07:05 PM [903] SFO GIANTS -164 ( M BUMGARNER -L / J LOCKE -L )
08:05 PM [908] CHI CUBS -180 ( J GARCIA -L / J LACKEY -R )
07:10 PM [916] BOS RED SOX -220 ( M GONZALEZ -R / S WRIGHT -R )
08:10 PM [918] HOU ASTROS -150 ( J CHACIN -R / D FISTER -R )
1 unit bet pays 5.07 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-79, -6.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
After an ineffective first six starts and time in the bullpen, De La Rosa returned to the rotation for five solid innings against the Yankees. Improved overall pace and a more consistent windup and delivery have helped...His early season struggles left a mark on his ratios, but it looks as though he?s regained his form on the mound
Clemens will make his first MLB appearance since 2014 and sixth career start....Clemens, 28, came over from the Kansas City Royals and signed a minor-league deal with Miami in late November of last year. With the Zephyrs this season, Clemens has drummed up a 6-4 record to go alongside a 4.30 ERA over the course of 75.1 innings; he?s punched out 66 batters in contrast to 25 walks.
He hasn?t appeared in the majors since 2014 when he was a member of the Houston Astros. In that season, Clemens appeared in 13 games and didn?t fare necessarily well, surrendering 28 hits and issuing 13 walks over 24.1 innings...5 starts in 2013, 3 of them quality starts...
Doug Fister has actually been surprisingly decent this season, allowing more than 3 ER just once all year. Too bad it comes with a sub 6.00 K/9 and a FIP/xFIP that makes you run to the hills faster than forest animals sensing evil in every bad horror film ever.
Josh Tomlin may be one of the more underappreciated starters out there as he's now allowed 2 ER or fewer in all but three of his 12 games this year. That's a 75% ES (excellent start) rate, which is as good as you'll find. The problem is that his SIERA/xFIP/FIP are all hating on him, expecting a major drop to 4.00+ soon, despite his absurdly low 0.85 BB/9 rate. Just keep trusting Tomlin unless he's faced with a difficult opponent.
Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland
Pick: Cleveland
The 38-30 Indians and 31-36 Rays are coming off contrasting weekend series. Cleveland swept a three-game home series from the White Sox over the weekend, while Tampa Bay got swept at home in a three-game series with the San Francisco Giants. The two teams open a three-game series Monday night in Cleveland and the pitching matchup of Drew Smyly (2-7, 4.75 ERA) facing Josh Tomlin (8-1, 3.27 ERA) features two players headed in opposite directions. Yes, Smyly showed some improvement his last time out after skipping a start to rest, when he allowed two runs on four hits with 12 strikeouts over 6.2 innings in a no-decision. However, one CAN?T ignore that in his previous four starts starts Smyly was 0-3 (team was 1-3) with a 8.44 ERA. Opposing teams have hit .308 against him over his last five starts!
In stark contrast, Cleveland?s Tomlin is serving up (at least so far) the best year of his career. Tomlin has walked one or zero batters in 11 of his 12 starts and his average of 0.85 walks per nine innings is the best in the American League by a wide margin. He makes his 13th start tonight with the Indians having gone 10-2 (plus-$805) though his first 12 (moneyline ranks 7th among all MLB starters). Tomlin has permitted two or fewer runs in EIGHT of those 12 starts this season, including last time out as he gave up one in seven innings of a no decision against Kansas City.
Smyly is 2-2 with a 3.93 ERA in 14 career appearances vs Cleveland and in six career starts at Progressive Field he owns a 5.73 ERA. Meanwhile, not only have the Indians been victorious in 10 of 12 games started by Josh Tomlin in 2016 but Cleveland also boasts 14 come-from-behind wins overall. Cleveland has posted a 20-12 home record while averaging a healthy 5.50 RPG. Stick with the home team.
Orioles at Rangers
Pick: Over
A battle of first place teams here on Monday as the AL East leading Orioles take on the AL West leading Rangers. The O's are holding onto a one-game lead over the Red Sox and have won two-straight games. Baltimore is now 26-12 at home. While the starting pitching has been hit and miss, the bullpen has been one of the best in baseball. The offense has been very good, ranking 1st in home runs (105) and 8th in scoring. Kevin Gausman starts today. Guasman still looking for that first win at 0-4 with a 4.14 ERA. The bright spot for Guasman is his KO to walk ratio of 57 to 17. The Rangers are running away with the West, now leading the Mariners by 8.5 games. The Rangers have won six straight, including a 3-game sweep of the Cardinals. Derek Holland starts today with a 5-5 record and 5.14 ERA. Holland has been hit hard his last two starts, allowing nine runs over just 8.2 innings with five walks. Both these teams among the best hitting clubs and with two shaky pitchers on the hill,
Texas Rangers +111
The Texas Rangers are showing solid value as small home underdogs to the Baltimore Orioles tonight. There's no way the Rangers should be underdogs here with the way they have been playing of late. They've won six straight games coming in.
I also believe the Rangers have the edge on the mound tonight. Derek Holland has been solid at home all season, going 3-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in five starts. Holland is 5-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.152 WHIP in seven career starts against Baltimore as well.
Kevin Gausman is sill in search of his first victory of the season. He's 0-4 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.302 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.826 WHIP in his last three. Gausman is alo 0-3 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in six road starts this year.
Texas is 14-3 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after four or more consecutive road games this season. The Orioles are 3-11 in Gausman's last 14 road starts. The Rangers are 51-22 in their last 73 home games. Texas is 26-9 in Holland's last 35 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox -1? -106
Boston is worth a look on the 1.5 run line tonight against the White Sox. Chicago is in a complete free fall right now and just got swept in a 3-game series at Cleveland over the weekend. Boston should have no problem winning here by at least 2 runs with the big edge they have one the mound. The Red Sox will send out Steven Wright, who is 8-4 with a 2.22 ERA and 1.119 WHIP in 13 starts. Chicago on the other hand will have Miguel Gonzalez on the mound, who has a 4.89 ERA and 1.559 WHIP in 8 starts. White Sox just got done playing 3 straight series against division opponents and are 0-8 in their last 8 after playing 6 straight against division rivals and have lost these games y an average of 2.4 runs/game.
Houston Astros -146
Houston has won two straight and four of five overall and I look for them to continue their strong play with a win at home against the Angels tonight. The Astros will have a huge edge on the mound in this one, as they send out Doug Fister against Jhoulys Chacin.
Fister is 7-3 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.225 WHIP over 13 starts. He's quietly been one of the better starters in baseball over the last two months. Keep in mind he was 1-3 with a 5.56 ERA in the month of April. He then posted a 2.84 ERA in May and has a 1.40 ERA in three June starts.
Chacin has been heading in the opposite direction. After finishing up with a solid 3.27 ERA in April, he's posted a 5.23 ERA in May and a 7.04 ERA in June. He's 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA overall and is just 1-3 with a 5.28 ERA in 8 road starts.
Fister will be working on a full 5 days of rest and that's important to note, as he's 18-4 in his last 22 starts against the money line when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest. Astros are also 6-1 in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record and 9-0 in Fister's last 9 starts.
08:05 PM [908] CHI CUBS -180 ( J GARCIA -L / J LACKEY -R )
07:10 PM [916] BOS RED SOX -220 ( M GONZALEZ -R / S WRIGHT -R )
08:10 PM [918] HOU ASTROS -150 ( J CHACIN -R / D FISTER -R )
1 unit bet pays 5.07 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-79, -6.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
After an ineffective first six starts and time in the bullpen, De La Rosa returned to the rotation for five solid innings against the Yankees. Improved overall pace and a more consistent windup and delivery have helped...His early season struggles left a mark on his ratios, but it looks as though he?s regained his form on the mound
Clemens will make his first MLB appearance since 2014 and sixth career start....Clemens, 28, came over from the Kansas City Royals and signed a minor-league deal with Miami in late November of last year. With the Zephyrs this season, Clemens has drummed up a 6-4 record to go alongside a 4.30 ERA over the course of 75.1 innings; he?s punched out 66 batters in contrast to 25 walks.
He hasn?t appeared in the majors since 2014 when he was a member of the Houston Astros. In that season, Clemens appeared in 13 games and didn?t fare necessarily well, surrendering 28 hits and issuing 13 walks over 24.1 innings...5 starts in 2013, 3 of them quality starts...
Doug Fister has actually been surprisingly decent this season, allowing more than 3 ER just once all year. Too bad it comes with a sub 6.00 K/9 and a FIP/xFIP that makes you run to the hills faster than forest animals sensing evil in every bad horror film ever.
Josh Tomlin may be one of the more underappreciated starters out there as he's now allowed 2 ER or fewer in all but three of his 12 games this year. That's a 75% ES (excellent start) rate, which is as good as you'll find. The problem is that his SIERA/xFIP/FIP are all hating on him, expecting a major drop to 4.00+ soon, despite his absurdly low 0.85 BB/9 rate. Just keep trusting Tomlin unless he's faced with a difficult opponent.
Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland
Pick: Cleveland
The 38-30 Indians and 31-36 Rays are coming off contrasting weekend series. Cleveland swept a three-game home series from the White Sox over the weekend, while Tampa Bay got swept at home in a three-game series with the San Francisco Giants. The two teams open a three-game series Monday night in Cleveland and the pitching matchup of Drew Smyly (2-7, 4.75 ERA) facing Josh Tomlin (8-1, 3.27 ERA) features two players headed in opposite directions. Yes, Smyly showed some improvement his last time out after skipping a start to rest, when he allowed two runs on four hits with 12 strikeouts over 6.2 innings in a no-decision. However, one CAN?T ignore that in his previous four starts starts Smyly was 0-3 (team was 1-3) with a 8.44 ERA. Opposing teams have hit .308 against him over his last five starts!
In stark contrast, Cleveland?s Tomlin is serving up (at least so far) the best year of his career. Tomlin has walked one or zero batters in 11 of his 12 starts and his average of 0.85 walks per nine innings is the best in the American League by a wide margin. He makes his 13th start tonight with the Indians having gone 10-2 (plus-$805) though his first 12 (moneyline ranks 7th among all MLB starters). Tomlin has permitted two or fewer runs in EIGHT of those 12 starts this season, including last time out as he gave up one in seven innings of a no decision against Kansas City.
Smyly is 2-2 with a 3.93 ERA in 14 career appearances vs Cleveland and in six career starts at Progressive Field he owns a 5.73 ERA. Meanwhile, not only have the Indians been victorious in 10 of 12 games started by Josh Tomlin in 2016 but Cleveland also boasts 14 come-from-behind wins overall. Cleveland has posted a 20-12 home record while averaging a healthy 5.50 RPG. Stick with the home team.
Orioles at Rangers
Pick: Over
A battle of first place teams here on Monday as the AL East leading Orioles take on the AL West leading Rangers. The O's are holding onto a one-game lead over the Red Sox and have won two-straight games. Baltimore is now 26-12 at home. While the starting pitching has been hit and miss, the bullpen has been one of the best in baseball. The offense has been very good, ranking 1st in home runs (105) and 8th in scoring. Kevin Gausman starts today. Guasman still looking for that first win at 0-4 with a 4.14 ERA. The bright spot for Guasman is his KO to walk ratio of 57 to 17. The Rangers are running away with the West, now leading the Mariners by 8.5 games. The Rangers have won six straight, including a 3-game sweep of the Cardinals. Derek Holland starts today with a 5-5 record and 5.14 ERA. Holland has been hit hard his last two starts, allowing nine runs over just 8.2 innings with five walks. Both these teams among the best hitting clubs and with two shaky pitchers on the hill,
Texas Rangers +111
The Texas Rangers are showing solid value as small home underdogs to the Baltimore Orioles tonight. There's no way the Rangers should be underdogs here with the way they have been playing of late. They've won six straight games coming in.
I also believe the Rangers have the edge on the mound tonight. Derek Holland has been solid at home all season, going 3-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in five starts. Holland is 5-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.152 WHIP in seven career starts against Baltimore as well.
Kevin Gausman is sill in search of his first victory of the season. He's 0-4 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.302 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.826 WHIP in his last three. Gausman is alo 0-3 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in six road starts this year.
Texas is 14-3 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after four or more consecutive road games this season. The Orioles are 3-11 in Gausman's last 14 road starts. The Rangers are 51-22 in their last 73 home games. Texas is 26-9 in Holland's last 35 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox -1? -106
Boston is worth a look on the 1.5 run line tonight against the White Sox. Chicago is in a complete free fall right now and just got swept in a 3-game series at Cleveland over the weekend. Boston should have no problem winning here by at least 2 runs with the big edge they have one the mound. The Red Sox will send out Steven Wright, who is 8-4 with a 2.22 ERA and 1.119 WHIP in 13 starts. Chicago on the other hand will have Miguel Gonzalez on the mound, who has a 4.89 ERA and 1.559 WHIP in 8 starts. White Sox just got done playing 3 straight series against division opponents and are 0-8 in their last 8 after playing 6 straight against division rivals and have lost these games y an average of 2.4 runs/game.
Houston Astros -146
Houston has won two straight and four of five overall and I look for them to continue their strong play with a win at home against the Angels tonight. The Astros will have a huge edge on the mound in this one, as they send out Doug Fister against Jhoulys Chacin.
Fister is 7-3 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.225 WHIP over 13 starts. He's quietly been one of the better starters in baseball over the last two months. Keep in mind he was 1-3 with a 5.56 ERA in the month of April. He then posted a 2.84 ERA in May and has a 1.40 ERA in three June starts.
Chacin has been heading in the opposite direction. After finishing up with a solid 3.27 ERA in April, he's posted a 5.23 ERA in May and a 7.04 ERA in June. He's 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA overall and is just 1-3 with a 5.28 ERA in 8 road starts.
Fister will be working on a full 5 days of rest and that's important to note, as he's 18-4 in his last 22 starts against the money line when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest. Astros are also 6-1 in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record and 9-0 in Fister's last 9 starts.
