Monday MLB

NBA_Kid

Razor
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Oct 9, 2006
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Just another must win for the red hot Brewers....2.5 games out of a wild card spot.

I just don`t see Marco Estrada coming up big for this team in a a must win situation on the road....I might be wrong.:SIB

Give me the Nats.


BET ID=391145907
Straight Wager 09/24/12 12:56 ET
bet 270.00 to win 200.00 Result: Pending
Brewers(Milwaukee) Estrada
Nationals(Washington) Zimmermann 09/24/12(13:05 ET)
Nationals(Washington) -135 Listed
 

NBA_Kid

Razor
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Oct 9, 2006
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New York
Yes sir! :0074

You like anything else tonight in baseball?

Matter of fact....Watching the Pirates-Mets line...

Pirates just went to the chalk -108....Mets were -115 early today.

23 cent swing....Be back at around 7-7:05....See what this line ends up at.

Game starts at 7:10
 

NBA_Kid

Razor
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Oct 9, 2006
19,868
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New York
This play is strictly on the late line movement....Pirates are up to -109.

Mets opened up at -115....At 6:30 the Mets were -105.

Just going with the money....I think :0008

BET ID=391169338
Straight Wager 09/24/12 18:59 ET
bet 218.00 to win 200.00 Result: Pending
Pirates(Pittsburgh) McPherson
Mets(NY) Mejia 09/24/12(19:10 ET)
Pirates(Pittsburgh) -109 Listed
 

LonghornMM

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Oct 30, 2003
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Deer Park, TX
Put my play in on Pittsburgh at -110 at my book. When I went to confirm it, it was already at -115. Lets chase the money and hope it hits! :0074
 

NBA_Kid

Razor
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2006
19,868
241
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New York
Put my play in on Pittsburgh at -110 at my book. When I went to confirm it, it was already at -115. Lets chase the money and hope it hits! :0074

Win or lose....It`s a good angle....Line movement right before game time.

Let`s see how it works out :toast:
 

green2240

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Mar 10, 2011
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SF, CA
I noticed that movement as well. Worth a shot.

Any thoughts on the AZ/Col total? 81% on the over but the line dropped from 11 to 10.5....
 

NBA_Kid

Razor
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Oct 9, 2006
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New York
I noticed that movement as well. Worth a shot.

Any thoughts on the AZ/Col total? 81% on the over but the line dropped from 11 to 10.5....

Nothing on that greeny...I looked didn`t see it opening at 11....But i do see its a big public over 67%...They played 3 overs in this series already...52 runs in 3 games combined...wow.

No opinion either way.

Good luck!
 

green2240

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Thanks for your take. I will likely hold off as I have been burned by both these bullpens too many times.

Would be nice if the buccos could plate a run. Driving up Mejia's pitch count but nothing to show for it...
 

Four Corners

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Nov 23, 2010
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Quick ? NBA...You look alot at line movement and public plays. I understand going against the high % public plays. In the baseball yesterday you made plays (winners:0074) on two games that had late steam. I assume yopu played them b/c you thought they were late/sharp steam and not just joe public late $$....correct assumption. THanks for all your work and magical w/e !!
 

Cappin Kirk

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Jan 15, 2003
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Win or lose....It`s a good angle....Line movement right before game time.

Let`s see how it works out :toast:

Maybe it's just me, but it seems like the majority of the plays I've made in Sept based on late line movement have turned out to be the wrong side.

Anyone else notice this? I often wonder if Vegas screws with lines 10 min before games to attract more action.
 

NBA_Kid

Razor
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Oct 9, 2006
19,868
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New York
Maybe it's just me, but it seems like the majority of the plays I've made in Sept based on late line movement have turned out to be the wrong side.

Anyone else notice this? I often wonder if Vegas screws with lines 10 min before games to attract more action.

That has to be one angle on betting....

That`s what its all about for the most part...

Line movement is key....public %`s is key.

It`s not all about looking at 2 teams and saying this team is better then that team and you put your money on them.

We could use sunday in the NFL real quick for example.

The Steelers are better then the Raiders....But they lost.

49ers are better then the Vikings,but they lost.

Saints are better then the chiefs and they lost.

Look at the white sox right now....72.18% of the public is on them....They are better then the Indians....But losing thus far.
 

NBA_Kid

Razor
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2006
19,868
241
63
New York
Quick ? NBA...You look alot at line movement and public plays. I understand going against the high % public plays. In the baseball yesterday you made plays (winners:0074) on two games that had late steam. I assume yopu played them b/c you thought they were late/sharp steam and not just joe public late $$....correct assumption. THanks for all your work and magical w/e !!

I went 1-1 yesterday.

Nationals won
Pirates lost

It`s all about joe public :toast:
 

Cappin Kirk

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Jan 15, 2003
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That has to be one angle on betting....

That`s what its all about for the most part...

Line movement is key....public %`s is key.

It`s not all about looking at 2 teams and saying this team is better then that team and you put your money on them.

We could use sunday in the NFL real quick for example.

The Steelers are better then the Raiders....But they lost.

49ers are better then the Vikings,but they lost.

Saints are better then the chiefs and they lost.

Look at the white sox right now....72.18% of the public is on them....They are better then the Indians....But losing thus far.

I agree with all of that. I was on the Raiders, Vikes, and on Clev today. I'm against the public 90% of the time. My point was that Sept hasn't been kind to me based on this angle in "baseball" only and I was wondering if anyone else had noticed.
 

NBA_Kid

Razor
Forum Member
Oct 9, 2006
19,868
241
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New York
I agree with all of that. I was on the Raiders, Vikes, and on Clev today. I'm against the public 90% of the time. My point was that Sept hasn't been kind to me based on this angle in "baseball" only and I was wondering if anyone else had noticed.

It didn`t workout with the Pirates last night.

11 huge public plays today in RED.

White sox are 1 of them.

Still early in that game though.
 
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