Thanks to Sonny..
#1 Today, 08:59 AM
MOTOWN
Registered User Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: New York City
Posts: 1,935
Solid Bowl Information
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following information is a cut and paste from another site. Pretty good info and I wanted to pass it on to you guys. GL - MO
As the number of bowls ridiculously increases, remember that not all of these games are rewards. For some bad teams that have had disappointing seasons, there is often not a lot of energy left, particularly if injuries have played a part in their downfall. So we will be looking closely at some 7-5 and 6-6 teams that we believe would have rather had the chance to take the holidays off, instead of having to keep putting the pads back on to practice. The coaches are forced to offer their usual 'We are glad to be going to (wherever),' but if you take the time to read between the lines, you can find that in some cases that is not the truth at all.
Don't over-react to how a team closed out their regular season, particularly if they ended with a loss (or two, or three).
Ending the regular season on a loss, or even several losses, is a positive motivational factor as a team prepares for bowl season. At the same time, a loss or a string of losses creates extra pointspread value for that same team. Put those two factors together, and voila -- you're looking at a strong recipe for bowl betting success -- extra motivation and extra line value.
Regardless of the sport, or time of year, "motivation" is always a factor, which I strongly consider. Assessing motivation levels is particularly important during the bowl season. Some teams are thrilled to be there. More often than not, players on these teams are extremely determined and work hard in preparing for their big game. Other teams are disappointed to be playing in a minor or lesser bowl game. These are often talented teams, which didn't live up to their preseason expectations. Or, they can be teams which felt snubbed and that they actually deserved to be playing in a bigger game. Players on these "disappointed" teams often have a more difficult time focusing during practice. The extra few weeks is just extending their disappointment and this can lead to being less "hungry" on game day.
CONFERENCE BOWL ATS RECORDS SINCE 2004
SEC: 17-13
Big 12: 16-15
MWC: 10-7
Big 10: 13-13
Big East: 10-10
WAC: 7-7
Independents: 4-4
Pac-10: 11-13
ACC: 12-15
CUSA: 10-12
Sunbelt: 3-4
MAC: 6-8
JET LAG
Teams traveling the farthest are 23-37 ATS the past two years.
HOME-STATE ADVANTAGE
Teams staying instate for bowl games are 12-6 ATS the past two years.
TIRED OF LOSING?
Since 2004, teams coming off bowl losses in consecutive years are 12-5 ATS when reaching a bowl the following season. The following teams have lost bowl games in at least the past two seasons.
Navy
Oklahoma
Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech (lost three straight)
UCLA
Houston (lost three straight)
Nevada
Clemson
Ohio State
TEAMS WITH SENIOR QUARTERBACKS
Fresno State: Tom Brandstater
Colorado State: Billy Farris
Arizona: Willie Tuitama
Navy: Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada
West Virginia: Pat White
Rutgers: Mike Teel
Missouri: Chase Daniel
Northwestern: C.J. Bacher
Rice: Chase Clement
Michigan State: Brian Hoyer
Nebraska: Joe Ganz
Clemson: Cullen Harper
Texas Tech: Graham Harrell
Utah: Brian Johnson
Alabama: John Parker Wilson
Buffalo: Drew Willy
UConn: Tyler Lorenzen
HOW?D THEY GET HERE?
Bowl team with worst offense: Vanderbilt
Commodores rank 104th in scoring offense, averaging 19.42 points a game.
Worst defense: Rice
Owls rank 107th in scoring defense, allowing 34.9 points per game.
Worst passing game: Georgia Tech
We could give the Yellow Jackets a pass here, seeing as they average nearly 300 yards on the ground. But if the Jackets fall behind LSU early, they haven?t shown the ability (or needed to) come from behind through the air.
Georgia Tech averages less than 100 yards passing per game.
Worst running game: South Carolina
The Gamecocks haven?t been able to move the ball on the ground for the past two seasons. But this year has been especially bad. Steve Spurrier?s club is averaging 98.3 yards rushing per game.
Worst run defense: Fresno State
The Bulldogs allow 197.3 yards rushing per game.
Worst pass defense: Nevada.
The Wolf Pack rank dead last, allowing 321 yards through the air per game. That?s nearly 40 more yards than the second-worst pass defense (Central Michigan).
Worst turnover margin: Fresno State
The Bulldogs have turned it over 23 times, while only forcing 11 turnovers.
How important is turnover margin?
Oklahoma and Florida are one and two in the nation.
Hawaii has turned it over 35 times, followed closely by South Carolina?s 33 turnovers.
#1 Today, 08:59 AM
MOTOWN
Registered User Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: New York City
Posts: 1,935
Solid Bowl Information
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following information is a cut and paste from another site. Pretty good info and I wanted to pass it on to you guys. GL - MO
As the number of bowls ridiculously increases, remember that not all of these games are rewards. For some bad teams that have had disappointing seasons, there is often not a lot of energy left, particularly if injuries have played a part in their downfall. So we will be looking closely at some 7-5 and 6-6 teams that we believe would have rather had the chance to take the holidays off, instead of having to keep putting the pads back on to practice. The coaches are forced to offer their usual 'We are glad to be going to (wherever),' but if you take the time to read between the lines, you can find that in some cases that is not the truth at all.
Don't over-react to how a team closed out their regular season, particularly if they ended with a loss (or two, or three).
Ending the regular season on a loss, or even several losses, is a positive motivational factor as a team prepares for bowl season. At the same time, a loss or a string of losses creates extra pointspread value for that same team. Put those two factors together, and voila -- you're looking at a strong recipe for bowl betting success -- extra motivation and extra line value.
Regardless of the sport, or time of year, "motivation" is always a factor, which I strongly consider. Assessing motivation levels is particularly important during the bowl season. Some teams are thrilled to be there. More often than not, players on these teams are extremely determined and work hard in preparing for their big game. Other teams are disappointed to be playing in a minor or lesser bowl game. These are often talented teams, which didn't live up to their preseason expectations. Or, they can be teams which felt snubbed and that they actually deserved to be playing in a bigger game. Players on these "disappointed" teams often have a more difficult time focusing during practice. The extra few weeks is just extending their disappointment and this can lead to being less "hungry" on game day.
CONFERENCE BOWL ATS RECORDS SINCE 2004
SEC: 17-13
Big 12: 16-15
MWC: 10-7
Big 10: 13-13
Big East: 10-10
WAC: 7-7
Independents: 4-4
Pac-10: 11-13
ACC: 12-15
CUSA: 10-12
Sunbelt: 3-4
MAC: 6-8
JET LAG
Teams traveling the farthest are 23-37 ATS the past two years.
HOME-STATE ADVANTAGE
Teams staying instate for bowl games are 12-6 ATS the past two years.
TIRED OF LOSING?
Since 2004, teams coming off bowl losses in consecutive years are 12-5 ATS when reaching a bowl the following season. The following teams have lost bowl games in at least the past two seasons.
Navy
Oklahoma
Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech (lost three straight)
UCLA
Houston (lost three straight)
Nevada
Clemson
Ohio State
TEAMS WITH SENIOR QUARTERBACKS
Fresno State: Tom Brandstater
Colorado State: Billy Farris
Arizona: Willie Tuitama
Navy: Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada
West Virginia: Pat White
Rutgers: Mike Teel
Missouri: Chase Daniel
Northwestern: C.J. Bacher
Rice: Chase Clement
Michigan State: Brian Hoyer
Nebraska: Joe Ganz
Clemson: Cullen Harper
Texas Tech: Graham Harrell
Utah: Brian Johnson
Alabama: John Parker Wilson
Buffalo: Drew Willy
UConn: Tyler Lorenzen
HOW?D THEY GET HERE?
Bowl team with worst offense: Vanderbilt
Commodores rank 104th in scoring offense, averaging 19.42 points a game.
Worst defense: Rice
Owls rank 107th in scoring defense, allowing 34.9 points per game.
Worst passing game: Georgia Tech
We could give the Yellow Jackets a pass here, seeing as they average nearly 300 yards on the ground. But if the Jackets fall behind LSU early, they haven?t shown the ability (or needed to) come from behind through the air.
Georgia Tech averages less than 100 yards passing per game.
Worst running game: South Carolina
The Gamecocks haven?t been able to move the ball on the ground for the past two seasons. But this year has been especially bad. Steve Spurrier?s club is averaging 98.3 yards rushing per game.
Worst run defense: Fresno State
The Bulldogs allow 197.3 yards rushing per game.
Worst pass defense: Nevada.
The Wolf Pack rank dead last, allowing 321 yards through the air per game. That?s nearly 40 more yards than the second-worst pass defense (Central Michigan).
Worst turnover margin: Fresno State
The Bulldogs have turned it over 23 times, while only forcing 11 turnovers.
How important is turnover margin?
Oklahoma and Florida are one and two in the nation.
Hawaii has turned it over 35 times, followed closely by South Carolina?s 33 turnovers.
