Nick Douglas said:Apologies if I am being presumptuous...
Sens in a 4 in 6 spot I believe. Caps seem to have gotten their "big win" vs. Philly last game. Sens will win in all likelyhood but my personal recommendation if you love them is bet 1 unit on the moneyline to win 0.34 units.
Nick Douglas said:The point is to make money. Keeping your stake the same no matter what the price ensures that you won't kill your bankroll when a large favorite loses. If you think the Sens have value at -0.5 -200 on the road, then pk -295 pretty much has to have value as well.
Whether you bet 2.95 units to win 1 or 1 unit to win 0.34, the play still has to have value if it is to be played. If you bet large favorites by laying the juice, then you are kind of playing into the books hands by risking larger than normal stakes. Eventually all big faves lose so if you play that way you have to have a serious bankroll to be able to back yourself when you lose a few in a row.
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