Monday August 20th

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
Monday August 20th 2007

yesterday: 14-6 +15.32
August: 128-99 +68.56
ml 56-32 +45.03
rl 7-7 -0.36
totals 26-17 +6.4
parlays 39-43 +17.49
system picks 2-0 yesterday; 33-16 in August (67%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-1 yesterday; 36-24 in August (60%)

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

Fla 61% (-152)even
Cubs 58 (-133)even
atl 62 (-191)-4
wash 59 (+122)+13
Col 67 (-145)+7 RL 53 (+130)+9
mil 56 (+117)+9
Tor 61 (-142)+2
Balt 59 (-155)-2
Tb 59 (-104)+8
Min 65 (-140)+6
Cws 51 (-140)-8 kc 49 (+132)+5
nyy 66 (-139)+7 RL 53 (+116)+6

system totals

oak@Tor un9 72% (-121)+17
bost@Tb un9 73 (+100)+23


I have kicked ass for 2 straight weekends, now.
Went 3-0 on the moneyline, 0-2 on the runline, 3-1 on totals (shoulda been 4-0 'cept for the Nats bullpen, as predicted in my post) and made a killing on parlays (6-1) and IF's (2-2). I am hot and I wanna talk about it?
Played 4 IF plays. My record for picks by IF was
10-1 (only missed spot #6, that mets-Nats game under?woulda cleared 11.11 from a 0.5 unit play (made 2.0))
7-3 (lost 0.5 as the first pick (Fla -1.5) failed)
7-3 (lost 0.8 as Jays -1.5 failed)
6-4 (made 1.21 (from 0.84) as the first 3 came in; lost it, again, on the mets total)
--overall 30-11 on the picks (73%), though I only made:
1.91/2.64 = a 72% return on investment for my IF's (like hitting a -140 play (so close to an extra zero on that ROI)())
--point is I've been hitting an extremely high percentage of my picks?it's lasted for about 3 days now
Cleared about 35 units over the past 3 days.
It's a hell of a run.
Gonna enjoy it while it lasts, 'cuz it never does.

Nationals, Rockies, Twins and Yankees are system picks for Monday.
Also with value are the Brewers, D'Rays, and Royals if you feel bold (not).

Both totals look hot to me. I shall be on both.

Pulled another all-day'er (partly why yesterday's post was so packed) so my comments may be light on these plays.
Gonna try and at least look at team totals.

Will post what's played. Will smile when paid.
GL
 
Last edited:

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
some possible team totals
(w/relative system numbers; + for overs, etc.)

atl ov5.5 -125 (+10)might be better than runline as hot Reds sticks might score two off of Wickman in the 9th to lose 6-5.

nats ov4.5 -105 (+8)Jennings has become serious fade material; Nat's 7-day OPS actually over .700 for a change (they'll be hitting in a hitter's park for a change)

Rockies ov5.5 -115 (+14)Morris with horrible career numbers at Coors, and he sucks currently; Rocks will be glad to get back home and away from pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium

brewers ov4.5 -120 (+7)Brew-Crew still tops in the NL vs lefties

oak un4 -125 (-12)Marcum looks fantastic...on paper...watching him I don't know how he does it (no blazing fastball or anything...more like a Dan Haren or John Lackey); A's OPS vs R near a lowly .720
Jays un4.5 -105 (-8)Blanton 1 beauty vs Jays already in '07, and Jays continue to not produce vs righties, even at home

bost un4.5 -115 (-12)Kazmir is hotter than Led Zeppelin in the 70's and he has great numbers vs the Bosox, including stellar work in '07; Bosox production down, a little, and they'll be away from faithful Fenway for this fiesta; looks excellent
Tb un4.5 -115 (-8)speaking of good numbers vs opponent's...Wakefield's are superb vs D'Rays career (18-2) and spectacular from '07 (3-0, 2.21 era); he OWNS the D'Rays; I'm still taking a shot on the 'Rays so I won't touch this team total, but D'Rays really struggling vs righties right now (same as Jays, just the Jays are getting some pitching--particular difference is in the bullpen, but the D'Rays pen saved the day Sunday...enough...begone foul digression...())
--game total under looks sweet

seat un4.5 -135 (-7)I like the Twins, which weren't much more expensive, and the M's bats are kinda hot right now so this is risky at the price...this is the Metrodome after all; Garza does look hot though, doesn't he? and solid Twins pen is probably the main thing keeping them alive right now in any races

Cws un4.5 -115 (-8)Chisox 7-day OPS under .700; their season OPS is damn near .700 for crying out loud; still too risky as Chisox bats sometimes explode and might returning home here

nyy ov5 -115 (+13)Moseley not rated too high right now, in my books, and Yanks OPS vs R is over .850; decent total in a fairly even park for a team gauranteed 27 outs...Angels bullpen has been used a lot over the past 3-4 days so they likely want at least 5 or 6 from Moseley...Yanks likely to score 4 or 5 in the first 5 or 6 innings alone


That's the best of them
Likely my final word before posting picks.

:SIB
 

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
Don't give me that do goody-good bullshit

Don't give me that do goody-good bullshit

PLAYS

system picks

nationals +122 2/2.44
Rockies -145 5.8/4
Twins -140 4.2/3
yankees -139 4.17/3

other picks

brewers +117 2/2.34
Blue Jays -142 2.13/1.5
Devil Rays -104 2.08/2

totals

oak@Tor un9 -125 1.5/1.2
bost@Tb un9 +100 2.5/2.5

9-team IF bet
1.braves -1.5 0.84/0.7
2.Rockies -1.5 0.6/0.75
3.Twins 0.75/0.5
4.a's under4 0.75/0.6
5.O's -1.5 0.5/0.65
6.bost-Tb un9 1.1/1
7.brewers over4.5 0.9/0.75
8.yankees 1.5/1
9.nationals 0.8/0.92
0.84 to win max.6.87

9-team IF bet
1.bosox under4.5 0.8/0.7
2.yankees -1.5 0.6/0.63
3.nationals 0.6/0.69
4.Twins 0.9/0.6
5.Rockies -1.5 0.6/0.75
6.Jays 1.24/0.8
7.braves -1.5 0.9/0.75
8.brewers 0.8/0.84
9.royals 0.6/0.78
0.8 to win max.6.54

9-team IF bet
1.yankees over5 0.8/0.7
2.D'Rays 0.55/0.5
3.brewers 0.6/0.63
4.Rockies 0.75/0.5
5.nationals 0.8/0.92
6.Twins 1.2/0.8
7.Jays 1.55/1
8.braves -1.5 1.2/1
9.royals 0.5/0.65
0.8 to win max.6.7


Looks good to stop there.
Going to continue to trust system numbers as they've been doing it for me.
Be thrilled with a 3-1 for system picks, especially if that includes the Rockies.
Time will surely tell.
GL
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top