02:20 PM [969] Kansas City Royals -142 ( I Kennedy - R / J Berrios - R )
04:40 PM [979] Boston Red Sox -210 ( D Pomeranz - L / E Jackson - R )
04:10 PM [1974] TOTAL u4-120 (1H Det Tigers vrs 1H Chi White Sox) (Verlander/Sale)
1 unit bet pays 3.61 ....betdsi line .. evening parlay later
MLB parlays: 14-151, -39.49 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd....yet another long dry spell, hit four teamer on Aug 17...hit nice daytime five teamer on Aug 18....won small daytime three teamer on Aug 24..
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
tho teams in Detroit/CWS game today been going over of late, the starting pitcher trends are decidedly under.... "Under is 14-3-2 in Verlanders last 19 on grass" and this season when these pitchers faced today's opposing teams, scores were 2-3, 1-2 and 5-2....but I'm fearing a nail-biting 4-3 game, unless we get a real good 'under' ump for aces like last time I posted a Verlander under. So I might check ump before gametime, if I'm around the computer...wish I was back in Las Vegas, sitting in the sports book, watching all the games, eating some cheeseburger, drinking the booze, checking the ump last minute over the phablet!
-----------
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
A Labor Day filled with matinee action brings us a setting with the proper value to step in, and we will back Justin Verlander and Chris Sale to engage in another pitching duel via #974 White Sox/Tigers First Half Under (4:10 Eastern), with 4 available in the current trading. Both starters get to take advantage of lineups that had to travel from Sunday into this early start, all the while each of them had already settled in, having flown ahead.
Verlander has turned not the clock, but the calendar back, since the All Star break, a 6-1/2.04 that has rivaled any career stretch, with 78 strikeouts vs. only 41 hits allowed in that span. Sale has not been far behind that, a 2.52 post-break, and that includes two games against the Tigers in which they were held to a single run across the First Five each time.
I do not want any part of the bullpens here, in particular the White Sox relievers being gassed out, but I expect each starter to make a couple of good passes through the lineup as the early stages go by quickly.
In the Sights, MLB Part II?
As a holiday bonus let?s play two today ? I wanted to make sure that Salvador Perez would be behind the plate for the Royals today, not certain that he would in a travel setting to a day game, but he is in play, and so am I now with #969 Kansas City (2:05 Eastern), this one good to -135.
Ian Kennedy has it all over Jose Berrios in terms of current form, but while the starting edge is substantial, when it is bullpen vs. bullpen it is a mismatch, with Kelvin Herrera and Wade Davis both fresh for the Royals, while the Twins are in tatters after six relievers threw 131 pitches yesterday. With Berrios showing no ability to eat innings that aspect comes front-and-center, a major late-game edges to a KC team still fighting for their playoff lives.
Tigers vs. White Sox
Play: Tigers +110
The Detroit Tigers have won five of their last six games. They're battling to make it to the postseason as they enter Monday tied with the Baltimore Orioles for the second wild-card playoff berth in the American League. The Chicago White Sox season is all but over, and coming off a demanding 13-11 12-inning win at Minnesota last night I think they'll find it tough to recharge the batteries for this contest.
The Tigers swept a three-game set against the White Sox at Comerica Park last week. Justin Verlander (14-7, 3.30 ERA) limited the White Sox to a pair of runs on three hits in seven innings of work in a 3-2 win while Chris Sale (15-7, 3.10 ERA) was reached for a pair of runs on eight hits and four walks in the very same contest. The Tigers sure seem to know how to get runners on base against the left-hander, and Victor Martinez is 19-for-42 with four homers and nine RBI in previous meetings with Sale.
Tigers are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record and the White Sox are just 2-7 in Sale's last nine starts.
Red Sox vs. Padres
Play: Red Sox -1.5
Boston is showing some great value here on the run line Monday against the Padres. The Red Sox have won 3 of 4 and are clearly the better team in this one. The biggest key is the starting pitching matchup. Boston will send out Drew Pomeranz, who will be making his first start against the team that traded him to the Red Sox earlier this season.
Pomeranz is going to feel right at home on the road, as he posted a strong 2.64 ERA in 8 starts at Petco Park before being traded. He also has pitched well away from home this season, posting a 2.77 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 14 road starts. He'll be face a soft-hitting Padres lineup that comes in hitting just .204 as a team over their last 7 games.
Boston on the other hand is scorching at the plate, as they come in hitting .318 as a team and scoring 7.3 run/game over their last 7. They should have no problem putting a big number here against Edwin Jackson. He's 3-4 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in 8 starts and has awful 13.88 ERA and 2.828 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Boston is 15-4 in their last 19 road games with a rested bullpen that has thrown 2 innings or less in each of their last 2 games and have won these by an average score of 5.1 to 2.8.
San Francisco vs. Colorado
Pick: San Francisco
The San Francisco Giants lost 3-2 (13 innings) at Chicago on Sunday, which is nothing new. San Francisco owned MLB?s best record (57-33) at the All Star break but Sunday?s loss gave them a 16-30 record since the break, including a hard-luck 5-13 mark in one-run games. The Giants trail the first-place Dodgers by three games in the NL West but continue to hold down a wild-card spot, 1 1/2 games better than the Cards, as well as being 2 1/2 games clear of the playoff ?cut line.? San Francisco is hoping that the team's dormant bats (Giants have averaged 2.8 RPG over a 2-4 stretch) ?wake up? in Coors Field as the Giants open a three-game series at the 65-71 Colorado Rockies on Monday.
The Rockies used to be a dominant home team but after going 36-45 at Coors Field in 2015, Colorado checks in just 35-34 at home again in 2016. Colorado has lost THREE of its last four home games, allowing 34 runs (8.5 per) in the process. Chad Bettis (11-7, 5.17 ERA) gets the nod for Colorado, after completing seven innings for the first time since April 10 in his previous start (August 28 at Washington). He allowed two runs and five hits in the win, his fifth in the last six decisions. However, Bettis still owns a 5.17 ERA, and a 1.48 WHIP on the season, with opponents batting .288 against him.
The Giants send Matt Moore to the mound, who owns a combined 9-10 record this season with a 3.88 ERA in starts for Tampa Bay and San Francisco. Moore followed up his 133-pitch near-no-hitter on August 25 (8.2 IP / 1 hit) with a solid 5.1 innings in a 4-2 win over Arizona on Wednesday. The Giants are 33-21 against the NL West, which is the best intra-divisional record for any team in the division, and will be playing a divisional opponent for the first time since July 17. A visit to Denver is a common cure for struggling offenses and the Giants have scored at least six runs in FIVE of their previous six contests at Coors in 2016. With Moore pitching well, the Giants are the play.
Philadelphia -102 over MIAMI
One really has to question the Marlins state of mind here. They have been in the playoff race for most of the year but after getting swept in Cleveland over the weekend, capped by a three-run, ninth inning rally yesterday by the Indians, Miami is now under .500 and essentially finished. Morale cannot be high, as they return home to play in front of what is likely to be a small crowd. Furthermore, the Marlins will send a rookie to the hill.
To replace the injured David Phelps in the rotation, the Marlins turned to 26-year-old Jacob Esch from Triple-A, where he made an emergency start on Wednesday, Aug. 31. Esch was an 11th-round pick in 2011 and has posted mediocre numbers in his career. He lasted just four innings in his debut with three walks and two K?s. His WHIP in his debut was 2.30. In 22 games at Double-A, Esch?s ERA was 4.08. In eight games at Triple A, his ERA was 5.07. The combination of Esch and the Marlins is a weak one right now considering Esch?s weak history and the Marlins weak state of mind.
Philadelphia is limping to the finish line too but they remain an enthusiastic group of kids that want to win. They have a great chance to do so here with Jerad Eickhoff going.
Eickoff?s skill growth timed out perfectly with his ascension to the majors late last year. He closed out his first stint in the bigs with back-to-back 10-K gems. All things considered, Eickhoff has had a tremendous year pitching half his games at a difficult park. He was hit hard in July, at least on the surface (4.50 ERA) but a deeper look reveals a collection of skills that continue to be worth backing. In 162 innings, Eickhoff has an outstanding BB/K split of 38/134 and while the K-rate is not that of a budding ace, the entire profile is one of a solid and reliable #2 or #3 starter. We?re investing in him again in this favorable spot.
04:40 PM [979] Boston Red Sox -210 ( D Pomeranz - L / E Jackson - R )
04:10 PM [1974] TOTAL u4-120 (1H Det Tigers vrs 1H Chi White Sox) (Verlander/Sale)
1 unit bet pays 3.61 ....betdsi line .. evening parlay later
MLB parlays: 14-151, -39.49 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd....yet another long dry spell, hit four teamer on Aug 17...hit nice daytime five teamer on Aug 18....won small daytime three teamer on Aug 24..
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
tho teams in Detroit/CWS game today been going over of late, the starting pitcher trends are decidedly under.... "Under is 14-3-2 in Verlanders last 19 on grass" and this season when these pitchers faced today's opposing teams, scores were 2-3, 1-2 and 5-2....but I'm fearing a nail-biting 4-3 game, unless we get a real good 'under' ump for aces like last time I posted a Verlander under. So I might check ump before gametime, if I'm around the computer...wish I was back in Las Vegas, sitting in the sports book, watching all the games, eating some cheeseburger, drinking the booze, checking the ump last minute over the phablet!
-----------
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
A Labor Day filled with matinee action brings us a setting with the proper value to step in, and we will back Justin Verlander and Chris Sale to engage in another pitching duel via #974 White Sox/Tigers First Half Under (4:10 Eastern), with 4 available in the current trading. Both starters get to take advantage of lineups that had to travel from Sunday into this early start, all the while each of them had already settled in, having flown ahead.
Verlander has turned not the clock, but the calendar back, since the All Star break, a 6-1/2.04 that has rivaled any career stretch, with 78 strikeouts vs. only 41 hits allowed in that span. Sale has not been far behind that, a 2.52 post-break, and that includes two games against the Tigers in which they were held to a single run across the First Five each time.
I do not want any part of the bullpens here, in particular the White Sox relievers being gassed out, but I expect each starter to make a couple of good passes through the lineup as the early stages go by quickly.
In the Sights, MLB Part II?
As a holiday bonus let?s play two today ? I wanted to make sure that Salvador Perez would be behind the plate for the Royals today, not certain that he would in a travel setting to a day game, but he is in play, and so am I now with #969 Kansas City (2:05 Eastern), this one good to -135.
Ian Kennedy has it all over Jose Berrios in terms of current form, but while the starting edge is substantial, when it is bullpen vs. bullpen it is a mismatch, with Kelvin Herrera and Wade Davis both fresh for the Royals, while the Twins are in tatters after six relievers threw 131 pitches yesterday. With Berrios showing no ability to eat innings that aspect comes front-and-center, a major late-game edges to a KC team still fighting for their playoff lives.
Tigers vs. White Sox
Play: Tigers +110
The Detroit Tigers have won five of their last six games. They're battling to make it to the postseason as they enter Monday tied with the Baltimore Orioles for the second wild-card playoff berth in the American League. The Chicago White Sox season is all but over, and coming off a demanding 13-11 12-inning win at Minnesota last night I think they'll find it tough to recharge the batteries for this contest.
The Tigers swept a three-game set against the White Sox at Comerica Park last week. Justin Verlander (14-7, 3.30 ERA) limited the White Sox to a pair of runs on three hits in seven innings of work in a 3-2 win while Chris Sale (15-7, 3.10 ERA) was reached for a pair of runs on eight hits and four walks in the very same contest. The Tigers sure seem to know how to get runners on base against the left-hander, and Victor Martinez is 19-for-42 with four homers and nine RBI in previous meetings with Sale.
Tigers are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record and the White Sox are just 2-7 in Sale's last nine starts.
Red Sox vs. Padres
Play: Red Sox -1.5
Boston is showing some great value here on the run line Monday against the Padres. The Red Sox have won 3 of 4 and are clearly the better team in this one. The biggest key is the starting pitching matchup. Boston will send out Drew Pomeranz, who will be making his first start against the team that traded him to the Red Sox earlier this season.
Pomeranz is going to feel right at home on the road, as he posted a strong 2.64 ERA in 8 starts at Petco Park before being traded. He also has pitched well away from home this season, posting a 2.77 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 14 road starts. He'll be face a soft-hitting Padres lineup that comes in hitting just .204 as a team over their last 7 games.
Boston on the other hand is scorching at the plate, as they come in hitting .318 as a team and scoring 7.3 run/game over their last 7. They should have no problem putting a big number here against Edwin Jackson. He's 3-4 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in 8 starts and has awful 13.88 ERA and 2.828 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Boston is 15-4 in their last 19 road games with a rested bullpen that has thrown 2 innings or less in each of their last 2 games and have won these by an average score of 5.1 to 2.8.
San Francisco vs. Colorado
Pick: San Francisco
The San Francisco Giants lost 3-2 (13 innings) at Chicago on Sunday, which is nothing new. San Francisco owned MLB?s best record (57-33) at the All Star break but Sunday?s loss gave them a 16-30 record since the break, including a hard-luck 5-13 mark in one-run games. The Giants trail the first-place Dodgers by three games in the NL West but continue to hold down a wild-card spot, 1 1/2 games better than the Cards, as well as being 2 1/2 games clear of the playoff ?cut line.? San Francisco is hoping that the team's dormant bats (Giants have averaged 2.8 RPG over a 2-4 stretch) ?wake up? in Coors Field as the Giants open a three-game series at the 65-71 Colorado Rockies on Monday.
The Rockies used to be a dominant home team but after going 36-45 at Coors Field in 2015, Colorado checks in just 35-34 at home again in 2016. Colorado has lost THREE of its last four home games, allowing 34 runs (8.5 per) in the process. Chad Bettis (11-7, 5.17 ERA) gets the nod for Colorado, after completing seven innings for the first time since April 10 in his previous start (August 28 at Washington). He allowed two runs and five hits in the win, his fifth in the last six decisions. However, Bettis still owns a 5.17 ERA, and a 1.48 WHIP on the season, with opponents batting .288 against him.
The Giants send Matt Moore to the mound, who owns a combined 9-10 record this season with a 3.88 ERA in starts for Tampa Bay and San Francisco. Moore followed up his 133-pitch near-no-hitter on August 25 (8.2 IP / 1 hit) with a solid 5.1 innings in a 4-2 win over Arizona on Wednesday. The Giants are 33-21 against the NL West, which is the best intra-divisional record for any team in the division, and will be playing a divisional opponent for the first time since July 17. A visit to Denver is a common cure for struggling offenses and the Giants have scored at least six runs in FIVE of their previous six contests at Coors in 2016. With Moore pitching well, the Giants are the play.
Philadelphia -102 over MIAMI
One really has to question the Marlins state of mind here. They have been in the playoff race for most of the year but after getting swept in Cleveland over the weekend, capped by a three-run, ninth inning rally yesterday by the Indians, Miami is now under .500 and essentially finished. Morale cannot be high, as they return home to play in front of what is likely to be a small crowd. Furthermore, the Marlins will send a rookie to the hill.
To replace the injured David Phelps in the rotation, the Marlins turned to 26-year-old Jacob Esch from Triple-A, where he made an emergency start on Wednesday, Aug. 31. Esch was an 11th-round pick in 2011 and has posted mediocre numbers in his career. He lasted just four innings in his debut with three walks and two K?s. His WHIP in his debut was 2.30. In 22 games at Double-A, Esch?s ERA was 4.08. In eight games at Triple A, his ERA was 5.07. The combination of Esch and the Marlins is a weak one right now considering Esch?s weak history and the Marlins weak state of mind.
Philadelphia is limping to the finish line too but they remain an enthusiastic group of kids that want to win. They have a great chance to do so here with Jerad Eickhoff going.
Eickoff?s skill growth timed out perfectly with his ascension to the majors late last year. He closed out his first stint in the bigs with back-to-back 10-K gems. All things considered, Eickhoff has had a tremendous year pitching half his games at a difficult park. He was hit hard in July, at least on the surface (4.50 ERA) but a deeper look reveals a collection of skills that continue to be worth backing. In 162 innings, Eickhoff has an outstanding BB/K split of 38/134 and while the K-rate is not that of a budding ace, the entire profile is one of a solid and reliable #2 or #3 starter. We?re investing in him again in this favorable spot.
