NASCAR in HOTlanta

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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Mar 9, 2000
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SEASON:

OUTRIGHTS: 1-9 (+90.00)
PROPS+MATCHUPS: 15-10 (+387.50)
OVERALL (+477.50)


Last week was very nice....not so much in the outright area, as we just missed with Kahne, but going against Junior was quite profitable. Hopefully we can keep it up this week.....however, I have noticed that my book (5Dimes) is getting a little sharper....so that just means that I have put in extra work, and put the hammer down this week, and make them think twice.

This week is interesting because there are a few cars that are annually very good at this track....Bobby Labonte, Jeff Gordon, Tony Stewart and Dale Jarrett has been very good here in the past. Do not let this make your mind up 100%.....reason I say that is because I am not sold on Jeff Gordon. His average speeds in practice have been mediocre and on top of that his pit crew is one of the worst in the NASCAR circuit for a top notch driver. I never feel comfortable with him until the race is over.

Dale Jr. had his share of troubles last week, and I do not look for a total rebound performance this week. He has publically criticized Teresa Earnhardt for not spending the needed money to get this team where they need to be. Their 3rd car, John Andretti #1 does not have a sponsor and this has helped in the last with knowing the right setups to tracks.....so they feel like they are behind most multi- car operations.....and they are. His practice times have been mediocre and he will probably be a 15th place car today. His teammate, Waltrip is horrible at this track and I look for nothing better than 25th for him today.

The expected drivers to run up front all of today are Jimmie Johnson and Tony Stewart. Both have run very good practice times and both race very well on this type of racetrack. hendrick and Gibbs teams have run very well here in the past and I look for that to continue with these two.

I have 3 darkhorses that I look for strong performances from today, and 1 I have listed as the 4th favorite to win the whole damn thing!!

1.) Casey Mears. (Laugh now, but I am telling you right now that this car is great. He is off of his best career finish, 7th, last week, and is learning quickly. His car has consistanly been the best out there all weekend. If he can hold it together....he will be there at the end today.

2.) Joe Nemachek (Nemacheck has won this race before....and he has consistantly run wel here in the past and as well this weekend. Joe likes to go fast, and they dont get much faster than Atlanta.

3.) Dave Blaney (Blaney has run well here in the past....in fact last year was running in the Top 5 and his tire fell off, and he fell back.....but he is fast again this weekend and maybe he can finish the job

As for another guy that may outperform his norm is Jeff Burton.....he has not been good lately, but he may run up front today. He is the one that did the Atlanta testing for the Roush team, and will probably run as the second bet Roush car today.....


Here is what I am playing today.....Books beware, LOL



Outrights:

Johnson 7-1 (80 to win 560)
Stewart 9-1 (60 to win 540)
Mears 30-1 (20 to win 600)
Nemacheck 75-1 (10 to win 750)

Top 10:
Nemacheck +305 (20 to win 61)

Top 5:
Nemacheck +900 (10 to win 90)

Top 3:
Johnson +275 (100 to win 275)
Mears 10-1 (40 to win 400)
Nemacheck 15-1 (20 to win 300)
Blaney 30-1 (10 to win 300)
Busch +375 (50 to win 175)

Matchups:

Johnson over J Gordon +105 (100 to win 105)
Johnson over B Labonte -105 (105 to win 100)
Nemacheck over W Burton -110 (110 to win 100)
Biffle over Waltrip -120 (120 to win 100)
J Burton over Martin +100 (100 to win 100)
B Labonte over Junior -150 (150 to win 100)

Junior to finish over 7.5 position (125 to win 100)


Good Luck!!!!!
 

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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Mar 9, 2000
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I am gonna try this......I usually do this for every race to halp me with matchups, but this is my predicted race results.....maybe this will help some of you all too:shrug:

Johnson
Stewart
Busch
Mears
Nemacheck
Newman
Harvick
B Labonte
J Gordon
Blaney
Marlin
Jarrett
Kenseth
Vickers
Wallace
J Burton
W Burton
Junior
Biffle
McMurray
Kahne
Martin
Mayfield
Riggs
Waltrip
Rudd

and that is all I have time for...my wife needs the computer, and that means get the hell off, lol
 

topspinner

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 19, 1999
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Tease, very nice writeup....appreciate your efforts. I looked for the top ten finishes at 5 dimes and couldn't find them. Where is that listed?
 

azjeff

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 22, 2002
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Tease.. thanks for the great write up.. with your assistance i was able to put a dime on stewart over b labonte and never really be challenged,, thanks again!!!!
 

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
Forum Member
Mar 9, 2000
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topspinner.....sorry about that, but they are under futures.


glad someone made a little money....i got killed today......sems like every so often, you are right about a few guys and it just blows up in your face......mears had the best run og his career, and all for not.

junior fooled me again, i hate that prick.

lost a few matchups by 1 or 2 positions.....oh well, feel pretty good about my analysis, just gotta get lucky
 
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