I agree. I think Memphis are confident about themselves.
Battier has not been shooting the ball too well lately and he is gonna get out of the slump. Also they have beaten good teams so that shows that they are capable of playing well. I am sure they wanna repeat 2 in a row against LAL.
LAL on the other hand must be a bit demoralized after what happened in Chicago. Shaq gone leaves a big hole in the middle which Gasol can exploit. Have watched his game and he sure is talented and remains very cool.
Jason Williams tends to play good against good teams and he knows Lakers playing style well.
All in all i think Memphis shud be able to cover +10.5 spread.
Best of Luck
Cheers
Spock