4 Team Parlay
Chicago Cubs -143 vs Colorado Rockies - J De La Rosa - K Hendricks
St. Louis Cardinals -152 vs Cincinnati Reds - R Iglesias - L Lynn
San Francisco Giants -168 vs Milwaukee Brewers - K Lohse - C Heston
New York Yankees/Texas Rangers Over 9? -110 - I Nova - M Harrison
1 unit bet wins 7.58 units....(5 Dimes lines)
2015 MLB parlay record, 2-12 -5.09 units...(occasionally another sport is tossed in parlay)
First winner parlay, July 1, a daytime 4-teamer, with a push, that became a 3 teamer (paid 3.87)...2nd was a 2-teamer...
2014 parlay record: 12-71, +16.71 units.....on various mixed sports (mostly MLB)....(1 unit bet each parlay)
Goood luck everyone!!
Let's get 'em :firing:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Brewers vs. Giants - Play: Over 7?
The visitors hand the ball to Kyle Lohse (5-11, 6.29 ERA) who was shelled for five runs off ten hits over five innings in a 7-5 loss to the Tribe on Wednesday, also walking three in the sub-par effort. Lohse continues to struggle in every statistical category across the board and has been particularly inept in this position all season, going just 4-5 with a ballooned 5.40 ERA in all "night" games to date. The home side counters with Chris Heston (10-5, 3.18 ERA) who has been pretty good this year, but note that he's just 4-4 in front of the home town crowd thus far. While Heston has been consistent, Lohse has been anything but in 2015, I think the home side can take advantage and believe that the OVER is indeed worthy of a second look in this particular matchup.
New York/ Texas Over 9 (-110):
Earlier this year the teams played a 3 game set in New York and 45 runs were scored in the 3 games. This series may be just as high scoring as both offenses are clicking right now and the pitching is suspect at best. Ivan Nova has just 2 road start, but he has a 4.50 ERA in those starts, while Matt Harrison has a 5.40 ERA in 2 starts overall this year. This has never been a good park for Matt to pitch in as he has a career 4.49 ERA here. Now for some offense. The Rangers offense has been obn fire of late as they have averaged 7.8 rpg in their last 5 games and they do hit righties at a .262 clip at home for the year. The Yanks come in averaging 4.9 rpg in their last 10 games and have hit .271 vs lefties over that stretch. This is a hitters park and I see it easily putting up DD in runs.
San Francisco Giants -157
I have no problem laying big juice here with the Giants at home against the Brewers. San Francisco is on fire right now, as they have won 5 straight and 11 of 12 overall. Milwaukee on the other hand is just 1-4 in their last 5. We also see a big time advantage on the mound for the Giants, who will send out Chris Heston against Kyle Lohse. Heston has a 2.57 ERA in 10 home starts and a 0.42 ERA and 0.797 WHIP in his last 3. Lohse has a 6.29 ERA in 20 starts overall and a 6.60 ERA over his last 3.
ST. LOUIS -1? +111 over Cincinnati
The three-game set the Reds just played in the high altitude in Denver had to be physically and mentally draining. Cincinnati was whacked yesterday 17-7, yet they had just one less hit than the Rockies. In fact, over the three-game set, Cinci belted out 36 hits, they drew 11 walks and two batters were hit by a pitch. That?s 49 baserunners but just 17 of those scored. It might be another 50 years before the Reds get that many base-runners in a three-game set again. They couldn?t cash them in at Coors Field and now they?ll get a fraction of the opportunities at Busch Stadium against Lance Lynn. Lynn is enjoying his best season, displaying an improved skill set (3.40 xERA, 9.8 K?s/9, 12% swing and miss rate) despite only having a 7-5 record. Eight of his nine starts at home have resulted in dominance, where he is 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 59 innings. He has yet to face the Reds this season, but did start against them five times last season, with four of those being dominant starts. The fact that Cinci hasn?t faced him this year works to Lynn?s advantage. The Reds' bats have really struggled on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per game, while having a .240 BA and .674 OPS.
Raisel Iglesias has been terrible on the road, albeit it in an extremely small sample size. Both of his road starts have resulted in disasters and they were not against great competition (Cleveland and Miami), in which he lasted a combined 7.1 innings. Today will mark the first time he will face a team for the second time. This is important to note because Iglesias holds opponents to a .391 OPS when facing the lineup for the first time. That jumps up to an .882 OPS the second time through and 1.286 OPS the third time. Iglesias went on the DL in late May. In two starts since coming off the DL, he has a 1.80 WHIP while being taken yard in both games. The Reds lost to Miami, 14-3 in his first game back and lost 5-4 to the Cubbies in his second game back. Chicago drew four walks in that game and probably should have scored twice as many runs as they did. This is a pitcher that is raw and that will be working with a taxed bullpen behind him. The Cardinals know what to do with a wounded prey.
Kansas City +101 over CLEVELAND
It?s not easy to get swept in a four-game home series against the South Side. Not only did the Indians get swept but they scored a measly five runs in those four games. Cleveland now has 19 wins in 49 home games. They dropped to dead last in the AL Central and things surely don?t get easier against the Royals and Edinson Volquez. Volquez has nasty stuff and that really works in his favor here against a team pressing at the plate.
Volquez brings 93.6 mph heat with late life to go along with an above average slider. He has induced 53% groundballs over his last eight starts and just 18% line-drives. Last season, Volquez capped his year with a 1.36 ERA over his final 10 starts and he appears headed for something similar this year. Volquez is a 10-year vet already and he should be able to sense a team that is seeing BB gun pellets at the plate.
Cody Anderson is so overvalued here that it?s sick. Anderson has started five games since being summoned from the minors and comes in with a very impressive 1.91 ERA. His ERA at Progressive Field is even more impressive at 0.63 after two starts. That?s really nice but we always try to sniff out imposters and Anderson is at the top of our list. Anderson doesn't project to be a top of the rotation starter. He fell back down to earth in his last outing, where he didn't make it out of the third inning and his skill set says that outing wasn?t an anomaly. In fact, his first four starts were anomalies.
Anderson?s 1.91 ERA and 0.91 WHIP through five starts is all smoke and mirrors, as he has been helped immensely by a 23% hit rate and 85% strand rate. He owns a 4.98 xERA while striking out a mere 12 batters (3.3 K?s/9) over his first 33 frames, neither of which are encouraging. The opposing Royals have been swinging the bats well in July, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Let?s forget all that for a second and discuss the Royals going from their hotel to the park. We guarantee you that 90% or more players in every sport check out the betting line. If Edinson Volquez isn?t among that group, we guarantee you that someone will show him that a raw rookie with a team in last place is favored over him and the first place Royals. Not that K.C. needs anymore motivation but that?s insulting.
Brewers / Giants Over 7
AT&T Park is considered one of the best pitching ballparks in baseball but the offensive numbers in San Francisco are pretty good this season with batters collectively hitting .256. There have been just 7.2 runs per game in San Francisco this season but this has been a Giants offense on a tear in the month of July. San Francisco is 12-2 in the last 14 games and the Giants have posted 5.7 runs per game and 11.5 hits per game in that span that has included eight home games. In the last 10 games the Giants are batting .315 with 6.4 runs per game vs. right-handed pitching and Kyle Lohse has been one of baseball's worst starting pitchers this season.
Lohse has had a fine career but he has fooled no one this season with a 6.29 ERA and in 13 of 20 starts this season he has allowed at least four runs. On the season Lohse has allowed 25 more hits than innings pitched and the Giants won 8-4 against Lohse in Milwaukee in May with Lohse responsible for five runs in five innings. Milwaukee's offense has been shut out the last two games with no extra-base hits but that ended a run of excellent production for the Brewers. In the last 25 games Milwaukee has scored 5.2 runs per game while posting over 10 hits per game despite the recent slide in Arizona.
Milwaukee has strong recent numbers vs. right-handed pitching and Chris Heston has not pitched quite as well as it looks. A no-hitter at Citi Field skews his numbers and the 'over' is 10-8-1 in Heston starts this season as he has been fortunate this season with very few home runs allowed. There won't be a much margin for error on this total and Lohse seems likely to give up a handful of runs against one of the hottest offenses in baseball. This is a potential flat spot for the Giants coming off a big series sweep over nearby rival Oakland and this game has a good chance to buck the low-scoring trends historically in San Francisco.
Chicago Cubs -143 vs Colorado Rockies - J De La Rosa - K Hendricks
St. Louis Cardinals -152 vs Cincinnati Reds - R Iglesias - L Lynn
San Francisco Giants -168 vs Milwaukee Brewers - K Lohse - C Heston
New York Yankees/Texas Rangers Over 9? -110 - I Nova - M Harrison
1 unit bet wins 7.58 units....(5 Dimes lines)
2015 MLB parlay record, 2-12 -5.09 units...(occasionally another sport is tossed in parlay)
First winner parlay, July 1, a daytime 4-teamer, with a push, that became a 3 teamer (paid 3.87)...2nd was a 2-teamer...
2014 parlay record: 12-71, +16.71 units.....on various mixed sports (mostly MLB)....(1 unit bet each parlay)
Goood luck everyone!!
Let's get 'em :firing:ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Brewers vs. Giants - Play: Over 7?
The visitors hand the ball to Kyle Lohse (5-11, 6.29 ERA) who was shelled for five runs off ten hits over five innings in a 7-5 loss to the Tribe on Wednesday, also walking three in the sub-par effort. Lohse continues to struggle in every statistical category across the board and has been particularly inept in this position all season, going just 4-5 with a ballooned 5.40 ERA in all "night" games to date. The home side counters with Chris Heston (10-5, 3.18 ERA) who has been pretty good this year, but note that he's just 4-4 in front of the home town crowd thus far. While Heston has been consistent, Lohse has been anything but in 2015, I think the home side can take advantage and believe that the OVER is indeed worthy of a second look in this particular matchup.
New York/ Texas Over 9 (-110):
Earlier this year the teams played a 3 game set in New York and 45 runs were scored in the 3 games. This series may be just as high scoring as both offenses are clicking right now and the pitching is suspect at best. Ivan Nova has just 2 road start, but he has a 4.50 ERA in those starts, while Matt Harrison has a 5.40 ERA in 2 starts overall this year. This has never been a good park for Matt to pitch in as he has a career 4.49 ERA here. Now for some offense. The Rangers offense has been obn fire of late as they have averaged 7.8 rpg in their last 5 games and they do hit righties at a .262 clip at home for the year. The Yanks come in averaging 4.9 rpg in their last 10 games and have hit .271 vs lefties over that stretch. This is a hitters park and I see it easily putting up DD in runs.
San Francisco Giants -157
I have no problem laying big juice here with the Giants at home against the Brewers. San Francisco is on fire right now, as they have won 5 straight and 11 of 12 overall. Milwaukee on the other hand is just 1-4 in their last 5. We also see a big time advantage on the mound for the Giants, who will send out Chris Heston against Kyle Lohse. Heston has a 2.57 ERA in 10 home starts and a 0.42 ERA and 0.797 WHIP in his last 3. Lohse has a 6.29 ERA in 20 starts overall and a 6.60 ERA over his last 3.
ST. LOUIS -1? +111 over Cincinnati
The three-game set the Reds just played in the high altitude in Denver had to be physically and mentally draining. Cincinnati was whacked yesterday 17-7, yet they had just one less hit than the Rockies. In fact, over the three-game set, Cinci belted out 36 hits, they drew 11 walks and two batters were hit by a pitch. That?s 49 baserunners but just 17 of those scored. It might be another 50 years before the Reds get that many base-runners in a three-game set again. They couldn?t cash them in at Coors Field and now they?ll get a fraction of the opportunities at Busch Stadium against Lance Lynn. Lynn is enjoying his best season, displaying an improved skill set (3.40 xERA, 9.8 K?s/9, 12% swing and miss rate) despite only having a 7-5 record. Eight of his nine starts at home have resulted in dominance, where he is 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 59 innings. He has yet to face the Reds this season, but did start against them five times last season, with four of those being dominant starts. The fact that Cinci hasn?t faced him this year works to Lynn?s advantage. The Reds' bats have really struggled on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per game, while having a .240 BA and .674 OPS.
Raisel Iglesias has been terrible on the road, albeit it in an extremely small sample size. Both of his road starts have resulted in disasters and they were not against great competition (Cleveland and Miami), in which he lasted a combined 7.1 innings. Today will mark the first time he will face a team for the second time. This is important to note because Iglesias holds opponents to a .391 OPS when facing the lineup for the first time. That jumps up to an .882 OPS the second time through and 1.286 OPS the third time. Iglesias went on the DL in late May. In two starts since coming off the DL, he has a 1.80 WHIP while being taken yard in both games. The Reds lost to Miami, 14-3 in his first game back and lost 5-4 to the Cubbies in his second game back. Chicago drew four walks in that game and probably should have scored twice as many runs as they did. This is a pitcher that is raw and that will be working with a taxed bullpen behind him. The Cardinals know what to do with a wounded prey.
Kansas City +101 over CLEVELAND
It?s not easy to get swept in a four-game home series against the South Side. Not only did the Indians get swept but they scored a measly five runs in those four games. Cleveland now has 19 wins in 49 home games. They dropped to dead last in the AL Central and things surely don?t get easier against the Royals and Edinson Volquez. Volquez has nasty stuff and that really works in his favor here against a team pressing at the plate.
Volquez brings 93.6 mph heat with late life to go along with an above average slider. He has induced 53% groundballs over his last eight starts and just 18% line-drives. Last season, Volquez capped his year with a 1.36 ERA over his final 10 starts and he appears headed for something similar this year. Volquez is a 10-year vet already and he should be able to sense a team that is seeing BB gun pellets at the plate.
Cody Anderson is so overvalued here that it?s sick. Anderson has started five games since being summoned from the minors and comes in with a very impressive 1.91 ERA. His ERA at Progressive Field is even more impressive at 0.63 after two starts. That?s really nice but we always try to sniff out imposters and Anderson is at the top of our list. Anderson doesn't project to be a top of the rotation starter. He fell back down to earth in his last outing, where he didn't make it out of the third inning and his skill set says that outing wasn?t an anomaly. In fact, his first four starts were anomalies.
Anderson?s 1.91 ERA and 0.91 WHIP through five starts is all smoke and mirrors, as he has been helped immensely by a 23% hit rate and 85% strand rate. He owns a 4.98 xERA while striking out a mere 12 batters (3.3 K?s/9) over his first 33 frames, neither of which are encouraging. The opposing Royals have been swinging the bats well in July, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Let?s forget all that for a second and discuss the Royals going from their hotel to the park. We guarantee you that 90% or more players in every sport check out the betting line. If Edinson Volquez isn?t among that group, we guarantee you that someone will show him that a raw rookie with a team in last place is favored over him and the first place Royals. Not that K.C. needs anymore motivation but that?s insulting.
Brewers / Giants Over 7
AT&T Park is considered one of the best pitching ballparks in baseball but the offensive numbers in San Francisco are pretty good this season with batters collectively hitting .256. There have been just 7.2 runs per game in San Francisco this season but this has been a Giants offense on a tear in the month of July. San Francisco is 12-2 in the last 14 games and the Giants have posted 5.7 runs per game and 11.5 hits per game in that span that has included eight home games. In the last 10 games the Giants are batting .315 with 6.4 runs per game vs. right-handed pitching and Kyle Lohse has been one of baseball's worst starting pitchers this season.
Lohse has had a fine career but he has fooled no one this season with a 6.29 ERA and in 13 of 20 starts this season he has allowed at least four runs. On the season Lohse has allowed 25 more hits than innings pitched and the Giants won 8-4 against Lohse in Milwaukee in May with Lohse responsible for five runs in five innings. Milwaukee's offense has been shut out the last two games with no extra-base hits but that ended a run of excellent production for the Brewers. In the last 25 games Milwaukee has scored 5.2 runs per game while posting over 10 hits per game despite the recent slide in Arizona.
Milwaukee has strong recent numbers vs. right-handed pitching and Chris Heston has not pitched quite as well as it looks. A no-hitter at Citi Field skews his numbers and the 'over' is 10-8-1 in Heston starts this season as he has been fortunate this season with very few home runs allowed. There won't be a much margin for error on this total and Lohse seems likely to give up a handful of runs against one of the hottest offenses in baseball. This is a potential flat spot for the Giants coming off a big series sweep over nearby rival Oakland and this game has a good chance to buck the low-scoring trends historically in San Francisco.
