Monday Madness

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Monday Madness

The next few days in baseball will feature fantastic series in each league involving playoff teams. Whether it's for the division lead, or trying to get that extra step on the team ahead of you in the Wild Card race, Monday's slate is a great one for the gambler. The AL East-leading Yankees head south to battle the reigning AL Champion Rays, which will highlight this edition of Monday Madness.

Yankees at Rays (7:10 PM EST)

The scorching-hot Bronx Bombers are slowly taking control of the AL East, winning 22 of their last 28 games, heading into Tropicana Field. The Yankees lead the Red Sox by 2 ? games, and the Rays by 6 ? games inside the division heading into Monday's action . The Rays have endured plenty of cardiac finishes since the All-Star Break, going 6-4. Tampa Bay rallied in all three wins at Kansas City, while forging comebacks at Chicago and Toronto in the final innings. The only black eye on the road trip was the perfect game tossed by Mark Buehrle on Thursday, 6-0.

James Shields (6-6, 3.70 ERA) takes the mound for the Rays, as his numbers have been less than stellar against the Yankees. Tampa Bay is 1-7 in Shields' eight career starts versus the Bombers, but just to limit the numbers to when the Rays were finally relevant (last year), the Rays are 1-2. In 2008, Shields went eight scoreless innings in a 7-1 pounding of the Yanks in the Bronx, while compiling a pair of starts in which he allowed four earned runs, but lost.

Shields has always been known as nothing less than dominant at home, but the Rays are 7-4 in his 11 starts at the Trop this season, compared to a 14-3 mark in '08.





A.J. Burnett (9-4, 3.74 ERA) has been on fire recently, going 4-0 in his last five decisions. Each of those outings were quality ones, and all five of them finished 'under' the total. In fact, Burnett's last five road starts have all gone 'under' the total, dating back to the middle of May. Burnett's numbers against Tampa Bay aren't spectacular, going 3-6 dating back to the start of 2007 as a member of the Blue Jays. The right-hander did strike out at least eight batters in seven of those starts, but lost by one run on four occasions.

The two teams have split the eight meetings this season, but the road team has won five times.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants has listed the Yankees as a short road favorite at $1.15, with the total set at 8 ?.

Dodgers at Cardinals (7:10 PM EST)

Two of the National League's best meet up for the first time in 2009, as the Cardinals continue to run the gauntlet, after dropping two of three at Philadelphia. The Dodgers, meanwhile, are on cruise control inside the NL West, while owning the best record in baseball. Busch Stadium should be an electric atmosphere, not only showcasing Albert Pujols and Manny Ramirez, but also the home debut of recently acquired Matt Holliday.

Chris Carpenter (8-3, 2.26 ERA) looks to rebound after the Cardinals bullpen blew a chance at his ninth win of the season. St. Louis squandered a 3-2 lead at Houston, only to allow the Astros to score two runs in the final inning to pull off a three-game sweep. Carpenter's home numbers are fantastic, compiling a 4-1 mark, with an ERA of 1.85, allowing one run or less in four starts. Due to Carpenter's dominance at Busch, the 'under' has cashed in four of five home outings.

Randy Wolf (5-4, 3.45 ERA) is the perfect pitcher to try and slow down this Cardinals attack. St. Louis ranks second-to-last in the league against left-handed pitching, batting just .229. The Dodgers southpaw owns a solid 4-2 road mark, and is fresh off five straight quality starts. There has been a bit of inconsistency lately with Wolf, as the Dodgers have alternated wins and losses in his last seven starts, coming off a victory over the Reds his last time out.

The Cardinals are 8-2 the last ten meetings at Busch Stadium, and 14-5 the last 19 overall against the Dodgers.

The Cards are a $1.55 home favorite according to LVSC, with the total listed at 7 ?.

Astros at Cubs (8:05 PM EST)

The Cubs are slowly coming alive at the right time, winning eight of ten games since the All-Star Break, to move into first place inside the NL Central. The Astros, meanwhile, were looking good after sweeping the Cardinals, but then dropped two of three to the woeful Mets at home.

Lou Piniella gives the ball to the man that no-hit the Astros last season, Carlos Zambrano. The Cubs fiery right-hander (7-4, 3.48 ERA) has won his last three starts, including a victory over the Phillies last Thursday. Zambrano picked up a no-decision in a 2-1 loss in his previous outing against the Astros in Houston on June 10, scattering three hits and one run in eight innings of work.

The hurler on the opposite side of that pitcher's duel in mid-June takes the mound Monday, Wandy Rodriguez. The Astros southpaw (10-6, 2.72 ERA), who has been known to struggle on the road throughout his career, is 5-4 away from Houston this season. Rodriguez has decent career numbers against the Cubs, but two horrible outings at Wrigley Field have derailed a nice run. Rodriguez's July is nothing short of spectacular, winning all four starts, while allowing two earned runs.

The Cubs have captured six of ten meetings this season, despite only two of those games being played at Wrigley Field. LVSC has installed the Cubs as a $1.40 home 'chalk.'

Tigers at Rangers (8:05 PM EST)

Detroit looks to continue its winning ways, as they head south to Arlington, to take on the Rangers. Texas is coming off a series victory at Kansas City, despite losing starter Kevin Millwood to flu-like symptoms in Sunday's win.

The Tigers will send out disappointing right-hander Armando Galarraga (5-8, 4.82 ERA) to the mound. Galarraga was fantastic last season, putting together a 13-7 campaign, with an ERA of 3.73. This season has been a much different story, with the Tigers winning eight of his 19 starts. Nighttime is the worst time to back Galarraga, as Detroit is just 2-11 when the righty gets the ball after the sun goes down. Galarraga is 2-0 in his career against the Rangers, with the Tigers averaging 13 runs/start.

Tommy Hunter (2-1, 2.17 ERA) has turned into a nice addition to the Texas rotation. The Rangers righty is coming off a solid start against the Red Sox, beating Boston by allowing four hits and one run in six innings of work. Hunter has struck out only 15 batters in five starts, but has allowed just seven earned runs in this stretch.

The 'under' has hit consistently with each of these pitchers. Galarraga has nailed the 'under' in seven of eight road starts, while Hunter has finished 'under' in all five of his starts.

The Rangers are a $1.30 favorites, with the total set at 10, according to LVSC.
 

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Late Night Wagers

Late Night Wagers

Late Night Wagers


Monday?s busy slate in baseball winds up with three late games. Two of those tilts have something to do with playoff implications as the pennant chases start to heat up. San Francisco looks to keep relevant in the race for the National League Wild Card. Meanwhile, the Angels will try to cushion their lead in the American League West.

Indians at Angels ? 10:05 p.m. EDT

Things haven?t gone the way that the Indians thought they might this season. Not to say that any team really expects to be in last place?well, any team not named the Pirates. Despite the lackluster campaign, Cleveland has won four of its last five games this season.

The Tribe are going to see if Carl Pavano (8-8, 5.48 ERA) can let the good times roll. Pavano hasn?t had a good run in his last seven starts, winning on just two of those occasions. This slump has effectively eliminated any thoughts of backing the former Marlins? because of the value you get on him as a road underdog.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants has opened the line for this contest with the Angels as $1.65 home favorites (risk $165 to win $100) with a total of 9 ?.

Where Pavano hasn?t been a winner for bettors, Joe Saunders (8-6, 4.94 ERA) has kept people cashing in at the window. The Halos? southpaw hasn?t picked up a winning decision since June 24, but the club is 6-2 in his last eight starts.


Gamblers would certainly be within their right to back the Indians here as they?re 8-6 against left-handed pitching on the road. That logic holds up until you realize that Los Angeles is 6-2 on the first day of the work week; Cleveland has a case of the ?Mondays? with a 3-6 mark.

Total wise, you can count on the ?over? here as it is 31-17 for the Tribe on the road this season. That number makes a lot of sense as Cleveland is hitting .247 at Progressive Field for the year, but .271 on the road.

Pirates at Giants ? 10:15 p.m. EDT

Consistency has been a problem for the Pirates recently as they?ve dropped five of their last eight games. I guess that is a good run considering the Wal-Mart mentality of their front office.

Luckily for the Pittsburgh, that hasn?t been the case with Paul Maholm (6-4, 4.63 ERA) toeing the slab. The Bucs boast a 4-1 mark in Maholm?s last five starts this season. Bettors have enjoyed backing Maholm when he?s starting away from PNC Park as he?s 5-2 in his last seven road starts this season.

San Francisco is only one game behind the Rockies for the NL Wild Card. However, they should consider themselves lucky that they?re that close after dropping seven of its last 10 tests this year.

You would like to believe that things change with defending NL Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum (10-3, 2.45 ERA) taking the mound, but that?s not the case. Lincecum has lost his last two starts this season, giving up four earned runs last Wednesday at Atlanta.

It?s good for the Giants that their ace is pitching at home for this battle. That?s because Lincecum is 5-1with a 2.44 earned run average in his nine starts at AT&T Park in 2009. The good feelings must be tempered by the fact that he is 0-1 with a 4.85 ERA in two career starts against the Pirates.

Despite so-so numbers against the Bucs with Lincecum on the bump, San Francisco is still listed as a heavy $2.20 home ?chalk? with a minuscule total of seven by most betting shops.

The public might wonder why San Fran is such a huge favorite when the Pirates are 16-5 in the last 21 head-to-head meetings. But the trends give the edge to the Giants for the first game of this series.

Pittsburgh is 13-23 against right-handers on the road this season. The Giants, on the other hand, are 7-2 against southpaws at home this season?winning all five night games against lefties as well.
 

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TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT
Team Total Home Away Streak
Arizona Diamondbacks 48 - 46 33 - 20 15 - 26 Under-2
Atlanta Braves 41 - 54 20 - 27 21 - 27 Over-1
Baltimore Orioles 45 - 47 19 - 26 26 - 21 Under-1
Boston Red Sox 36 - 52 16 - 27 20 - 25 Under-1
Chicago Cubs 41 - 52 22 - 26 19 - 26 Under-2
Chicago White Sox 39 - 60 16 - 36 23 - 24 Under-8
Cincinnati Reds 40 - 52 20 - 21 20 - 31 Under-2
Cleveland Indians 51 - 45 19 - 28 32 - 17 Over-3
Colorado Rockies 46 - 49 25 - 21 21 - 28 Under-1
Detroit Tigers 35 - 60 19 - 27 16 - 33 Under-6
Florida Marlins 47 - 46 27 - 19 20 - 27 Over-1
Houston Astros 41 - 51 21 - 28 20 - 23 Over-3
Kansas City Royals 41 - 50 27 - 24 14 - 26 Under-1
Los Angeles Angels 55 - 37 28 - 18 27 - 19 Over-7
Los Angeles Dodgers 49 - 44 23 - 25 26 - 19 Over-1
Milwaukee Brewers 48 - 46 21 - 26 27 - 20 Over-1
Minnesota Twins 44 - 50 28 - 18 16 - 32 Over-5
New York Mets 43 - 49 20 - 24 23 - 25 Over-3
New York Yankees 47 - 45 25 - 23 22 - 22 Over-1
Oakland Athletics 44 - 52 21 - 26 23 - 26 Over-1
Philadelphia Phillies 45 - 45 22 - 27 23 - 18 Over-2
Pittsburgh Pirates 41 - 53 16 - 27 25 - 26 Under-2
San Diego Padres 47 - 49 21 - 26 26 - 23 Under-1
San Francisco Giants 43 - 48 22 - 20 21 - 28 Under-1
Seattle Mariners 39 - 58 20 - 25 19 - 33 Over-3
St. Louis Cardinals 42 - 51 17 - 28 25 - 23 Over-2
Tampa Bay Rays 43 - 53 23 - 20 20 - 33 Under-1
Texas Rangers 33 - 60 16 - 33 17 - 27 Under-1
Toronto Blue Jays 45 - 51 22 - 27 23 - 24 Under-1
Washington Nationals 43 - 51 22 - 30 21 - 21 Under-1
 

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MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT
UMPIRE AVG RUNS GAMES UNDER OVER K/GAME BB/GAME K/BB
ADRIAN JOHNSON 9.69 16 4 9 11.6 7.9 1.5
ALFONSO MARQUEZ 10.00 2 1 1 14.5 7.5 1.9
ANDY FLETCHER 6.53 15 12 2 14.9 8.6 1.7
ANGEL CAMPOS 7.92 12 8 4 15.9 5.9 2.7
ANGEL HERNANDEZ 10.38 16 6 9 12.9 7.8 1.7
BILL HOHN 8.43 14 7 6 13.1 6.0 2.2
BILL MILLER 8.94 16 10 5 16.4 5.9 2.8
BILL WELKE 10.13 15 7 7 14.8 5.7 2.6
BOB DAVIDSON 9.69 13 4 8 13.7 6.8 2.0
BRIAN GORMAN 6.80 15 11 3 15.0 6.5 2.3
BRIAN KNIGHT 8.94 17 9 7 13.5 6.6 2.0
BRIAN O'NORA 7.47 15 8 6 13.3 6.2 2.2
BRIAN RUNGE 8.64 14 8 4 13.3 6.5 2.0
BRUCE DRECKMAN 9.25 12 4 7 11.2 7.0 1.6
BUCKNOR 9.19 16 8 8 13.1 7.6 1.7
CASEY MOSER 4.00 2 2 0 12.5 4.0 3.1
CHAD FAIRCHILD 8.57 14 9 5 15.1 6.4 2.4
CHARLIE RELIFORD 7.93 15 10 5 13.7 5.2 2.6
CHRIS GUCCIONE 8.53 17 9 7 14.3 7.1 2.0
CHRIS TILLER 6.00 2 2 0 11.0 7.0 1.6
CHUCK MERIWETHER 9.71 14 6 8 13.6 7.2 1.9
DALE SCOTT 10.00 16 5 10 13.7 5.9 2.3
DAMIEN BEAL 9.50 2 1 1 14.5 5.0 2.9
DAN BELLINO 4.67 3 3 0 16.7 3.3 5.0
DAN IASSOGNA 10.80 15 7 8 13.2 6.8 1.9
DANA DEMUTH 9.67 15 8 7 13.4 6.7 2.0
DELFIN COLON 7.33 3 2 0 12.0 4.7 2.6
DERRYL COUSINS 8.81 16 8 7 12.6 7.9 1.6
DOUG EDDINGS 9.75 16 6 10 14.9 5.9 2.5
ED HICKOX 14.33 3 2 1 10.7 10.0 1.1
ED MONTAGUE 11.80 5 1 4 14.4 6.8 2.1
ED RAPUANO 9.69 16 6 9 13.6 7.5 1.8
ERIC COOPER 10.71 17 5 12 14.5 7.0 2.1
FIELDIN CULBRETH 7.71 14 10 3 13.4 7.8 1.7
GARY CEDERSTROM 9.50 12 7 5 14.3 6.4 2.2
GARY DARLING 8.18 11 7 4 13.5 5.5 2.5
GERRY DAVIS 11.00 16 6 7 12.7 7.8 1.6
GREG GIBSON 11.22 9 3 6 10.7 7.2 1.5
HUNTER WENDELSTEDT10.06 17 7 10 13 9 7.3 1.9
JAMES HOYE 9.67 18 11 6 11.8 7.8 1.5
JEFF KELLOGG 7.65 17 11 6 13.2 8.4 1.6
JEFF NELSON 10.33 15 6 8 12.6 7.3 1.7
JERRY CRAWFORD 11.57 14 6 7 14.9 9.1 1.6
JERRY LAYNE 8.60 15 7 7 15.0 7.0 2.1
JERRY MEALS 9.47 15 5 9 14.9 7.5 2.0
JIM JOYCE 9.00 15 8 7 14.7 8.9 1.7
JIM REYNOLDS 9.18 11 4 7 14.1 8.0 1.8
JIM WOLF 9.80 15 7 7 13.9 7.1 2.0
JOE WEST 8.81 16 8 7 13.3 7.4 1.8
JOHN HIRSCHBECK 9.13 16 10 6 13.9 6.4 2.2
KERWIN DANLEY 8.50 4 2 2 13.5 6.5 2.1
KEVIN CAUSEY 3.00 1 1 0 12.0 5.0 2.4
LANCE BARKSDALE 9.87 15 6 9 11.5 7.6 1.5
LARRY VANOVER 8.64 14 6 7 12.1 6.9 1.7
LAZ DIAZ 10.57 14 5 8 13.1 6.6 2.0
MARK CARLSON 9.08 13 8 5 13.8 7.8 1.8
MARK WEGNER 9.75 16 8 8 13.4 6.6 2.0
MARTY FOSTER 9.07 14 7 6 13.6 6.6 2.1
MARVIN HUDSON 7.75 16 8 8 15.3 7.1 2.1
MIKE DIMURO 9.00 14 6 8 14.9 6.6 2.2
MIKE ESTABROOK 8.33 6 3 3 13.2 3.8 3.4
MIKE EVERITT 10.40 15 5 10 12.5 7.5 1.7
MIKE MUCHLINSKI 8.00 2 1 0 14.5 8.5 1.7
MIKE REILLY 9.80 15 6 9 14.7 8.4 1.7
MIKE WINTERS 10.43 14 6 8 12.6 5.8 2.2
PAUL EMMEL 9.23 13 7 5 12.5 7.5 1.7
PAUL NAUERT 9.56 16 7 9 15.1 6.4 2.3
PAUL SCHRIEBER 9.94 16 6 6 14.6 8.6 1.7
PHIL CUZZI 9.19 16 9 6 15.2 7.7 2.0
RANDY MARSH 9.80 15 5 9 12.0 8.7 1.4
REYBURN 6.33 3 2 1 10.7 2.3 4.6
ROB DRAKE 9.22 18 9 9 14.9 5.9 2.5
RON KULPA 9.17 6 4 2 15.7 7.0 2.2
SAM HOLBROOK 8.64 14 8 6 14.4 7.1 2.0
SCOTT BARRY 7.13 16 12 4 12.9 6.7 1.9
TED BARRETT 9.13 15 8 6 12.5 7.0 1.8
TIM MCCLELLAND 12.38 16 3 10 13.6 8.3 1.6
TIM TIMMONS 10.53 17 7 8 13.7 7.5 1.8
TIM TSCHIDA 10.33 15 7 8 13.3 8.3 1.6
TIM WELKE 10.67 15 7 8 13.5 7.9 1.7
TODD TICHENOR 8.57 14 8 6 12.6 7.7 1.6
TOM HALLION 8.69 16 6 9 12.8 6.9 1.8
TONY RANDAZZO 7.89 18 10 7 12.3 5.1 2.4
WALLY BELL 9.38 16 9 6 14.2 7.3 1.9
 

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Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets

Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets

Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals -172

This one could come down to a battle of the bullpens and, if this is the case, it?s advantage: Dodgers.


The battle of starters between Randy Wolf of the Dodgers and the resurgent Chris Carpenter of the Cardinals is closer than it appears on paper, but Carpenter gives the edge to the Cardinals.


Even so, the Busch Stadium hopeful had better pray that they get Carpenter?s best stuff. Otherwise, it could be another long night.


The Cardinals return home having lost five of seven in their recent road swing, and new addition Matt Holliday hasn?t been enough to overcome season-long woes from their relief pitchers.


In losing two of three to the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend, the St. Louis bullpen gave up 21 earned runs for an ERA of 7.66. For the season, they have a bullpen ERA of 4.18, which is 21st in the majors.


The Dodgers, who won six of eight on their recent home stand, have had one of the league?s most effective bullpens. Their 3.24 bullpen ERA ranks second in the majors.


The price here provides enough value to back the team with the best record in the majors.



Pick: Dodgers.



Colorado Rockies at New York Mets (+142)



Some things just don?t go together, like orange juice and toothpaste, Regis and Kathy Lee ... and logic and the New York Mets.


The Mets seemed to be inventing new ways to lose games; their 5-4 loss Friday was aided by a home run to the opposing pitcher, Houston?s Mike Hampton, given up by their ace Johan Santana.


Upon sinking to their worst record in five years, many bettors decided there was no time like now to jump off the Mets? bandwagon.


Naturally, the Mets responded by beating Houston two straight days by a combined score of 18-6.


The Mets? erratic tendencies could provide value here. They are 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog, whereas the Rockies are 16-5 in their past 21 road games. Going against conventional wisdom seems to be the only move with the Mets.



Pick: Mets.
 

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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Chris Carpenter, St. Louis Cardinals

The oft-injured Carpenter (8-3, 2.26 ERA) looks as though he might finally be returning to top form, which couldn?t come at a better time for the reeling Cardinals. St. Louis pitchers were battered by the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend, yielding 23 runs while dropping both games in embarrassing fashion.

Carpenter, a 21-game winner and the National League Cy Young award winner in 2005, has missed most of the past two seasons with injuries. His career was speculated to be in jeopardy after he struggled to recover from Tommy John surgery, and he spent part of this season on the disabled list as well.

However, he has rebounded to give the St. Louis rotation some needed stability. Carpenter, 34, is 3-0 with one no decision in his past four starts, striking out 23 while walking just six in this span. He has given up more than three earned runs just once in last 10 starts.

Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners

Seattle?s ace right-hander quietly has put together one of the more impressive seasons for starters in the American League. Moreover, he has almost single-handedly kept the Mariners in contention in the American League West.

The 23-year-old Hernandez (11-3, 2.45 ERA) has won his last six decisions, and has four more no decisions to go along with them in his past 10 starts, nine of which resulted in Seattle victories.

He has been a model of consistency in this span, throwing more than 100 pitches each time out, and has gone seven innings or longer nine times. Hernandez takes the mound Monday on the heels of back-to-back road wins against the Cleveland Indians and Toronto Blue Jays.

Slumping

Jason Berken, Baltimore Orioles

At what point does a ?slump? officially turn into a season of misery? Ask Baltimore?s Jason Berken (1-8, 6.55 ERA). On second thought, it might be best to let the numbers speak for themselves.

After winning his first start of the season, the 25-year-old rightly has reeled off a forgettable run of eight losses and two no decisions in his past 10 starts. He has given up four or more earned runs six times during this span, including a nine-spot against the light-hitting Oakland A?s.

He yielded 11 earned runs over 10-plus innings in his past two starts, losses to the Chicago White Sox and New York Yankees.

Jon Garland, Arizona Diamondbacks

The erstwhile reliable Garland has struggled in his first year with the Diamondbacks, suffering from some control problems and a lack of run support.

The 29-year-old Garland (5-9, 4.41 ERA) needs to pick up some wins fast in order to make it eight straight seasons with double-figure wins, a streak that includes back-to-back 18-win campaigns for the White Sox.

Garland has slumped to a mark of 1-2 with two no decisions in his past five starts, and has walked at least two batters in five of his past 10 outings. He gave up three earned runs against the Colorado Rockies in his last start, which resulted in a no decision.
 
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