Monday

[Happy Hippo]

ATS: 95-65-4 (+31.3)
OU: 54-46-1 (+3.2)
ML dogs: 2-6 (+.1)

May have more later, but will start with this one. One funny thing that happened last night during the Warriors-Nuggets game... the Golden State announcers at one point during the third quarter said something like this: "The Nuggets have more points off turnovers, the Warriors have more turnovers, the Nuggets have more points in the paint, more rebounds, and more free throw attempts. Yet somehow the Warriors are winning. This is just impossible."

As a person who likes to follow statistics in relation to wins, yes it was. And yes, it was! The Manimal came through huge last night. As a Nuggets fan, it was a fun fourth quarter to watch. On to tonight...


Since the 2010 season, the Grizzlies are 21-4 SU (+6.7) and 18-7 ATS when seeking same-season revenge as a home favorite. The Clippers have the better back court, but a lot of the reason they are good is because they feed the front court. This is a tough matchup inside for them, as Memphis has the second best front court in the league. The efficiency difference between the Grizzlies front court at home and the Clippers front court on the road is +14.5.

In the previous matchup this season, the Grizzlies held Griffin to 11 points and 7 rebounds. Jamal Crawford had 29 and the Clippers shot 51.4% from the field. Memphis shot 38.4% and only lost by 9. The Grizzlies were leading after the third quarter.

The Clippers playing as a road dog after beating the same team earlier at home in the same season are 3-17 SU (-9.8) and 4-15 ATS since the 2010 season. The Clippers lost to the Magic at home on Saturday.

In their last game against the Mavericks, Memphis shot 38.1 percent and failed to force 10 turnovers. This was the first time in 139 games that they didn?t force 10 turnovers. I expect them to step up defensively tonight.

"We didn't have maybe one, maybe one-and-a-half starters that could bring it,'' coach Lionel Hollins said after Rudy Gay (12) was the only starter in double figures. "Our focus and concentration wasn't there.''

Their focus and concentration will be there tonight. This season the Grizzlies are 12-5 SU and 13-4 ATS vs. teams with a winning record (average line -2.3).

This is a big matchup for the Clippers as well. I don?t see them looking past this game, but it is interesting to note that they have the Rockets on deck tomorrow.


Grizzlies -2.5 x2


Good luck...

 

[bryanz]

nice work thanks... always see if any of my system plays agree with your plays.... if they do has been very good....posibles today are : wash/memp/dall/....

 

[kungfupanda]

Love your breakdowns. I like Orlando, Memphis, Utah, and the kings tonight.

 

[Happy Hippo]

nice work thanks... always see if any of my system plays agree with your plays.... if they do has been very good....posibles today are : wash/memp/dall/....

That Dallas game seems like a major trap to me. The Wolves have already beaten them twice this season. That actually fairs well for Dallas, but after the thrashing they gave the Grizzlies, and the horrible outing the Wolves had last night, and the fact that they are on a back to back, this line seems short to me. Actually thinking about playing Minnesota.

The chances of a decent team losing four straight road games is OK, but there is a good chance they win one too.

One thing I will say about the Timberwolves this season, is that they never stop fighting in games. I won't be surprised if they come out and beat the Mavs tonight. After all, the Mavs as a favorite this season are only 8-5 SU. They had one good game against a team that was in a horrible spot schedule wise. The Timberwolves were in almost this exact same situation earlier this season, and they went into Denver and beat the Nuggets SU as an 8 point dog.

Whatever you decide, good luck!

 

[Happy Hippo]

Love your breakdowns. I like Orlando, Memphis, Utah, and the kings tonight.

Thanks. I'm going to lay off Wizards games until we see how they perform with John Wall back. That Magic team is streaky too...

Here's the info I gathered today on those games

That Utah line is certainly strange, and is begging for Heat money. However, I don't like them overall as a team. They are way too prone to meltdowns. Not betting against the Heat right now, until they also establish some consistency.

For the Kings game...

Both these teams suck, but I think Cleveland is better. The Kings beat them by three earlier this season, and the Cavs may have some payback in mind. Teams playing at home after three home losses do not have the greatest success.


Good luck!

 

[Happy Hippo]

OK I convinced myself

Took these too:


Wolves +7
Cavs +5.5
Cavs-Kings OVER 204

Grizzlies lined move against me :facepalm:

Don't really like any of these very much tonight. Could be due for a bad one!


Good luck...

 

[scrub]

gl

 

[Wineguy]

I am doing Minny +2.5 FQ as the trend hopefully just keeps on giving. We will see.

 

[kungfupanda]

The jazz are 6-0 since last season at home against the heat. Miami is also on a 6 game road trip. Williams could be back for the jazz as well and the heat don't have the greatest of bench. If wade, Bosch, and James don't score a combined total of 56, they lose.

yes, wall is back for Washington but leading scorer Crawford is most likely still out along with martin. One doesn't make up for two. Orlando is 10-2 in this match up. Washington could have its first win streak with a win here. That means a lot of shots being taken and a lot of misses and turn overs.

best of luck to you tonight. You are most likely right lol

 

[eeeerock]

OK I convinced myself

Took these too:


Wolves +7
Cavs +5.5
Cavs-Kings OVER 204

Grizzlies lined move against me :facepalm:

Don't really like any of these very much tonight. Could be due for a bad one!


Good luck...

That Grizzly number went down because Gay not playing,think your still ok!!!!He has grandmothers funeral!!!!!

 

[zealot]

With ya on Minny and the Cavs/Kings over. Solid work, my friend!

 

[ldabdou]

Going right back to the Cavs myself. This team is on the up and up and have heart.

Like ur style. Its people like u that make this forum great! :0074

 

[WildBillPicks7]

GL tonight, Hippo!!

:0074

 

[mlbEXPERT]

Paul is out tonight as well. Good luck tonight

 

[Happy Hippo]

Thanks all... don't particularly like all these injuries. Would never have made a double bet on a side given these circumstances, but that's gambling!

:0074

 

[LuvThemDogs]

Good luck tonight HH. Thanks for posting!

 

[eeeerock]

Going right back to the Cavs myself. This team is on the up and up and have heart.

Like ur style. Its people like u that make this forum great! :0074

You really feel that way for Clev?I think there is a lot of very iffy players in that line-up,more so the bench,not much talent on the bench if u ask me.However they do usually bounce back just hope they do tonight.Waiting on my fade guy before I pull the trigger!!

 

[margwellus]

Hippo, first let me say that i appreciate you so much and the time you put in and in-depth write-ups you bring to the forum...you are MONEY

however, I disagree about the Minnesota play..As you said Minny beat Dallas twice..but wasn't there something missing from the dallas team namely ia 7 foot German fellow named Dirk? and wasn't there a certain BEAST present on the Wolves that owned the paint those nights, a fellow with a whole lotta LOVE?

just saying I think Dallas wins and covers, but what the hell do I know....for the record, I'm not placing another bet this season on Phoenix, Orlando or Charlotte. Just because.

 

[Happy Hippo]

Hippo, first let me say that i appreciate you so much and the time you put in and in-depth write-ups you bring to the forum...you are MONEY

however, I disagree about the Minnesota play..As you said Minny beat Dallas twice..but wasn't there something missing from the dallas team namely ia 7 foot German fellow named Dirk? and wasn't there a certain BEAST present on the Wolves that owned the paint those nights, a fellow with a whole lotta LOVE?

just saying I think Dallas wins and covers, but what the hell do I know....for the record, I'm not placing another bet this season on Phoenix, Orlando or Charlotte. Just because.

Thanks for the kind words.

In the first game when Minnesota beat the Mavs in Dallas, neither Rubio or Love played.

In the second meeting in Minnesota, Rubio came off the bench in his season debut, and Love (flu) did not play. Derek Fisher was also in the lineup for the Mavs and contributed 20.

Dirk should make a big difference tonight, but... so should a full strength Rubio.

Good luck!

 

[zealot]

In the first game when Minnesota beat the Mavs in Dallas, neither Rubio or Love played.

In the second meeting in Minnesota, Rubio came off the bench in his season debut, and Love (flu) did not play. Derek Fisher was also in the lineup for the Mavs and contributed 20.

Dirk should make a big difference tonight, but... so should a full strength Rubio.

...and the stat that I enjoy finding the most is that Dallas is 3-0 ATS their last 3 while Minny is 0-3 ATS their last 3. Love trends like this! I think Minny gets the cover as you saw in my thread as well. :0074