NBA FRI 01082010- Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

mikeyyy

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Please help...

Please help...

I still have no good feel on how to cap in the nba as I can't consistently hit in that league...

So I just want to tail some right now. If you feel you are running hot overall in the nba overall for the past week, what's your 1 favorite play for Friday night?

Thanks a ton in advance!
Mikey
 

logan

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My early leans. Hit my last six.

memp un 203.5
min un 213
mil ov 193
 

40seven

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TGIF!!!

TGIF!!!

It is early and across the street they are all upset on the Rapt's game.


Early Leans

Toronto and The Suns both POD lean.

Orlando :mj07: 1 issue is the Public is all over OM.

The Grizz, back home so are they excited about the road trip or down cus of how it ended?

The Hornets, The Bulls, The Nuggs and The PTB...maybe, but i will not play more then 3! so it is unlikely to get to them.


BOLTA
 

40seven

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One last point

One last point

As I said no more then 3 plays.

Have you ever noticed the few that do well only play one or two plays a night, I am sure they all have other plays but only play the best.
 

JBrilman

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Nice hit on Bama JB.

Bama's D was just as good as I thought they were. We will never the true outcome if McCoy plays, Im sure the game is MUCH closer but Bama stills wins.

I had them on the ML to win 5 last night, but gave it all back by getting greedy and betting that Saban would keep his foot on the peddle and blow them out. I also figured on the D not relaxing a little with the big lead. I lost my 2nd half bet and saw that on the first Bama 3 and out that it wasn't even gonna be close to winner.

Well that was a tough lesson learned. On to today.

Early Leans


Lakers -4 - no the Lakers are not due for a win in Portland and anyone that caps the game that way well, Ill just leave it at that. Lakers are deep and coming off a home(away) loss they aren't gonna be happy losing to Clips I smell a blowout against a short handed team running on fumes right now.

Atl -3.5 - We all watched the playoffs last year right. Well the Hawks got much better this year adding a bench scoring threat in Crawford and are coming off a nice win to get there team back on track after a little losing streak. Without KG I think the Hawks are too much for the C's in Hot Lanta.
.
Mem -3.5 - this game has revenge written all over it, I have 2 concerns with this play, is its the first game back after a long road trip and Jamal Tinsley is looking like he is out. Still undecided.

Cle -3 Denver is so banged up right now and even if Chauncy plays he cant make up for Lawson, Melo, Bird man, I smell a BLOW OUT
 
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JBrilman

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ANYBODY SEE THIS ACCROSS THE STREET?

ANYBODY SEE THIS ACCROSS THE STREET?

Whe the line goes down - When a favorite opens at -3 or -3.5 and the line goes down, the Underdog is 4-1 this season.

When the line goes up - When a favorite opens at -3 or -3.5 and the lines goes up, the favorite is 8-1 this year.

When the line remains the same - When the line holds steady, the favorites are 4-2 this season.

I think that's pretty interesting. Aside from when the line remains steady, you're looking at a solid 12-2 record when you like at the line going either up or down.



This was a couple weeks ago but the trend has still been strong for favorites.

I BELIEVE ALL OF MY PLAYS ABOVE FIT THIS TREND I JUST NOTICED
 

hawkeye

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denver, co-usa
Atl -3'-owm celts at home
Chi-+3'-better now that everyone is healthy
Phx-Mia sucks right now
Cle-3--Maybe Billups but probably no Melo or Anderson

GL
 

barts185

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Whe the line goes down - When a favorite opens at -3 or -3.5 and the line goes down, the Underdog is 4-1 this season.

When the line goes up - When a favorite opens at -3 or -3.5 and the lines goes up, the favorite is 8-1 this year.

When the line remains the same - When the line holds steady, the favorites are 4-2 this season.

I think that's pretty interesting. Aside from when the line remains steady, you're looking at a solid 12-2 record when you like at the line going either up or down.



This was a couple weeks ago but the trend has still been strong for favorites.

I BELIEVE ALL OF MY PLAYS ABOVE FIT THIS TREND I JUST NOTICED

Without knowing what book they are using (are they using the first line put up by CRIS, that can get hit within a few minutes before other books copy it), it's very hard to verify or follow something like this.
 

JBrilman

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Without knowing what book they are using (are they using the first line put up by CRIS, that can get hit within a few minutes before other books copy it), it's very hard to verify or follow something like this.

agree after some looking into
 

JBrilman

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Okay guys lets get the capping juices flowing and get some solid discussion and picks going!!

Chump, Joe Vienna, Bart

I know you guys have something to say about today's card!
 

barts185

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Okay guys lets get the capping juices flowing and get some solid discussion and picks going!!

Chump, Joe Vienna, Bart

I know you guys have something to say about today's card!

I'm still getting caught up from my trip, but here's what looks decent and I would like some feedback on (long list)

remove this one (didn't want to just erase it since I had already posted) ORL/WAS over

UTA/MEM over
BOS
IND/MIN over
MIN
CHI
*MIA/PHO over
LAL/POR under
CLE/DEN over
 
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