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Nick Douglas

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Apologies if I am being presumptuous...

Sens in a 4 in 6 spot I believe. Caps seem to have gotten their "big win" vs. Philly last game. Sens will win in all likelyhood but my personal recommendation if you love them is bet 1 unit on the moneyline to win 0.34 units.
 

Sam

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Ottawa -.5 -185

Liked them, but now with Kolzig out, who was my only concern, im on em.
 

trademaster

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Nick Douglas said:
Apologies if I am being presumptuous...

Sens in a 4 in 6 spot I believe. Caps seem to have gotten their "big win" vs. Philly last game. Sens will win in all likelyhood but my personal recommendation if you love them is bet 1 unit on the moneyline to win 0.34 units.


but whats the point of that...lets say 1 unit =$100 ...so your risking $100 to win $34...no offense but then its not worth it your just better off passing on that game IMHO:shrug: ...
 

Nick Douglas

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The point is to make money. Keeping your stake the same no matter what the price ensures that you won't kill your bankroll when a large favorite loses. If you think the Sens have value at -0.5 -200 on the road, then pk -295 pretty much has to have value as well.

Whether you bet 2.95 units to win 1 or 1 unit to win 0.34, the play still has to have value if it is to be played. If you bet large favorites by laying the juice, then you are kind of playing into the books hands by risking larger than normal stakes. Eventually all big faves lose so if you play that way you have to have a serious bankroll to be able to back yourself when you lose a few in a row.
 

trademaster

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thanks for the answer:)

btw playing BIG favs is SUICIDE IMHO but sometimes like tonight u just got to say fawk it...i usually never play anything over -160
 

Vicc Inzagio

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soy de Monterrey cabrones !!
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Nick Douglas said:
The point is to make money. Keeping your stake the same no matter what the price ensures that you won't kill your bankroll when a large favorite loses. If you think the Sens have value at -0.5 -200 on the road, then pk -295 pretty much has to have value as well.

Whether you bet 2.95 units to win 1 or 1 unit to win 0.34, the play still has to have value if it is to be played. If you bet large favorites by laying the juice, then you are kind of playing into the books hands by risking larger than normal stakes. Eventually all big faves lose so if you play that way you have to have a serious bankroll to be able to back yourself when you lose a few in a row.

that's a very good point Nick, agree with u a 100% ;)


vicc
 

RexBudler

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I am definate chalk player in NHL and MLB.....I have learned to pick my spots obviously....if done I def think a profit can be made....also I parlay alot of high chalks so that takes away some of the risk....I just have more confidence in betting on the better team.....its worked for me so far.....obviously its not for everyone and like Nick mentioned....you need to start of with a nice bankroll....sorry to clog up your thread Sam ;)
 

Sam

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not a problem rex, spinning my heels lately is clogging it up enough for myself.

but i do think i spot some beautys for tues
 
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