NBA FRI 11-6-09 early thoughts - value hunting

[sheets]

i knew you would be over here doing your thing ax , and to all the other guys here to from across the street that make this the best nba thread anywhere imo thank you for all the good info and so forth that you guys put out .

im not usually a big player in nba till playoffs but i like reading this thread and i do like 76 ers to cover tonite against nj , anybody agree or dissagree?

 

[JCWhy]

got a small play on LAC/GS Over 215.5

GL to everyone

 

[BillyBatts]

tonight's plays

tonight's plays

Bart, thx for the info on the FNL factor. it really gained steam towards the end of last yr, and maybe if u raised it to 4 or 5 pts we may see more of a difference, or maybe it's just my perception. anyyway, thx for the info.
tonights plays
i really like the raps, but going against ax long term is a losing prop, so i will pass.
going with:
bos-pho over 206.5
nets +12
Bobcats +2.5

GOOD LUCK TONIGHT FELLAS!

 

[barts185]

i really like the raps, but going against ax long term is a losing prop, so i will pass.

I agree on both counts (took TOR +5 last night and really don't like that Ax is on NOR).

Good Luck,
Bart

 

[jagerfury]

The number which represent only public perception has no conection to the actual total outcome.

The under value isn't necessarily killed but it does diminish signinificantly and in turn increases the value on the over.

Take last night's CHI/CLE total. That was enough movement to go under with the play. It was an attractive O @ 187ish but in the 190ish, the value shifted to an Under play. This is not the case with every line move.

IMHO DEN/MIA is no value on either side of the total @ 201.5

It's your call on the other game. but I still wouldn't bet the over on it.

hope that helps

ThaNKS Ax,

That is how I read the line move. At a certain number the Under had value. Once the line moved that much against it, it wqas no longer a play for the specific angle played for does not exist anymore.

And the reason I cannot make a judgement on whether or not the over is the now the play could be for various reasons, but sum it up to say not enough information. Will pass.

So I only made a play on the clippers overas the line moved with the perceived edge.

 

[paradox]

Locking on:

Wolves -2.5
Denver -1.5 (adjusted line, got a good odd on it)

I just can't see Miami's frontcourt dealing with Nene, Martin and Melo. Line does seem fishy, but i'll bite.

Got an NHL that seems to be very good tonight:

Dallas Stars in regulation.

Good luck to all! :mj06:

 

[joe_shmoe]

Ax, locked in anything yet?

Eagle - no offense, but I think this is like the 100th post I've seen that asks the same thing.

All you have to do is read through the previous posts by Ax. I don't think it's that difficult.

I know this is a friendly forum and everyone shares great info, but does it really contribute anything when you ask the man if he's locked anything in?

Half the time, he has and you haven't read carefully enough (like today) and the other half he hasn't posted a play and you asking isn't going to make him do it any faster.

Again, I don't want to be the first person bringing bad energy in here but let's just be considerate of everyone's time.

 

[eeeerock]

Eagle - no offense, but I think this is like the 100th post I've seen that asks the same thing.

All you have to do is read through the previous posts by Ax. I don't think it's that difficult.

I know this is a friendly forum and everyone shares great info, but does it really contribute anything when you ask the man if he's locked anything in?

Half the time, he has and you haven't read carefully enough (like today) and the other half he hasn't posted a play and you asking isn't going to make him do it any faster.

Again, I don't want to be the first person bringing bad energy in here but let's just be considerate of everyone's time.

Think that was very well said.

 

[proguy747]

hey guys hope you are all cashing....
Last two days have been at a solar training program..
Trying to be green... Now time to win some green....

Played a small parlay phx +9.5 and denver/miami over 100 2nd half.. get the action at me.


I noticed that the clipp over was 215 so i grabbed that up. Good luck to all and thanks for the hard work..

If you have any solar questiones I am now certified to answer them.. :mj07: two days of training and tons of info and my brains is becoming soft...

 

[Joe_Vienna]

will be my only play tonigh!

:spotting: