My new system(4th +day in a row)

Superbear

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Aug 23, 2002
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New England
Yesterday I didnt post beacause I had 10 plays in the NBA and 1 in ncaa - went 5-6 for a small profit of +.255 of a unit. For those who dont want to look for my wens and thurs posts, my logic in something new I,ve been trying is this; I look for ML dogs I think have the best chance of winning the game (range of most ML's I also look for are +180 to +450, as less than 180 is too small a value, and over 450 is way too much of a longshot). Instead of playing my usual 1 unit, I play half a unit on the spread and half a unit on the ML. I also will play a few whole unit plays on 1 to 3 games on other systems like the unranked home face vs. the ranked road dog, or othe situational plays like Alabama or BC tommorow, but will from now on stay away from huge dogs I think will backdoor cover, but wont win the game.So far the overnite lines for Sat I,m on are;

NORTHERN ILL. +7.5 (win)
+260 (win)

BALL ST. +7 (win)
+260 (loss)

MIZZOU +9.5 (loss)
+400 (loss)

CLEMSON +8 (win)
+300 (loss)

TENN. +5.5
+200

HOFSTRA +10.5
+450

LA TECH +5
+190

ALABAMA -1 ( 1 unit )
 
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Superbear

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 23, 2002
696
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62
New England
Thanks, I made a mistake, I got it at +450 but thats still not as good as +580. Sometimes you can get an extra half a point or a point buying the night before as in the case of ;

No Ill was +7.5 - now +7

Clemson was +8 now +7.5

Alabama was -1 now -1.5
I got a slightly better deal on the points on those 3 but lost out on:

Mizzou +9.5 now +10

I figure if I cant cover, I certainly dont win outright and that +10.5 on Hofstra is very tasty.
 

Superbear

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 23, 2002
696
1
0
62
New England
NOVA +6 (loss)
+220 (loss)

1ST HALF AKRON +8 ( HALF UNIT) (loss)

1ST HALF DEPAUL +6.5 (HALF UNIT) (loss)
 
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