07:05 PM MLB [958] TOTAL u8EV (TB RAYS vrs TOR BLUE JAYS) ( D SMYLY -L / J HAPP -L )
07:10 PM MLB [960] DET TIGERS -142 ( J BERRIOS -R / J ZIMMERMANN -R )
10:10 PM MLB [968] LA DODGERS -1.5 -105 ( M SHOEMAKER -R / K MAEDA -R )
08:05 PM NHL [6] PIT PENGUINS -220
1 unit bet pays 8.68 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 4-30, + 5.51 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4
Goood luck everyone!!
:firing: :toast:
------------
via pitcherlist.com's article "7 Sleeper Starters Getting Drafted Past Pick #300":
John Lamb (ADP #475) ? Probably the biggest sleeper of the bunch is John Lamb, who would have hinted at a Top 60 spot in my pre-season SP rankings If it weren?t for his back surgery during the off-season. In his ten starts in the bigs, he featured a ghastly 5.80 ERA that may make you question this endorsement, but don't ignore the 3.73 xFIP and 3.56 SIERA underneath. Those low DIPS numbers are a product of an excellent Cutter that debilitates right-handed batters, helping him earn a remarkable 10.51 K/9 in 49.2 frames. His command may appear questionable, though his 3.44 BB/9 was inflated by a single six-walk outing, which would have left him with a 2.62 BB/9 over nine starts for the Reds. The biggest area for Lamb to grow is gaining consistency with his Changeup ? when Lamb was able to throw it effectively, he looked like an excellent SP #3 on the hill, though he struggled when he lacked the confidence to turn to it. The sample size is small, but Lamb has a chance to live up to solid minor league numbers and make a huge splash in 2016. .... [tho he writes about Lamb this week "I'm worried that his lack of proper routine will mean that he needs a few starts to start cooking."]
Jerad Eickhoff (ADP #320) ? Jerad was one of the earlier sleeper picks this preseason who was brushed aside once the full swing of articles came out. His allure is easy to see: he held a 8.65 K/9, 2.29 BB/9 and just a 2.65 ERA across his 8 starts last season, and while the ERA is sure to regress, he's skilled enough to maintain solid value at his cheap price. I would be surprised if he began striking out a batter per inning, but his Curveball is deadly enough to hover around 8+ moving forward while his control has always been excellent. Eickhoff?s low groundball rate may make you a bit uneasy, but his solid 12.5% IFFB rate should continue to impress with rise on both his Four-Seamer and Changeup. The biggest issue will be his lack of wins playing for the Phillies, but he should have a solid contributor elsewhere, allowing him to be a safe play in most situations. .....[tho he writes about Jerad this week "but he has been shaky lately and performed poorly against the Braves earlier this week."]
Robbie Ray (ADP #364) ? Ray has been forgotten by many entering this year?s drafts, but it would unwise to ignore his potential. The Diamondback lefty holds strong strikeout upside after featuring excellent K numbers through the minors with his nasty Slider, and he backed it up with a solid 8.39 K/9 last season. There?s room to push it further with an improving Changeup, though his walk rate will most likely sit above 3.00 BB/9. The snakes will be an improved team in 2016, presenting Ray with a good shot at collecting double digit wins at the back of the rotation, while padding your strikeouts and not killing your ERA each week (just a 3.53 FIP last season).....[tho he writes about Ray this week "is still walk friendly and too volatile to carry through the week."]
Cincinnati +140 over CLEVELAND
Formerly a standout prospect in the Royals organization before he succumbed to elbow problems, the Reds acquired lefty John Lamb in July of 2015. He then started 10 games with Cincinnati, posting a 5.80 ERA with 10.5 K?s/9. After undergoing back surgery in December 2015, Lamb had a slight delay in his recovery and wasn?t able to compete for an Opening Day rotation slot. Now healthy, he could stick in the rotation for the foreseeable future. Lamb?s velocity is all the way back from his elbow concerns in 2011 and 2012 and sits in the 90-92 mph range. He can touch 95 mph on occasion, but he relies heavily on locating his two-seam fastball. He changes eye levels with his four-seamer and neutralizes right-handed hitters with a deceptive change-up.
Lamb will often struggle with his release point, especially with his breaking pitches, which negates his command. He?s adept at mixing his pitches and only needs consistency before breaking through as a potential strong starter in the big leagues. Lamb has made just two starts this season and has allowed just eight hits and two runs over 10 innings. This kid can pitch and while there will be bumps in the road along the way, he?s very worthy of backing in this spot against a Cleveland team that is hitting a mere .234 against southpaws in 316 AB?s.
Cody Anderson allowed four earned runs and six hits, with 2 K/1 BB, in five innings in his May 7 return to the Indians rotation. He had been optioned to Triple-A in late April so Cleveland could add a reliever, as the team's schedule did not require a fifth starter for an extended period. Anderson's rotation stint is likely to continue until injured Carlos Carrasco is ready to return or if he turns things around. Here?s what we know for sure. Anderson created a lot of buzz during spring training because he was dealing it with 95 MPH heat and striking out lots of batters.
High velocity means nothing if it doesn?t have movement or if not?s located well. Anderson has been tagged for 42 hits in 28 innings this year with eight of those hits leaving the yard. He brings a .344 oppBA, a 1.66 WHIP and the Indians are 0-6 in games that he?s thrown at least one pitch in. Cody Anderson is not the first pitcher to put up great numbers in the minors and during spring training but fail miserably at this level and he certainly won?t be the last. He had a strong showing in AAA last year with a 1.89 ERA in 71 innings, which netted a late June call-up, But like always, we?ll focus on skills, not stats, and we see a subpar K-rate that severely limits his upside given equally mediocre swing and miss rate. Career MLB xERA of 4.86 in 120 innings further hints that we may have already seen his best. Anderson has proven absolutely nothing to warrant being priced in this range.
07:10 PM MLB [960] DET TIGERS -142 ( J BERRIOS -R / J ZIMMERMANN -R )
10:10 PM MLB [968] LA DODGERS -1.5 -105 ( M SHOEMAKER -R / K MAEDA -R )
08:05 PM NHL [6] PIT PENGUINS -220
1 unit bet pays 8.68 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 4-30, + 5.51 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4
Goood luck everyone!!
:firing: :toast: ------------
via pitcherlist.com's article "7 Sleeper Starters Getting Drafted Past Pick #300":
John Lamb (ADP #475) ? Probably the biggest sleeper of the bunch is John Lamb, who would have hinted at a Top 60 spot in my pre-season SP rankings If it weren?t for his back surgery during the off-season. In his ten starts in the bigs, he featured a ghastly 5.80 ERA that may make you question this endorsement, but don't ignore the 3.73 xFIP and 3.56 SIERA underneath. Those low DIPS numbers are a product of an excellent Cutter that debilitates right-handed batters, helping him earn a remarkable 10.51 K/9 in 49.2 frames. His command may appear questionable, though his 3.44 BB/9 was inflated by a single six-walk outing, which would have left him with a 2.62 BB/9 over nine starts for the Reds. The biggest area for Lamb to grow is gaining consistency with his Changeup ? when Lamb was able to throw it effectively, he looked like an excellent SP #3 on the hill, though he struggled when he lacked the confidence to turn to it. The sample size is small, but Lamb has a chance to live up to solid minor league numbers and make a huge splash in 2016. .... [tho he writes about Lamb this week "I'm worried that his lack of proper routine will mean that he needs a few starts to start cooking."]
Jerad Eickhoff (ADP #320) ? Jerad was one of the earlier sleeper picks this preseason who was brushed aside once the full swing of articles came out. His allure is easy to see: he held a 8.65 K/9, 2.29 BB/9 and just a 2.65 ERA across his 8 starts last season, and while the ERA is sure to regress, he's skilled enough to maintain solid value at his cheap price. I would be surprised if he began striking out a batter per inning, but his Curveball is deadly enough to hover around 8+ moving forward while his control has always been excellent. Eickhoff?s low groundball rate may make you a bit uneasy, but his solid 12.5% IFFB rate should continue to impress with rise on both his Four-Seamer and Changeup. The biggest issue will be his lack of wins playing for the Phillies, but he should have a solid contributor elsewhere, allowing him to be a safe play in most situations. .....[tho he writes about Jerad this week "but he has been shaky lately and performed poorly against the Braves earlier this week."]
Robbie Ray (ADP #364) ? Ray has been forgotten by many entering this year?s drafts, but it would unwise to ignore his potential. The Diamondback lefty holds strong strikeout upside after featuring excellent K numbers through the minors with his nasty Slider, and he backed it up with a solid 8.39 K/9 last season. There?s room to push it further with an improving Changeup, though his walk rate will most likely sit above 3.00 BB/9. The snakes will be an improved team in 2016, presenting Ray with a good shot at collecting double digit wins at the back of the rotation, while padding your strikeouts and not killing your ERA each week (just a 3.53 FIP last season).....[tho he writes about Ray this week "is still walk friendly and too volatile to carry through the week."]
Cincinnati +140 over CLEVELAND
Formerly a standout prospect in the Royals organization before he succumbed to elbow problems, the Reds acquired lefty John Lamb in July of 2015. He then started 10 games with Cincinnati, posting a 5.80 ERA with 10.5 K?s/9. After undergoing back surgery in December 2015, Lamb had a slight delay in his recovery and wasn?t able to compete for an Opening Day rotation slot. Now healthy, he could stick in the rotation for the foreseeable future. Lamb?s velocity is all the way back from his elbow concerns in 2011 and 2012 and sits in the 90-92 mph range. He can touch 95 mph on occasion, but he relies heavily on locating his two-seam fastball. He changes eye levels with his four-seamer and neutralizes right-handed hitters with a deceptive change-up.
Lamb will often struggle with his release point, especially with his breaking pitches, which negates his command. He?s adept at mixing his pitches and only needs consistency before breaking through as a potential strong starter in the big leagues. Lamb has made just two starts this season and has allowed just eight hits and two runs over 10 innings. This kid can pitch and while there will be bumps in the road along the way, he?s very worthy of backing in this spot against a Cleveland team that is hitting a mere .234 against southpaws in 316 AB?s.
Cody Anderson allowed four earned runs and six hits, with 2 K/1 BB, in five innings in his May 7 return to the Indians rotation. He had been optioned to Triple-A in late April so Cleveland could add a reliever, as the team's schedule did not require a fifth starter for an extended period. Anderson's rotation stint is likely to continue until injured Carlos Carrasco is ready to return or if he turns things around. Here?s what we know for sure. Anderson created a lot of buzz during spring training because he was dealing it with 95 MPH heat and striking out lots of batters.
High velocity means nothing if it doesn?t have movement or if not?s located well. Anderson has been tagged for 42 hits in 28 innings this year with eight of those hits leaving the yard. He brings a .344 oppBA, a 1.66 WHIP and the Indians are 0-6 in games that he?s thrown at least one pitch in. Cody Anderson is not the first pitcher to put up great numbers in the minors and during spring training but fail miserably at this level and he certainly won?t be the last. He had a strong showing in AAA last year with a 1.89 ERA in 71 innings, which netted a late June call-up, But like always, we?ll focus on skills, not stats, and we see a subpar K-rate that severely limits his upside given equally mediocre swing and miss rate. Career MLB xERA of 4.86 in 120 innings further hints that we may have already seen his best. Anderson has proven absolutely nothing to warrant being priced in this range.
