'NBA 3rd IN 4'
1. A team you are looking at wagering against is playing its 3rd game in 4 nights.
2. The team you are looking at wagering against is playing this 3rd game as a 'back to back' and must have played the immediate day or night before the game in question.
3. The team you are looking at wagering against is on the road for the game in question.
November 2002...
12th Tue... Portland 83 @ Houston 86... SU Win ATS LOSS
14 Thu... San Antonio 94 @ Philadelphia 99 ~ HM SU & ATS WIN
15th Fri Utah @ Detroit 8:00 PM ..TONIGHT
15th Fri L.A. Clippers @ Portland 10:00 PM ..TONIGHT
17 Sun Washington @ Philadelphia 7:00 PM
17 Sun Orlando @ Sacramento 9:00 PM
18 Mon Toronto @ Atlanta 7:30 PM
18 Mon L.A. Clippers @ Golden State 10:30 PM
....................................................
'3rd in 4 Profile Plays'
2002/03 YTD Results... +18.91 units
Sides ~ 18-8 ATS +9.24 units
ML's ~ 19-7 +9.67 units
'NBA '3rd in 4' {Inner Angle} ~ "HOME UNDER-DOGS"...2002/03 = {9-5 +7.49 Units}
ML's 4-3 +4.65 ~ ATS 5-2 +2.84.
Where you are wagering against a 'Road Favourite' and on the home team SU & ATS as a 'home underdog'.
.....................................................
I play this profile because of one major factor. Scheduling!!! The NBA create schedules where all of their teams play back to back games, 3 games in 3 nights, 3 games in 4 nights, 3 games in 5 nights, 4 games in 6 nights, 4 games in 7 nights, and so on. The depth of this league and the chemistry of teams and coaches of those teams are very complex. Any edge which can provide us with a way to maximize profit from wagering in this sport is a plus for us.It is done by the league. There are a couple of teams in just the 1st half of the 2002/03 schedule, who play in this situation only 2 times. There are also a couple of teams who must play 7 or more games. The league average is 5 in this situation in the 1st half this year.
The '3rd in 4' play is to normally wager against the team in this situation. However, there are some teams in the NBA, who play very well in this scenario. As you will see, on many occasions, there will be teams that should be wagered on instead of against, and I will do my utmost to provide these plays on a regular basis in my threads and as my time permits me. I may fade the home team opponent because of these teams' past success but it is a game by game analysis. Some days, I will only play a game SU while others, I will play both SU & ATS. This to me, is a very strong indication that even over time (7 years), and even while teams personnel change, the bottom line playing the moneyline is a profit. I must say, I really look harder at the last 2 years and if warranted, then I make a play.
Information for people who tail; the profile has a winning SU record over a 7 year period:
Overall Profile Record - 7 YR Total 1995/96 to 2001/02.
League Total: SU : 1126/663 = .630 Win %
League Total: ATS: 819/821/24 = .500 Win % {125 games had no ATS line}
1. A team you are looking at wagering against is playing its 3rd game in 4 nights.
2. The team you are looking at wagering against is playing this 3rd game as a 'back to back' and must have played the immediate day or night before the game in question.
3. The team you are looking at wagering against is on the road for the game in question.
November 2002...
12th Tue... Portland 83 @ Houston 86... SU Win ATS LOSS
14 Thu... San Antonio 94 @ Philadelphia 99 ~ HM SU & ATS WIN
15th Fri Utah @ Detroit 8:00 PM ..TONIGHT
15th Fri L.A. Clippers @ Portland 10:00 PM ..TONIGHT
17 Sun Washington @ Philadelphia 7:00 PM
17 Sun Orlando @ Sacramento 9:00 PM
18 Mon Toronto @ Atlanta 7:30 PM
18 Mon L.A. Clippers @ Golden State 10:30 PM
....................................................
'3rd in 4 Profile Plays'
2002/03 YTD Results... +18.91 units
Sides ~ 18-8 ATS +9.24 units
ML's ~ 19-7 +9.67 units
'NBA '3rd in 4' {Inner Angle} ~ "HOME UNDER-DOGS"...2002/03 = {9-5 +7.49 Units}
ML's 4-3 +4.65 ~ ATS 5-2 +2.84.
Where you are wagering against a 'Road Favourite' and on the home team SU & ATS as a 'home underdog'.
.....................................................
I play this profile because of one major factor. Scheduling!!! The NBA create schedules where all of their teams play back to back games, 3 games in 3 nights, 3 games in 4 nights, 3 games in 5 nights, 4 games in 6 nights, 4 games in 7 nights, and so on. The depth of this league and the chemistry of teams and coaches of those teams are very complex. Any edge which can provide us with a way to maximize profit from wagering in this sport is a plus for us.It is done by the league. There are a couple of teams in just the 1st half of the 2002/03 schedule, who play in this situation only 2 times. There are also a couple of teams who must play 7 or more games. The league average is 5 in this situation in the 1st half this year.
The '3rd in 4' play is to normally wager against the team in this situation. However, there are some teams in the NBA, who play very well in this scenario. As you will see, on many occasions, there will be teams that should be wagered on instead of against, and I will do my utmost to provide these plays on a regular basis in my threads and as my time permits me. I may fade the home team opponent because of these teams' past success but it is a game by game analysis. Some days, I will only play a game SU while others, I will play both SU & ATS. This to me, is a very strong indication that even over time (7 years), and even while teams personnel change, the bottom line playing the moneyline is a profit. I must say, I really look harder at the last 2 years and if warranted, then I make a play.
Information for people who tail; the profile has a winning SU record over a 7 year period:
Overall Profile Record - 7 YR Total 1995/96 to 2001/02.
League Total: SU : 1126/663 = .630 Win %
League Total: ATS: 819/821/24 = .500 Win % {125 games had no ATS line}
Last edited:
