games out there.
with line being a pk, books will even out on this play, see 50/50 shot for both teams.


------------------
ACES HIGH

 

[Randercity]

Montreal at NY METS

• UNDER is 6-0-1 in last seven meetings between these two.
• METS, even with the HUGE six run rally last nite in beating YANKS, are only 1-5 in their last 6 at home, but have averaged 5.5 RPG in last 10. Bats may be waking up...
• RUSCH is 4-1 against Montreal with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.392.
• RUSCH is 3-0 AT HOME against EXPOS with an ERA of 0.67 allowing 2 ER and 12 hits in 19 innings. All 3 games went under. This season RUSCH is 2-2 in five starts at home with an ERA of 2.57 and WHIP Of 1.357.
• Yoshii going on 3 days rest after getting knocked out in 1st inning against NYY in last start.
• MONT is 2-5 on the road against LEFTIES averaging only 3.57 RPG. Batting only .191 in last ten facing LH.

METS -135
METS -1.5 +150

METS should be on emotional high after HUGE win last nite, and that MO, should carry over today. Wouldn't normally lay 1.5 with a struggling METS lineup, but I think they may be warming up, and if RUSCH throws a "normal" game againt MON, I'll only need 4 runs.

Gonna wait and see who's umping tonite, may play the UNDER as well... if we get a HOMER UMP, may DOUBLE THESE plays as well.


[This message has been edited by Randercity (edited 06-18-2001).]

 

[Randercity]

Florida at ATLANTA

• Florida is 7-3 in last ten while ATL is 5-5
• OVER/Under is 5-5 for both in those ten
• UNDER is 6-0-1 in last seven meetings
• However, GLAVINE's last 3 starts have all gone OVER, as he's posted an ERA of 7.86
• Clement is 3-2 lifetime against BRAVES with a stellar 1.80 ERA, only once giving up more than 1 run, which was in his last start facing ATL.
• These two have faced each other twice this year, both times at FLA, splitting them 6-1 FLA and 5-3 ATL.
• CLEMENT: last 3 road starts, 8 ER, 22 hits in 20.66 innings, ERA of 3.48
• Glavine is 3-3 at home with 3.92 ERA
• FLA is 0-7 on Monday this year, ATL 5-2
• FLA is 2-3 on the road vs LH, being shutout TWICE, once each by Glavine and the BIG UNIT

FLA +140

I think the MARLINS are worth a look here with GLAVINE struggling and FLA on a 3 game win streak. No opinion on total...

 

[Randercity]

NY Yankees at DETROIT

• NYY is 11-3 in games started by CLEMENS this year, 4-2 on the ROAD.
• DET is 9-3 at home last 3 years VS NYY going 5-1 last year.
• DET is 4-5 in WEAVER's 9 home starts, but are 4-1 in last 5 with only loss to CWS 3-2.
• CLEMENS is 7-1 against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.119 since '96
• OVER is 6-0-1 in last seven at DET
• NYY is averaging 6.2 rpg over last 5 games

At this point, can't lay wood on NYY, would rather wait and see how they react to last nite's loss. HOWEVER, I do see some value in the OVER 8, although all 3 of WEAVER's starts vs YANKS have gone under. Gonna wait and see who's umping.

[This message has been edited by Randercity (edited 06-18-2001).]

 

[Randercity]

Toronto at BALTIMORE

• Toronto is 20-16 after a loss, 17-7 in the first game of a series, and 11-3 in Game 1 after a loss.
• The last meeting between these two last year, BALT DRUBBED the JAYS, 23-1
  
  Think they remember that game???
• Parris is 1-4 with 6.75 ERA on road this year.
• Ponson is 2-2 at home with 3.15 ERA, PONSON is 1-4 against TORONTO with an ERA of 7.6 and a WHIP of 1.544.
• TORONTO is 17-8 in games against BALTIMORE, including 7-6 AT BALT.
• UNDER is 6-2 in last 8 at Camden, and 4-1 overall in last five meetings between these two.

TORONTO +120
OVER 9.5 EVEN

These plays may be DOUBLED depending on HP UMP, but I see value in both right now.

 

[Cabo]

Love the METS,YANKS,and TOR. Im with you on
on those. Im personally going to hit HOU and
the METS heavy. Ill also play the Yanks and
Tor as well.
have a great evening..Cabo...

 

[Randercity]

Colorado at HOUSTON

• HOUSTON is 13-6 in games against COLORADO including 5-2 at home
• COL with Astacio starting is 0-3 in last 3 road starts giving up 21 hits, 12 runs in 18.33 innings.
• HOU w/REYNOLDS starting is 1-2 at home, he's given up 26 hits and 18 runs in 14.66 innings.
  
  HOWEVER, REYNOLDS is 5-0 against ROCKIES with an ERA of 2.7 and a WHIP of 1.338 including 2-1 win at COORS last time he faced them.
• Reynolds has been better lately though, going 2-1 with 3.18 ERA overall
• HOUSTON is 1-5 when playing on Monday this season, while ROCKIES are 2-3
• COLORADO is 22-14 after a win and 10-5 in the month of JUNE

HOUSTON -120

Still gotta go with STROS with REYNOLDS on the mound. He obviously has figured something out that others haven't given his success against them. ROCKIES on a roll, but that was CINCY. Astacio has done nothing lately to warrant backing him...

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

RANDERCITY, as usual, nice write-ups...

you HAD to bring up the Baltimore/toronto

23-1 fiasco, didn't you...?

 

[Randercity]

Chicago Cubs at ST LOUIS

• CUBS are 9-3 when Tapani starts, and also 9-3 in Game One after a win.
• ST LOUIS is 22-11 at home, and swept CWS this weekend, averaging almost 9 runs a game.
• Tapani is 2-2 lifetime vs STL with 5.45 ERA
• KILE's team is 5-5 in last ten vs CUBBIES, but he's won his last 3 at home in STL, giving the CUBS only 14 hits and 4 runs in 21 innings. Kile is 7-2 against CHI with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.292 since '96
• CUBS on the road only batting .238 vs RH, and are only 2-2 in last 4 on ROAD against RIGHTIES, scoring a measly 9 runs in those 4 games, for a 2.25 RPG average.
• ST LOUIS is 22-5 in home games against CHICAGO CUBS since '96 and 13-3 at STL in last 3 seasons.
• UNDER is 5-1 Kile's last 6 starts, and also 5-1 when Tapanis faces STL
• HOME team is 6-0 so far this year...

ST LOUIS -135

With KILE's ability to handle CUBS at home, Tapani's struggles in his last three, and the fact that this series has been dominated by the Home team, I see no other way to go... ST LOUIS will be without DREW, but the still seem to have enough O to win, as evidenced by the 26 runs they scored this weekend.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

FLORIDA 0-7 on MONDAYS....???

 

[Randercity]

Kansas City at CHICAGO WS

• CWS is 7-3 in Buehrle's last 10 starts, including 3-0 in the most recent.
• BUEHRLE is 3-2 at home this year, winning the last three while giving up 14 hits and 6 runs in 22.33 innings.
• BUEHRLE is also 3-0 in his last three with a minute ERA of
  
  0.38
• KC is 5-18 in game one of a series, while CWS is 10-12
• KANSAS CITY is 5-18 vs. left-handed starters this season, 15-25 after a loss this season overall.
• KC is also 1-8 on the road when facing a LEFTY
• CWS is 10-5 in June games this season, 21-13 when playing against a team with a losing record, and 4-1 when playing on Monday
• The UNDER is 21-10 when KC is on the road, and 1-3 in Durbin's last four starts
• UNDER is 9-1 in Buerhle's last 10 starts, 5-1 when Buerhle starts at home

UNDER seems to be the way to go tonite, just waiting on HP UMP before making a play. CWS is obviously a strong play, but I'm not inclined to lay -190 on a team that's not hitting. Obviously, can't go run-line either for same reason.

[This message has been edited by Randercity (edited 06-18-2001).]

 

[Randercity]

OFFICIAL PLAYS:

CIN UN 9.5 -120
METS -1.5 +150
METS -135 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
FLA +140
HOUSTON -120
ST LOUIS -135
DET OVER 8 -115
TOR +120
TOR OVER 9.5 EVEN ** DOUBLE PLAY **
CWS UN 8.5 -110

may post late game in a bit...

GLTA

 

[Randercity]

Seattle at OAKLAND

• SEATTLE is 11-3 after a loss, 12-3 in JUNE, 5-1 vs OAK this season, including sweeping the first series at OAK. SEA is also 18-4 within division, 37-9 at night, 26-7 on the road. SEA is also 4-0 on MONDAYS.
• IF SEA has a weakness, it's facing lefties where they are ONLY 10-6.
• HOWEVER, OAKLAND is only 3-7 at home vs LEFTY starter, 10-16 overall vs LH, 7-15 within division and 6-9 in JUNE.
• SEA is also 10-3 in MOYER's starts
• ZITO beat SEA in SEATTLE on April 3 5-1 for OAK's lone win this year vs Mariners
• ZITO has struggled at home this year, going 0-3 in five starts 8.33 ERA
• MARINERS average 6.7 rpg on the road, while OAK averages 4.5 at home, and have only scored over 4 runs, 3 times in last 10
  overall.
• UNDER is 19-9 with OAK at home, and 7-1-1 in last nine for OAK overall.
• UNDER is 3-1 when ZITO starts at home, and 4-1 in MOYER's last five starts.
• UNDER is 14-3 when wind blowing between 10-20 mph

SEATTLE -120

How can you NOT play SEA at this price??? I am on the MARINER TRAIN til it derails I think, I just hope it doesn't do it this week!

I'm still thinking of playing SEA on RUN-LINE considering OAK's ineptness vs LEFTIES and their lack of offense lately, and the numbers sure point to an UNDER. May have to try that too... we shall see, for now, just SEATTLE for me.

 

[Randercity]

5-5 on the night -1.30 Units.

Lose two totals by half run, CINCY gives away two runs with error in one of those. And it figures, BALT's bend-over-bullpen holds up when I go against them. Could have had a great nite, I was leaning to MILW, went UNDER (L) instead, had METS but played the RUN LINE (L) instead of UNDER (W), liked NYY, but played OVER (W), liked CWS passed, went UNDER (L). AND THEN, SEATTLE... I passed on UNDER again, another winner.

HOPE someone used this info to get a few winners, the information was there IF applied correctly!

Have a good nite!

 

[wigs]

wanted to thank you for taking the time to post that info, i did use it and appreciate it, will try to give more feedback, helped me pull the trigger on seattle under, let's get em tomorrow, i will try to post some relevant info!

 

[Randercity]

Thanks WIGS... glad I could help. I was wondering if any one was reading these, and thought I might stop wasting my time.

But since you used it to win, I'll continue as much as I can. Maybe not every game, but the ones I'm looking at anyway.

Good luck!

 

[thisisbad]

Another lurker, will try to add relevant info also, but i loved the writeups yesterday, and i've been looking for them today as well.
Thanks for all the info man