- MONDAY -

the addict

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78-55-6

2-3-1 saturday....

took yesterday off...


handful tonite i like. GL everyone enjoy the games....


GL

PLAYS:

VILLANOVA +5 (also played some at 4.5)

TEXAS -8.5

JACKSON ST -6.5

VILLANOVA over 139.5

GL
 
Last edited:

the addict

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Care to elaborate on Villanova? Having watched this team recently, they look awful. I believe 1-9 ATS their last 10 games as well.

DD, ya man nova hasnt been good to ppl bettin em ATS recently.

When I cap games, I take a number of things into consideration, and try too keep my head and heart outta it. Some of the things I look at:

Villanova is averaging nearly 73 PPG their last 5 road games in the big east, and in games where they score more then 70 pts, they are 18-1.

Notre Dame is giving up right around 70 pts vs. ranked teams this year, and in their last 6 have given up 69.5 PPG.

If things stay like they have been recently, and notredame allows villanova to get going and hit that 70-80 pt mark, then villanova is right where they wanna be. I really think nova will score in the 70's and win this game like they do. In Notre Dames last 11 home games, the over is 7-3-1, and Villanova would love to get out and score with the Irish, cause lke i said above, they are 18-1 in games where they are able to get out and run.


Villanova is 5-2 heads up in their last 7 vs notredame.

Villanova is 7-2 in their last 9 games played on a monday night. They come ready to play after the weekend.

I also like villanovas bench better, and i think their defense is going to be able too slow down the irish. Statistically, Nova is the better free throw shooting team, and I love free points.

Lastly, I believe Notre Dame is slighty a public play in tonites matchup. I always love being in the minority rather then the majority when it comes too gambling.



Pretty much, I think Nova will score a lot tonite, and in games where they score a lot, they almost always win. They will be able to execute and score early and often on the Irish Defense. Villanova has been farily dominant over the Irrish in the past 7 years, and I expect that trend to continue tontie.

looking for a fairly high scoring affair.

I predict a 77-72 Villanova victory :toast:
 
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