that I suck at interleague, didn't I?
freakin' minimal breaks for me Sunday (thank-you Wings)
mj's postages
--------------
5-4 -1.01
ml: 3-2 -0.01
rl: 0-2 -2.67
tot: 2-0 +1.67
I freakin' catch Buehrle on his worst game of the year, though he still left with a 3-1 lead (had the 1st5 but who GAF). Top BP men, Dotel and Danks, bury me late. I'm tempted to believe that the play was correct, but, HEY...when you freakin' lose you freakin' lose.
Dodgers, as well, had a decent 4-0 lead, early, on the visiting angels, but...NOOOO!...Billingsley has to be out of character and so does the, usually, stellar Dodgs' pen.
Home runlines are a curse.
I "almost" got what I exptected.
"Almost" is a word that could be decontructed to olbivion. I does us no good in this endeavour.
Wish I could I say I was up, regardless, having a decent red wings play, kc@Stl un, and the Reds, if nothing else, but my Lebron fantasies left me bleeding and, I suppose, I realize that the NBA has never been my forte and, despite having my best year in the same...it might be time to bail. I have a series play (good+) on Denver, but the Lakers at +179, for game #4, is tempting beyond the limits of discretion...someone give me a reason not to try this mother.
Final word, on non-BB shiite...give me the Penguins at +150 or better, in the Finals, and I will have no choice but to back these skeeters; Osgoode (Fleury, too, unfortunately) is overrated beyond belief and I just believe that Crosby and Malkin are way too in their prime to be denied this time around. +150...count me in. Wings finish it at home and we should see that...'Hawks steal one, there, and, perhaps, Penguins don't sweep (I'm a spectator, there, due to having Pens 1st3 games and a major (2) play(s) on the series that to see it end would be fine...'Canes take #4 and, as mentioned, that will only help a Penguins series price for the finale.
Enough of my disgruntled rage.
I gave back, Sunday, what I made Friday and Saturday, so my Monday beckons...Lebron 41 but, WTF...supporting cast is trivial. Coulda saved me.
Monday looks dynamic...thank Hendrix for the minimal interleague subsegment.
rays +100 3/3
---all offensive numbers are OPS which, IMO, is all one needs to look at (for O)...note...numbers are "day-olds"
rays .801 vs R
Clev .849 vs L
rays .833 on road
Injuns .697 home...quite stunning, but Tribe hitting much better on road, so far in '09
rays .881 last 7 days
Injuns .805 last 7 days
---we should all know what former 1st-pick Price did last season, not just in minimal regular season appearances (only 1 start), but his domination in the post-season. He is being hedgingly groomed--for some reason--but in his last Triple-A start he went 5 innings, NO HITS, and struck out 9. Rays want to compete this year and they will support his effort. Carmona has poor numbers vs&lately, though he is better at home. I'm not sold. Fausto is a shell of his former self. Price has dominant stuff. Carmona has not lasted long in most starts, '09, and the Injuns BP is reminiscent of last seasons hilarity. Rays pen has subsided, as well, but should still outperform the Tribe's. The 1st5 innings, that my current book won't open until 9 or 10am, looks even better than this goldmine. 6pm, est, start, so we should all have time to glorify in that option. I'd try the 1st5 even at -125, though I imagine I might get better than that.
tigers -126 2.52/2
---Justin has regained his form; last 5 starts should be clear indication of that. Needs some bullpen help, but the late men have been doing their job, for the most part. Justin has solid number vs, and good day numbers, though his road numbers are not immaculate. Does not concern me--he has clearly turned things around and the fading Royals should not intimidate. Meche has decent numbers and vs but his home numbers are sketchy, this year, and he just seems to be out of sorts in '09 in general. Would help if Leyrintz doesn't funk with the order, as he did yesterday, but Ordonez wlll be in there and only add to the potential mayhem. Verlander with an outisde chance at the Cy, if he keeps up what he has been doing--guy is (back to being) dominant and I think that the Tigers take this series seriously. Another that I think is even better for the 1st5 innings...Tigers pen is not as good as the Royals (even with Soria out) and I can't see KC scoring more than 2, maybe 3, off of Verlander for these 1st 5...my alarm is set, in particular, for this 1st5.
--det .760 vs R
--KC .755 vs R
--det .722 on road
--KC .795 home
--det .812 last 7 days
--KC .669 last 7 days
braves -136 2.04/1.5
--braves .772 vs L (prefer with or without Chipper)
--Sf .668 vs R (that's 30th, out of 30 teams)
--atl .772 on the road
--Sf .731 at home
--atl .679 last 7 days, though such does not include their pounding of my boys pen, with the 10-spot in a similar pitcher's park
--G-men .568 last 7 days (can't be much worse...see ya)
Vazquez has solid day numbers and has been great on the road. Lefty Sanchez has been good at home but has poor numbers vs in limited work. Braves can feel it...Chipper would help but Braves have done alright, lately, without #1.
Javier is having a breakout season, really.
under the 8 with a spectacular ump but I think I'll stick to the Javy backing.
astros -112 1.12/1
--Wandy is 2-0 with an 0.64 in 2 '09 meetings; 3-0 in 5 career meetings
--Harang is 0-2 with an 8.18 in 2 '09 meetings
Astros significantly prefer facing lefties, but they haven't minded facing Harang this season. Aaron is a majorly inconsistent SP, while Wandy has been solid all season long. Astros blankage at Rangers ballpark, yesterday, is a turn off, but their sticks are quite capable (especially Berkman, Lee and Tejada) while the Reds likely play minus key stick Votto once again (pinch-hit, but is (even) dizzier than I am).
--OPS vs R/L, H/A, and last 7 days slightly favours the Reds but Rodriguez has been much more consistent than Harang, and I think the 'Stros sticks will be confident coming in here, simply based on the fact that they have owned Aaron this season as well as some comments from several about how they feel that they will everytime than Wandy takes the hill.
Toughest of the bunch, but Rodriguez is a Cy-candidate with any type of better supporting cast, this year; major strides.
I'm in pretty good and, as mentioned, a couple of those 1st5 innings look even better to me (rays, tigers). Hendrix willing, I will save some face (and money) and regain the path to a potential birthday withdrawel (Wednesday, so I better have a good Monday).
May you slam the man.
GL
P.S.
Interested in some totals but am going to wait for some umpire info--seems to help, though it is not the be-all and end-all.
(my smoking might be, however).
won't you believe it, it's just my luck
NO RECESS!
freakin' minimal breaks for me Sunday (thank-you Wings)
mj's postages
--------------
5-4 -1.01
ml: 3-2 -0.01
rl: 0-2 -2.67
tot: 2-0 +1.67
I freakin' catch Buehrle on his worst game of the year, though he still left with a 3-1 lead (had the 1st5 but who GAF). Top BP men, Dotel and Danks, bury me late. I'm tempted to believe that the play was correct, but, HEY...when you freakin' lose you freakin' lose.
Dodgers, as well, had a decent 4-0 lead, early, on the visiting angels, but...NOOOO!...Billingsley has to be out of character and so does the, usually, stellar Dodgs' pen.
Home runlines are a curse.
I "almost" got what I exptected.
"Almost" is a word that could be decontructed to olbivion. I does us no good in this endeavour.
Wish I could I say I was up, regardless, having a decent red wings play, kc@Stl un, and the Reds, if nothing else, but my Lebron fantasies left me bleeding and, I suppose, I realize that the NBA has never been my forte and, despite having my best year in the same...it might be time to bail. I have a series play (good+) on Denver, but the Lakers at +179, for game #4, is tempting beyond the limits of discretion...someone give me a reason not to try this mother.
Final word, on non-BB shiite...give me the Penguins at +150 or better, in the Finals, and I will have no choice but to back these skeeters; Osgoode (Fleury, too, unfortunately) is overrated beyond belief and I just believe that Crosby and Malkin are way too in their prime to be denied this time around. +150...count me in. Wings finish it at home and we should see that...'Hawks steal one, there, and, perhaps, Penguins don't sweep (I'm a spectator, there, due to having Pens 1st3 games and a major (2) play(s) on the series that to see it end would be fine...'Canes take #4 and, as mentioned, that will only help a Penguins series price for the finale.
Enough of my disgruntled rage.
I gave back, Sunday, what I made Friday and Saturday, so my Monday beckons...Lebron 41 but, WTF...supporting cast is trivial. Coulda saved me.
Monday looks dynamic...thank Hendrix for the minimal interleague subsegment.
rays +100 3/3
---all offensive numbers are OPS which, IMO, is all one needs to look at (for O)...note...numbers are "day-olds"
rays .801 vs R
Clev .849 vs L
rays .833 on road
Injuns .697 home...quite stunning, but Tribe hitting much better on road, so far in '09
rays .881 last 7 days
Injuns .805 last 7 days
---we should all know what former 1st-pick Price did last season, not just in minimal regular season appearances (only 1 start), but his domination in the post-season. He is being hedgingly groomed--for some reason--but in his last Triple-A start he went 5 innings, NO HITS, and struck out 9. Rays want to compete this year and they will support his effort. Carmona has poor numbers vs&lately, though he is better at home. I'm not sold. Fausto is a shell of his former self. Price has dominant stuff. Carmona has not lasted long in most starts, '09, and the Injuns BP is reminiscent of last seasons hilarity. Rays pen has subsided, as well, but should still outperform the Tribe's. The 1st5 innings, that my current book won't open until 9 or 10am, looks even better than this goldmine. 6pm, est, start, so we should all have time to glorify in that option. I'd try the 1st5 even at -125, though I imagine I might get better than that.
tigers -126 2.52/2
---Justin has regained his form; last 5 starts should be clear indication of that. Needs some bullpen help, but the late men have been doing their job, for the most part. Justin has solid number vs, and good day numbers, though his road numbers are not immaculate. Does not concern me--he has clearly turned things around and the fading Royals should not intimidate. Meche has decent numbers and vs but his home numbers are sketchy, this year, and he just seems to be out of sorts in '09 in general. Would help if Leyrintz doesn't funk with the order, as he did yesterday, but Ordonez wlll be in there and only add to the potential mayhem. Verlander with an outisde chance at the Cy, if he keeps up what he has been doing--guy is (back to being) dominant and I think that the Tigers take this series seriously. Another that I think is even better for the 1st5 innings...Tigers pen is not as good as the Royals (even with Soria out) and I can't see KC scoring more than 2, maybe 3, off of Verlander for these 1st 5...my alarm is set, in particular, for this 1st5.
--det .760 vs R
--KC .755 vs R
--det .722 on road
--KC .795 home
--det .812 last 7 days
--KC .669 last 7 days
braves -136 2.04/1.5
--braves .772 vs L (prefer with or without Chipper)
--Sf .668 vs R (that's 30th, out of 30 teams)
--atl .772 on the road
--Sf .731 at home
--atl .679 last 7 days, though such does not include their pounding of my boys pen, with the 10-spot in a similar pitcher's park
--G-men .568 last 7 days (can't be much worse...see ya)
Vazquez has solid day numbers and has been great on the road. Lefty Sanchez has been good at home but has poor numbers vs in limited work. Braves can feel it...Chipper would help but Braves have done alright, lately, without #1.
Javier is having a breakout season, really.
under the 8 with a spectacular ump but I think I'll stick to the Javy backing.
astros -112 1.12/1
--Wandy is 2-0 with an 0.64 in 2 '09 meetings; 3-0 in 5 career meetings
--Harang is 0-2 with an 8.18 in 2 '09 meetings
Astros significantly prefer facing lefties, but they haven't minded facing Harang this season. Aaron is a majorly inconsistent SP, while Wandy has been solid all season long. Astros blankage at Rangers ballpark, yesterday, is a turn off, but their sticks are quite capable (especially Berkman, Lee and Tejada) while the Reds likely play minus key stick Votto once again (pinch-hit, but is (even) dizzier than I am).
--OPS vs R/L, H/A, and last 7 days slightly favours the Reds but Rodriguez has been much more consistent than Harang, and I think the 'Stros sticks will be confident coming in here, simply based on the fact that they have owned Aaron this season as well as some comments from several about how they feel that they will everytime than Wandy takes the hill.
Toughest of the bunch, but Rodriguez is a Cy-candidate with any type of better supporting cast, this year; major strides.
I'm in pretty good and, as mentioned, a couple of those 1st5 innings look even better to me (rays, tigers). Hendrix willing, I will save some face (and money) and regain the path to a potential birthday withdrawel (Wednesday, so I better have a good Monday).
May you slam the man.
GL
P.S.
Interested in some totals but am going to wait for some umpire info--seems to help, though it is not the be-all and end-all.
(my smoking might be, however).
won't you believe it, it's just my luck
NO RECESS!
