NBA FRI 042409 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

Slicer

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Yeah I've been employing a 3 x 100 flat unit strategy that has me up about 560 through the first 3 weeks, around mid may I'll bump it up to 200 x2 flat unit as I feel most teams will have settled in by then as well as starting pitching and bullpens, after all star break I bump to 300 x1-2 per day.
 

PeePee

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AX, LIKE THE CLEV PICK!! I'M LOOKING AT HOUTON AND OVER. ANY COMMENTS? THAKS AND BOL

Isn't this Por first ever playoff game on the road (for this young team with Roy and Alridge)? If there is a game to take Hou this is it because to Portland's lack of playoff exp. But again, I'm from Houston so this may be a homer pick for me.:shrug:
 

Baller_au

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with you boys on the cavs, hope we win!
I got burnt playing against my C's yesterday :( feel so emo, but lesson learnt BOL to all!
 

axp59

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so Ax, what dont u like about Houston?

I don't have a clear grasp on this matchup. Numbers conflict. I'm not sure POR is the kind of team ready to give this one away. I think they come out trying to get back what's theirs, home court. The HOU side could very well be the correct side but I'm not making a call on this one. BOL
 

KillerKardoogan

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I don't have a clear grasp on this matchup. Numbers conflict. I'm not sure POR is the kind of team ready to give this one away. I think they come out trying to get back what's theirs, home court. The HOU side could very well be the correct side but I'm not making a call on this one. BOL
Portland has the best work ethic in the league; it's their defence and their offensive execution that i dont like - can Aldridge repeat G2?

Houston wants this more (previous playoff failures).

They just saw what happens when they dont get the ball to Yao.

With all this, i just dont see how Port overcomes their road woes.


I hope somebody reminded Cleve what they did in this spot last year.
GLA
 

KillerKardoogan

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Detroit has yet to roll over (up 16-12), but i'm liking Cleve's shot selection and their intensity on D.
 

KillerKardoogan

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nice hit Ax, if only i could say the same.

what a horseshit game.
0:23 left - Aldridge hits a 3 (7-28 on the year)
0:17 - Rudy hits that TOUGH 3
0:03 - Brooks sags behind the arc (WTF?) and lets Blake hit the 3

4 straight off rebs in the last 1:25

1 horrible call by the ref on Battier w 2:36 left.
instead of up 9 with the ball, it's a 6 pt game.

with all that i still coulda pushed my 5 if Brooks (85%) hadn't missed 2 FTs in the last 20 seconds


OK, done bitchin.
Now to laugh at Houston.
How do you not know how to feed the post when the other team fronts?
In the reg. season, i blamed it on RonRon and Brooks settling for jumpers, but Hou never even came close to having the floor spaced properly.
What is Adelman coaching in practice?

:142smilie
 

rragga2727

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good night tonight w/alot of luck. cavs and sixers played well. I really have some doubts about Van Gundy he has made zero adjustments. the individual play of the magic is gonna kill them. there is no team concept at all!!meanwhile sixers show that they want it more! guys watch for the unders they are out there now to be had. after a 11of 13 over it's 6 in a row, by the end of the playoffs it will be close to even!
Houston had a let down at the end letting portland get close,but having the sox,padres,rays & under on capitals. it's been great playoffs!!!
tommorrow i do like the under198.5 on the hornets nuggets game with a lean towards the hornets -4.5(interesting 72% on the nuggets but the # from 4 to 4.5??)Scott is gonna preach the importance of each possession,which means using the 24, and they are a much better d team at home(my theory if you like the hornets you like the under)new orleans hasn't played at home since the 12th (2 weeks) i look for a slow start with the early times and first game back home theory
Popovich to me is the best coach in nba right now he will always make the right adjustments and with duncan and parker anything is possible . although alot of the trends lean to the over i still like the under-188(the first game 203, 2nd 189, the 3rd throw it out at 155, i think the 189 is acurate with the defenses gaining advantage with familarity) and even though san antonio should put up a strong effort and possibly control the pace , i still like the mavs.
i like a samall play on the heat in south beach , 12 of their last 18 games have been on the road, losing some of them through this tough end of season stretch has devalued the heat they have an impressive home record , but a losing ats record at home the opposite for atlanta a terrible road record , but an impressive ats record. this game could lead to a heavy zag play for game 4.

kobe is horrible in utah , having said that to have had 14 point lead and a chance to win in the end, i'm liking the lakers. If this was last year i'd be on the jazz, but this is this year. maybe i'm wrong , but i still feel the lakers are playing the cavs in this series. this could hurt them when they play the next rounds!!the message was sent by the cavs they are taking care of business focused even on the road no let down.. lakers/kobe are gonna want to match that
gl everyone lets get em!!!!!!!!!!!!:mj06: :mj06: :sadwave:
 
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