Yesterday 4-2
YTD 16-5-1
Today I am going with
CUBS -160
CHI WS -160
BOSTON RL -1.5 -160
LA DODGERS -185
BAL/OAK UNDER 8 -120
White Sox -160
Contreras in his last 3 games has a 3.04 ERA striking out 23 and walking 10.
Bonderman in his last 3 games has a 6.13 ERA striking out 8 and walking 5.
Contreras is averaging almost 7 innings per game in the 3 games, Bonderman meanwhile is only averaging around 5. That is a big stat in favor of the White Sox when both bullpens have been terrible of late.
A difference of .100 in batting averages of pitchers is too good to pass up. Contreras has faced this Detroit team 2 times this year, he just recently beat them with the White Sox at Cellular Park and earlier in the year he pitched a better game with the Yankees @ Detroit going 8 innings and only giving up 1 run. The amazing thing of this is all 2 times Contreras pitched he was against the same pitcher he faces in this game in Bonderman. Contreras was a -160 favorite in his recent White Sox game and now is down to a -115 favorite or lower at books because its on the road. He pitched better at Detroit then he did in Chicago and a lower line just makes me drool even more.
The White Sox's lineup makes it hard to bet on them but Bonderman is a pitcher that they can put runs on. After being swept in Chicago by Boston they welcome getting the heck outta there and on the road.
Boston RL -1.5 -160
Pedro pitched 2 games at the Skydome so far this year, he went 1-1. He did not give up much in runs and both times he faced Halladay which was great competition for him. This time he faces Lilly who in his last few games has been giving up the runs with a 4.58 ERA in his last 3 starts. The probable starting lineup of Boston is hitting .276 vs Lilly with 7 HR's. Toronto's probably lineup meanwhile is only hitting .239 with 6 HR's against Pedro. Usually after a sweep you expect a letdown game sometime after but I don't see it happening here. Both pitchers faced each other almost a week ago with Boston getting the win 5-4 in Boston. I think Boston's offense will do a little better against Lilly this time and Pedro should be better as well to get a win by 2 or more.
LA Dodgers ML -160
Perez is a great pitcher theres no doubt about that. The Dodgers just have not given the poor guy run support in a lot of starts. Perez in his last 3 games has an ERA of 0.83 compared to Kim's ERA of 5.79. This Dodgers lineup has not seen much of Kim except for Ventura (who better start at first) who is 5-6 vs Kim with 2 HR's and 5 RBI. The Expos lineup is only hitting .132 vs Perez with 0 HR's. As a team overall they are only hitting .239 against lefties in general. The Expos have no luck this season, they finally get Johnson back from injury and now he will probably be out for the season. The Dodgers might have questions offensively executing but they now finally face a team that is worse off. The Dodgers can put a few on Kim and Perez should have no problem facing this Expos lineup that is prone to lefties.
Balimore/Oakland UNDER 8 -120
2 pitchers here pitching very well of late, Lopez 1.89 ERA in last 3 and Hudson 2.75 ERA in last 3. Both lineups have not hit each pitcher well at all. Baltimore hitting .231 vs Hudson with 2 HR's and Oakland hitting .244 vs Lopez with 4 HR's. Palmeiro pretty much makes up most of the offense vs Hudson for Baltimore and the same can be said about Jermaine Dye against Lopez. Dye is still questionable to play Monday after hurting his thumb. The under on this looked good even without Dye questionable but if Dye doesn't play then it looks even better. Pitcher's park with 2 very good pitchers on the mound that have limited their respective opponents lineups over their careers. Can't go wrong with thinking under.
YTD 16-5-1
Today I am going with
CUBS -160
CHI WS -160
BOSTON RL -1.5 -160
LA DODGERS -185
BAL/OAK UNDER 8 -120
White Sox -160
Contreras in his last 3 games has a 3.04 ERA striking out 23 and walking 10.
Bonderman in his last 3 games has a 6.13 ERA striking out 8 and walking 5.
Contreras is averaging almost 7 innings per game in the 3 games, Bonderman meanwhile is only averaging around 5. That is a big stat in favor of the White Sox when both bullpens have been terrible of late.
A difference of .100 in batting averages of pitchers is too good to pass up. Contreras has faced this Detroit team 2 times this year, he just recently beat them with the White Sox at Cellular Park and earlier in the year he pitched a better game with the Yankees @ Detroit going 8 innings and only giving up 1 run. The amazing thing of this is all 2 times Contreras pitched he was against the same pitcher he faces in this game in Bonderman. Contreras was a -160 favorite in his recent White Sox game and now is down to a -115 favorite or lower at books because its on the road. He pitched better at Detroit then he did in Chicago and a lower line just makes me drool even more.
The White Sox's lineup makes it hard to bet on them but Bonderman is a pitcher that they can put runs on. After being swept in Chicago by Boston they welcome getting the heck outta there and on the road.
Boston RL -1.5 -160
Pedro pitched 2 games at the Skydome so far this year, he went 1-1. He did not give up much in runs and both times he faced Halladay which was great competition for him. This time he faces Lilly who in his last few games has been giving up the runs with a 4.58 ERA in his last 3 starts. The probable starting lineup of Boston is hitting .276 vs Lilly with 7 HR's. Toronto's probably lineup meanwhile is only hitting .239 with 6 HR's against Pedro. Usually after a sweep you expect a letdown game sometime after but I don't see it happening here. Both pitchers faced each other almost a week ago with Boston getting the win 5-4 in Boston. I think Boston's offense will do a little better against Lilly this time and Pedro should be better as well to get a win by 2 or more.
LA Dodgers ML -160
Perez is a great pitcher theres no doubt about that. The Dodgers just have not given the poor guy run support in a lot of starts. Perez in his last 3 games has an ERA of 0.83 compared to Kim's ERA of 5.79. This Dodgers lineup has not seen much of Kim except for Ventura (who better start at first) who is 5-6 vs Kim with 2 HR's and 5 RBI. The Expos lineup is only hitting .132 vs Perez with 0 HR's. As a team overall they are only hitting .239 against lefties in general. The Expos have no luck this season, they finally get Johnson back from injury and now he will probably be out for the season. The Dodgers might have questions offensively executing but they now finally face a team that is worse off. The Dodgers can put a few on Kim and Perez should have no problem facing this Expos lineup that is prone to lefties.
Balimore/Oakland UNDER 8 -120
2 pitchers here pitching very well of late, Lopez 1.89 ERA in last 3 and Hudson 2.75 ERA in last 3. Both lineups have not hit each pitcher well at all. Baltimore hitting .231 vs Hudson with 2 HR's and Oakland hitting .244 vs Lopez with 4 HR's. Palmeiro pretty much makes up most of the offense vs Hudson for Baltimore and the same can be said about Jermaine Dye against Lopez. Dye is still questionable to play Monday after hurting his thumb. The under on this looked good even without Dye questionable but if Dye doesn't play then it looks even better. Pitcher's park with 2 very good pitchers on the mound that have limited their respective opponents lineups over their careers. Can't go wrong with thinking under.
