NBA FRI 01292010-Early Thoughts and Value Hunting

BillyBatts

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with the limited scope of only 3 prior wins -- Nets are 0-3 straight up, 1-2 vs spread after win...so odd are they don't light it up. Laying 3.5 doesn't scare me too much...but why??? Both bad teams and hard to predict. Considering betting on the bad D with over 192 though??

This game is a definite no play for me. 2 Inconsistent bad teams, there is too much value on the board elsewhere. Be careful with that over also, I have that total capped right on the number, and Wizz are 1-7 o/u on 2 days rest this year. BOL with whatever you decide
 

JBrilman

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team=Cavaliers and site=away and day=Friday and 1=t:rest and 20091030<=date
SU: 3-2 (6.6)
ATS: 3-2-0 (2.7) avg line: -3.9
O/U: 1-3-1 (-2.9) avg total: 194.3

The 2 Losses on Friday night came to Denver and the Bobcats both gritty tough teams. Indiana is a fucking pushover. LB loves the spot light and I agree with Slice he gets his 30 tonight.
 

BillyBatts

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Query please

Query please

Team on 3 game losing streak giving points (thunder) to a team on an 8 game or better winning streak (nuggets) Thanks in advance:toast:
 

JBrilman

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Team on 3 game losing streak giving points (thunder) to a team on an 8 game or better winning streak (nuggets) Thanks in advance:toast:

There is no data going back 12 years so far for this EVER happening. Best I can get is a team on a 7 game win streak and that only happened 1 time in 1997.

Drop it to 4 game win streak to get any real data

site=home and line<0 and op:streak>=4 and streak==-3 and 19961030<=date
SU: 18-11 (2.8)
ATS: 13-15-1 (-1.1) avg line: -3.9
O/U: 17-12-0 (3.9) avg total: 193.7
 

BillyBatts

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There is no data going back 12 years so far for this EVER happening. Best I can get is a team on a 7 game win streak and that only happened 1 time in 1997.

Drop it to 4 game win streak to get any real data

site=home and line<0 and op:streak>=4 and streak==-3 and 19961030<=date
SU: 18-11 (2.8)
ATS: 13-15-1 (-1.1) avg line: -3.9
O/U: 17-12-0 (3.9) avg total: 193.7



Thanks for the info. Would love to pull the trigger on the Thunder, liking under as well. JB, would these stats you posted represent the records for the team on winning streak or losing? Sorry, get a lil confused.
 

JBrilman

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Thanks for the info. Would love to pull the trigger on the Thunder, liking under as well. JB, would these stats you posted represent the records for the team on winning streak or losing? Sorry, get a lil confused.




site=home and line<0 and op:streak>=4 and streak==-3 and 19961030<=date

Home team with a line greater than 0 on a 3 game losing streak facing an opponent on a 4 game or more winning streak
 

BillyBatts

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I agree

I agree

Anyone looking at the UNDER here???

I like the under better than I do the Kings. Last time these 2 played this yr in Utah, Jazz were a 15.5 fave, so the line has been adjusted. Also, the Kings were playing better then and the Jazz were in a funk. (Kings won outright) No Booozer or Williams should slow the pace.
 

BillyBatts

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Done with the numbers

Done with the numbers

Here are my leans for tonight after research

Bulls and Over
OKC and under
Por-Hou over
Mem-SA over
LaL-Phi under
Bobcats


Gonna take a little break and clear my head, have a final card in an hour or so and see what else you guys are thinking. :0corn


GS, 47., Joe ..where ya at??? :00x31
 
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40seven

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Guys Thanks for asking

Guys Thanks for asking

Not sure yet what is going on

Getting ready for some bad weather here in Va:mj07: if it hits.

I will post more in a bit.
 

barts185

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Like everyone else, like the Lakers to clobber the 76ers, but just seems like such a square play :shrug: To avoid the bench, might play them in first half.

Not so sure about Cleveland. Indiana might show up at home on a Friday night after being embarrassed.

Prior to yesterday's collapse, was looking to bet Boston tonight, but now not sure if they will be motivated or disheartened after blowing a 14 point 4th quarter lead. I do like the under here since hopefully Boston learned their lesson about trying to run up and down the court. And, they do tend to slow the pace down on back ends of back to back.


I bet MIA earlier today, still like them, think that there is an overreaction to Beasley being out. Also, think that DET is getting more disheartened as the season goes on and they realize that they are not going to make the playoffs. Will be looking for spots to fade them, and this is one where I did.


Lean to SAS and POR, but too many / too few points.
 
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dumbbet

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Prescott, AZ.
Heat

Heat

Like the heat pick, did not really see it before, Wade will pick it up and move the Heat along to a cover tonight. GL to all
 

Ools

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This game is a definite no play for me. 2 Inconsistent bad teams, there is too much value on the board elsewhere. Be careful with that over also, I have that total capped right on the number, and Wizz are 1-7 o/u on 2 days rest this year. BOL with whatever you decide

Thanks - but i had already talked myself out of that inconsistent mess
 

BillyBatts

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Final Card

Final Card

My plays for tonight:director:

Thunder -2 POD
Hawks -4
Lakers under 204.5
Spurs over 200


Best of luck tonight felllas :00x1
 

Ools

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My plays for tonight:director:

Thunder -2 POD
Hawks -4
Lakers under 204.5
Spurs over 200


Best of luck tonight felllas :00x1

I think ur having a little bit of a love affair with that Thunder squad...but i'm with you:s6:
 
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