NBA 1st Q

golfnut16

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 27, 2010
783
6
18
I feel like we are winning under 50% of first games compared to 70% last year.. true?

0-2 tonight = frustrating!!
 

DuckDogs

Registered
Forum Member
Sep 26, 2011
1,715
34
0
I feel like we are winning under 50% of first games compared to 70% last year.. true?

0-2 tonight = frustrating!!

You can check the sheet to get your answer. Of the 24 chase wins, 18 have been game 1

Didn't go back to last years sheet, but the link is in the thread
 

cisco

Registered
Forum Member
Dec 1, 2000
6,360
18
0
usa/mexico
can't stop the bleeding. we're betting on the best teams in the league and getting hosed. i'm going to give it another few days.
 

spits

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 30, 2000
725
1
18
Windsor, Ontario, Canada
cisco...my observation this season has been that often times 12 minutes allows even very bad teams the opportunity to hang around....often times the very good teams dont seem to have interest until the 3rd quarter or 4th quarter.

The numbers last year were very impressive....but seems odd that we have already had a ML chase loss this early into the season and possibly more on the way given there are 3 or 4 more Game 3's upcoming.

THe question is whether this year is an anomaly, or was last year the aberration.
 

cisco

Registered
Forum Member
Dec 1, 2000
6,360
18
0
usa/mexico
Yeah, I caught it after the fact.
Just not working out this year.

Taking a break with the Q1 system. I'm down 280 on the ML.

I'll continue to track.

Sorry guys. I'm still going to run the halfs. Hit tonight with Charlotte 1H.
 

Tman

Registered User
Forum Member
Dec 5, 2000
661
0
0
Ok, now I'm beginning to wonder:shrug:

Cisco, have u ran any numbers pertaining these teams to fade them for 5 in a row? For instance lets say we fade them at +130 ( This will actually be much higher)

EX: (at $10/chase) Game 1 $10/$13
2 $15/$20
3 $27/$35
4 $48/$62
5 $84/$110

We would only be down $184 after a 5 game chase instead of 3, also the ones we win we are getting great odds

No team has won 5 in a row at home so far, and obviously we are getting + money...Like to hear your thoughts?
 
Last edited:

cisco

Registered
Forum Member
Dec 1, 2000
6,360
18
0
usa/mexico
Someone just e-mailed me. He took all road dogs foe a 3 game chase and he's +70 units. I did the same SU and it's +20 units.
 

Tman

Registered User
Forum Member
Dec 5, 2000
661
0
0
Are you talking about 1st Q chases? I just added just your 15 original teams up and it would be approx +9 units as opposed to (-32 units where I stand now). The two big dogs (LAL and MIA) we would be on chase #5 stuck only (-$64) & (-$47) so next bets would be to win $74 & $57. Not bad if you are in it for the grind. On the flip side as a $10 bettor ive had to lay $183 & $168 on the Clips and Bulls already in your original 3 game chase. I may finish any open chases and try this
 

Tman

Registered User
Forum Member
Dec 5, 2000
661
0
0
I went and tracked the 15 teams not on the list as road dogs and they would be up 24 units based on a 5 game chase...none have gone over 3..maybe the way to go
 

Tman

Registered User
Forum Member
Dec 5, 2000
661
0
0
Hey cisco, how has the home fave chase been doing last 30-45 days? Any better than the start of season? Tried to view chart but looks like u started the tracking over?
 

cisco

Registered
Forum Member
Dec 1, 2000
6,360
18
0
usa/mexico
I shut down Nov 13. Back up Dec 25. That's the day I started last year with the short season.
While I was down i continued to track I was up to -33 units ML and on Dec 24 I was +20 units so I had a +53 unit turnaround.
Chicago just cost me a loss so currently I'm 22-1 -1.88 units.

I'm also running a halfs chase on my HF Q1 sheet. Currently 58-0 and a lot less juice.

http://tinyurl.com/9hvewfv

Tip:
Play Orlando and Sacramento under. 4-game chase starting tonight. I'm 15-0 ytd.

:toast:
 
Last edited:
Bet on MyBookie
Top