first of all, part of u both said is kind of right for me.... but
in my case it?s easier to think a different way (and not talking about the fix stuff if there is such)??. NBA is so difficult sport to bet, things can go the exactly opposite way of ur thoughts no matter which teams are involved (even in POs)??. I mean, Cavs has covered (ATS) almost every game this postseason, even with a good team like the Pistons, and people were raped if we took in mind the consensus (just like 2day, almost 60% on the Cavs taking the juicy 7 - 7.5 points) in every of those games, all jumped hard on the Pistons, same case with v.s. Nets and bla bla bla??.. now, 2nite consensus again 60% (+/- 2) on the Cavs and more than 65% on the under? come on, lets face it, we need to be more objectives at the moment we put any cash on a game like this, we (or most of us) are bettors not fans, I also liked to see the Cavs W the game, but the Spurs are a great team, they been here so often, they got the scars that prove they are the team to defeat, and even then I couldn?t play the side (-7 is way to much for me in this position, and ML :nono: do not like to play big chalk)?? I played the over ?cause I felt more comfortable expecting more offensive stuff by both teams (and at the end we always need the luck if we bet sports, it?s not only knowledge and bla bla bla, and of course, I can?t see my self by now playing again the over in next game), I didn?t play so much games in POs, it?s better to wait positions like these? not in the world u?ll see big consensus W both, side and total, not in the NBA (very rare)?
In my humble opinion, yes, there are traps in everything what implies big quantities of money (though I do not believe it is the general rule), but even this way, I think that it is more feasibly to think differently if u wants to be earned some nice $$$...
vicc