Navy VS Texas Tech - Let's Talk!

AnkAnk

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I personally really like Texas Tech in this spot. In four seasons under head coach Mike Leach, the Red Raiders are 14-5 in non-conference games, including postseason bowl games. I believe Texas Tech is going to put up a lot of points (no surprise) and I don't believe Navy is going to be able to match them touchdown for touchdown. As of right now, I'm going with TT -11.

Has anyone followed Navy Football this year? I'm a "Big Ten" guy so I didn't really get to see them play. Any input is appreciated.

From the little I know, it doesn't seem like Navy has played "anyone". Texas Tech has played well against teams like Mississippi, Oklahoma State, Colorado, and Texas. I see TT to run away with this game.

Good Luck to all!
 

gman2

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same argument was made against tcu (people saying they didnt play anyone)

this game very similar to boise/tcu

pass-happy team is an 11 point chalk and popular with the public (as most high scoring teams are)

but the chalk team cant stop they run. they cant win the battle up front. and no matter how often they score, they get worn down on defense and cant pull away. boise and tech are similar on defense. not particularly physical and dont know how to stop the option.

gonna be real tough to cover if you cant stop the run.
 

johnnyonthespot

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I think a very important difference from this game and the TCU/Boise was that TCU was playing on their home field.

Nevertheless gman, you are correct in that it is very tough to win if you can't stop the run. I think the tale will be told in this game early on. If TT gets out to a 2 TD lead or more, Navy simply won't have the firepower to mount a comeback. At that point they can wear down the D all they want but if they can't stop TT they just won't have enough time and/or possesions. On the other hand, if Navy gets ahead early or just plays it close they can just dominate TOP and then I think you're looking at a close game all the way down to the wire.

This is a very tough game to cap, but I think you'll know 20 minutes into the game if you've capped it right.

GL
 

gman2

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johnnyonthespot said:

This is a very tough game to cap, but I think you'll know 20 minutes into the game if you've capped it right.

thats exactly how i feel, and thats why im passing but waiting till halftime. if navy is close at half, ill probably play em in the 2h. could very well happen. navy holds some fundamental edges here
 

l_love7

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gman

you are correct, in that stopping the run is tech's weakness. however, you will see a big difference today in how they defense the run. they will crowd the line with 8-9 men, and take away what Navy does best. this is something that they couldnt do against teams in the big 12 (ie, Mizzou to whom they gave up nearly 500yds on the ground), Okie St. (350yds), etc. etc.) as big 12 teams are not one dimensional. this tech team rolls today. again, my only dilemma is deciding whether to go for the middle with my local, who has the game at 17.5 & 78.5.

just my opinion. gl2all

lance
 

AnkAnk

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I_love7 (lance)

I_love7 (lance)

I wish I had a local guy with those odds. I would definetely play the Under 78.5. Gman is correct is stating that TT cannot stop the run but you also make a good point about stacking the D-line with 8-9 people. 11 points is alot of points and I totally agree that the public loves to throw money on high scoring teams, but my opinion is that Navy will be outplayed today. I don't have any numerical stats right now to write but Texas Tech will not have a problem with this Navy team.

Good Luck to All.
 

Mr. Ass

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Very valid arguments made in favor of Navy, HOWEVER, regardless of whether T. T. can stop the run or not the, true question is, "CAN NAVY SCORE ENOUGH TO KEEP UP WITH SYMONS?"

I say no. Both D's are horrible but now you must look at the offense and if this becomes a shootout, Navy is going to lose and lose ugly.
 
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