Monday Plays

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CherryPicker

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Aug 10, 2005
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Down 15.00 units in posted plays, battled back from down 4 dimes on Wed to up 3 dimes Sat and ended down a dime for the week in real life. I am gonna try and change my betting style and play mostly sides straight. Perfect example of how I have been killing myself is tonight taking Mets for a dime and Over for a nickel, last night took Mariners for a dime and Under for a nickel. So with all that said here are my plays. I am not too thrilled with the road chalk in Mulder who is unproven away from Busch but I can hedge for a profit if need be.

TOR ML 1720/1000
BOS ML 1470/1000

3 Teamer: TOR/BOS/STL 500 to win 2000

Leans to OAK and Under 8.5, ARI and Over 10.
 
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kenman

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Aug 17, 2002
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CP, not doubting your pick on TOR, reconsidered the play before laying that 15units on them. They were in the westcoast for a week or more, played COL late afternoon game on Sunday, then flew back the same day. They playing a late afternoon game tomorrow, so fatigue could be a factor from the jet lag and arriving home late in the night. GLTU
 
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CherryPicker

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Thanks Kenman, I may reduce the wager a bit but I hate to post a winner and get talked out of it. Will take some more time to deliberate.
 
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kenman

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CP, not trying to talk you out of your plays just another angle to look at. Somebody post this somewhere before... Team that travel to played games from westcoast to eastcoast and vice versa over a week period of time,then travel home and played the next day. Usually don't fair well because players have their families and other personal business on their mind, so players tend to don't put 100% into the game. Just an insight so correct me if I am wrong. GL
 
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CherryPicker

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I think you are right, the play is more of a fade of the streaking Devil Rays and McClung on the road...they have to travel too.
 
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CherryPicker

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Taking back my play on the Toronto -1.5 RL as I am already slipping back into bad habits by taking RL's and Totals in the same game that I have a ML wager on.
 
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kenman

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Aug 17, 2002
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TB was playing at home vs FLA this past weekend and travel up the coast today to TOR, say 3-4 hrs plane ride. Mclung in road games after a rough 1st two games has been settling down giving up only 3runs to OAK and 2runs to NYY.

S McClung 5 Road Games Average 1 Win 4.93 IP 5.60 H 6.20 ERA 4.00 BB 2.80 K

5/6/2006 Devil Rays 2 Athletics 3 L ND 9 U -250 B Zito
4/26/2006 Devil Rays 4 Yankees 2 W ND 11 U -270 C Wang
4/21/2006 Devil Rays 7 Rangers 13 L L 10.5 O -170 K Loe
4/5/2006 Devil Rays 6 Orioles 16 L L 9 O -150 E Bedard
9/28/2005 Devil Rays 1 Indians 0 W W 9.5 U -300 C Lee

C Janssen 2 two Games Average 1 Win 5.67 IP 2.00 H 1.59 ERA 2.00 BB 1.50 K

5/7/2006 Blue Jays 3 Angels 1 W W 9.5 U 115 J Lackey
4/27/2006 Blue Jays 5 Orioles 7 L L 10 O -110 K Benson


Last time this two pitcher face each other in TB (McLung vs Janssen)

5/12/2006 Devil Rays 4 Blue Jays 1 W W 9.5 U 130 C Janssen

Stats seem to point toward TB and UN for today game. GL
 
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CherryPicker

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First bet is in and got slightly worse odds:

TORONTO ML 1770/1000

Plus added a par:

TOR/BOS/CWS/STL/SDG/PIT 200 to win 6767

Hope sevens are lucky today...
 
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CherryPicker

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Couldn't get the Red Sox bet in as the Blue Jays game did not post in time, oh well. So far up 10 units on the day with with the posted par and another one I just placed pending, I only had$30 available in credit so I had to make the most of it....

BOS RL/MIL ML/PIT O10.5/LAA ML/KC ML $30 to win $2000
 
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