NBA 1st Q

C

cisco

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This is a first quarter Home Favorite play. Moneyline and ATS. Three game chase.This is not my doing. There are no rules.
Probably been done a thousand times. I'm just a scorekeeper. The moneylines are expensive but twice as profitable.
Last year's numbers:
http://tinyurl.com/95vxe3f


I'll grade the plays using Pinnacle closing lines. If you see Miami -156 on my sheet and the closing line is -161, I'll change the sheet to -161 and grade at -161. We all get different lines during the day.

I won't be posting the plays here. Use the spreadsheet. If someone wants to post the plays in here all the better.


link to spreadsheet:
http://tinyurl.com/9hvewfv

We start tonight with Miami and the Lakers.
 
T

Tman

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Sounds interesting although i've never done a chase system: so I understand how this works is this correct?

EX: (for a ML chase)

Lakers -190 (1Q) lets say $100/game

I win I start over with Lakers obviously, but if I lose..next game lets say -190 again (so I'm -$190 going into #2 chase) I need to wager $570 to win $290 to still show the $100 profit? Is that correct?

Also, if the chase loses 3 in a row, you just start over? Thanks, as this kinda peaked my interest after looking at your numbers
 
R

ron808

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Questions

Questions

cisco, thanks for the information.

question, do I need to play both the ML and ATS or can I play just one or the other?

Do I only play the teams listed? ML and ATS have different teams listed. ATS has Chicago listed and the ML no team but subdued color.

:0074
 
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C

cisco

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Tman said:
Sounds interesting although i've never done a chase system: so I understand how this works is this correct?

EX: (for a ML chase)

Lakers -190 (1Q) lets say $100/game

I win I start over with Lakers obviously, but if I lose..next game lets say -190 again (so I'm -$190 going into #2 chase) I need to wager $570 to win $290 to still show the $100 profit? Is that correct?

Also, if the chase loses 3 in a row, you just start over? Thanks, as this kinda peaked my interest after looking at your numbers
Click to expand...

You are correct. That's why I'm a $3 bettor.
 
C

cisco

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ron808 said:
cisco, thanks for the information.

question, do I need to play both the ML and ATS or can I play just one or the other?

Do I only play the teams listed? ML and ATS have different teams listed. ATS has Chicago listed and the ML no team but subdued color.

:0074
Click to expand...

Play what you want. More profit with ML. Sleep better with ATS.

I color todays games in red.
 
T

Tman

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Ok thanks for the info...one last thing, based on last years table I'm assuming those numbers are not based from the beginning of the season?
 
S

spits

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Cisco....thanks for sharing this info.

Just curious if you could share how it is determined what teams to use this system with.

Also if you push on a game, just continue to chase and don't consider it a game?
 
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C

cisco

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spits said:
Cisco....thanks for sharing this info.

Just curious if you could share how it is determined what teams to use this system with.

Also if you push on a game, just continue to chase and don't consider it a game?
Click to expand...

Just trying to get the best teams on board.

Dallas is iffy
Looking at Brooklyn and Utah.

Yes. Ignore a push.
 
L

LineMovin

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Dec 17, 2011
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Cisco, so the amount u bet to win on the money line is $3.00? (Maybe I'm wrong bc that seems low)

I may just hold off and only start on gm 2 to limit risk
 
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