muchos grande plays

mack the knife

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Jul 19, 2002
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1-1 yesterday as I again hit the 2 unit play (stl) to go +1.45 yesterday.

11-14 playoff but +2.65 units
YTD +4.65

hello!

2 units STL +130
1 unit SF under 8.5 +110
1 unit ANA under 8.5 +105


Let me get this straight. SF is 15-19 behind hernandez this year, 9-10 at home. He is remarkably stable in tems of his home era over 5 years: about 4.0 this year, about 4.0 since 1997. But his teams are a mere 5 games over 50% since this time.

Stl behind benes is 6-3 on the rd, 12-6 overall, and he has a sub 3.0 era. Benes has been especially good for those who back stl on the rd, this year and always

Meanwhile, stl as a team on the road has nearly the same W/L home record as SF, have a +50% record as a dog, are 36-25 versus winning teams in baseball. Energized by yesterday, me thinks Stl ties this one up in a nail-biter classic.

Ana/Min under is just going against the grain. Mays has been brutal on the rd, but I think he comes up big here. If his last start carries over, twins are likely the rights side as well. Appier a mere 50% pitcher for his teams--that won't cut it as a big favorite. Staying with the low scoring trend....

MTK
 
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