NBA Memorial Day early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

[proguy747]

Happy memorial day to all and especially to all veterans and current enlisted military.

We thank you for sacrificing and protecting our freedom.




Well nuggets finally lost at home and did not cover the spread.

Every thread is talking about the nuggets are done and how kobe is so great.

I will tell you that I am not jumping off the nuggets bandwagon. This team is a lot stronger then they are given credit for.

I saw the look of anger in melo's face when he fouled out. Can he have another bad game? Will they not play as a team again?

The over excitment of coming home stealing a game and being in the western conferance finals at home is over.....

The nuggets will come out focused and detrimened. After a tough loss in la they come out with a gutty victory in game 2..

Be back tomm with the refs and some #'s

 

[proguy747]

Ken Mauer - Profile
GeneralJersey Number 41 Avg. Home Score 100.2
Games Officiated 68 Avg. Road Score 95.0
Home Team ATS 37-31-0 Home Avg. Margin 5.2
Home Team W/L 45-23 Avg. Total Score 195.2
Over/Under vs. the TotalOverall 28-39 184.5 or less 6-4
185-194.5 3-17
195-204.5 11-8
205+ 8-10
Favorite or UnderdogSpread Home Fav Home Dog
0-4.5 8-6 8-6
5-9.5 15-8 2-3
10+ 4-8 0-0


Bennett Salvatore - Profile
GeneralJersey Number 15 Avg. Home Score 100.2
Games Officiated 75 Avg. Road Score 97.1
Home Team ATS 39-36-0 Home Avg. Margin 3.1
Home Team W/L 46-29 Avg. Total Score 197.4
Over/Under vs. the TotalOverall 39-36 184.5 or less 7-3
185-194.5 13-9
195-204.5 12-13
205+ 7-11
Favorite or UnderdogSpread Home Fav Home Dog
0-4.5 9-12 6-8
5-9.5 8-5 6-6
10+ 9-6 1-0

Bill Spooner - Profile
GeneralJersey Number 22 Avg. Home Score 99.5
Games Officiated 60 Avg. Road Score 98.6
Home Team ATS 33-27-0 Home Avg. Margin .9
Home Team W/L 33-27 Avg. Total Score 198.1
Over/Under vs. the TotalOverall 22-37
184.5 or less 3-5
185-194.5 5-10
195-204.5 9-13
205+ 5-9
Favorite or UnderdogSpread Home Fav Home Dog
0-4.5 4-7 7-2
5-9.5 12-9 4-6
10+ 6-1 0-2

 

[proguy747]

20080423 DEN LAL A 107-122 2&2 44-50 +8' +229' -15 -6.5 -0.5 -3.5 3.0 L L U
20080426 DEN LAL H 84-102 2&2 37-46 -1 +230 -18 -19.0 -44.0 -31.5 -12.5 L L U
20080428 DEN LAL H 101-107 1&1 44-45 +4' +227 -6 -1.5 -19.0 -10.2 -8.8 L L U
20081101 DEN LAL H 97-104 0&2 45-37 +8 +209' -7 1.0 -8.5 -3.8 -4.8 L W U
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
20081121 DEN LAL A 90-104 1&0 42-48 +8 +205 -14 -6.0 -11.0 -8.5 -2.5 L L U
20090227 DEN LAL H 90-79 1&0 41-29 +2 +218 11 13.0 -49.0 -18.0 -31.0 W W U
20090409 DEN LAL A 102-116 0&1 44-42 +9 +210' -14 -5.0 7.5 1.2 6.2 L L O
20090519 DEN LAL A 103-105 5&1 48-41 +6' +214' -2 4.5 -6.5 -1.0 -5.5 L W U
20090521 DEN LAL A 106-103 1&1 44-45 +5' +210' 3 8.5 -1.5 3.5 -5.0 W W U
20090523 DEN LAL H 97-103 1&1 39-45 -3' +211 -6 -9.5 -11.0 -10.2 -0.8 L L U

 

[proguy747]

Looks as though the under has potential.

Nuggets covering-4.5? I dont think so, this series has been close every game.

What has changed in two days?

 

[Flandroy]

hi
agree with under here and i think toninuggets will winght and probably cover ats as well. still rate them as a deep consistent team.
nice work, gl

 

[jerdog]

I got the lakers +4.5 good luck so far 2-0 with this round... good luck....

 

[bobble1woody]

with all 6 conference finals games, the away team has covered EXCEPT for the magic last night. I am on the lakers, plus, I just think they have the nugs number now...

 

[sheets]

i like denver to win this game and i love the under .after the last game which denver lost the coach and chauncey said they were playing up to the fans meaning they were taking risky shots and just shooting 3s from all over .

i know alot of ppl like the over but not me , i might throw the angels in with denver ml

the lakers will come to play but i think they are exhausted esp kobe so they might not be as strong in the 4 th quarter gl to all:toast:

 

[proguy747]

i like denver to win this game and i love the under .after the last game which denver lost the coach and chauncey said they were playing up to the fans meaning they were taking risky shots and just shooting 3s from all over .

i know alot of ppl like the over but not me , i might throw the angels in with denver ml

the lakers will come to play but i think they are exhausted esp kobe so they might not be as strong in the 4 th quarter gl to all:toast:

we saw a poor fg% by lebron being tired. Will we see the same with kobe?

 

[Truckin']

here is some info from a capper I respect on another site

1. LAL FATIGUE\INJURIES:

Some Widely reported & some not as obvious

KOBE'S I-V
KOBE - EXHAUSTION, 10 HRS SLEEP
KOBE - 41.3, 39.42, 43.21 MIN v DEN
KOBE'S INJURY TO PINKIE
ARIZA'S MULTIPLE INJURIES - ESP HIP
Unable to walk w\o much difficulty, acc'dg to 710-AM (KTLA Reports)
ALTITUDE - REALLY AFFECTING LAL
Upon many days in Colorado
PLAYOFF GAME #16 for LA LAKERS
PLAYOFF GAME #13 for DENVER
48 HR WCF SCHEDULE, W\LAKERS 21 DAY MARATHON
LAL: BTB DAYS OFF 1x SINCE 5\4 - Two days between HOU GM 6 & GM 7)
Today is Lakers' 11th Game in 21 days
Lakers' 2 Key guys\Olympians, Fatigue more than usual
Kobe, Pao (& Denver's Mello) played Yr-Rd SINCE 9\07 (20 Mo.)
2. ARIZA FACTOR:

Trevor Ariza's Injury \ possible reduced effectiveness is potentially big loss to LAL - Ariza was\is emerging as LAL much needed 3rd Scorer, and Defensive pressure lift from Kobe

ARIZA was only Laker besides Gasol to score in Dbl-Fig on Sat.
Reportedly - Ariza, following last game is hobbling terribly.
BIG piece of Defensive presence on Carmello Anthony
Ariza only LAL same size (6-8), yet quick enough feet to slow Mello
Kobe gives up 2" and exhausting Cross-Switch
Walton: Inadequate foot quickness, Mello beats him off dribble
Brown surrenders 4"
3. DENVER PLAYED WELL IN LOSS:

Consistent Nuggets' EFFORT; Fresh Legs

G3 Lt ('G1 repeat' err) Den T\O Stl (to ARIZA), was Den 1ST 4Q T-O til then
DENVER did NOT GET OUT-BOARDED for ONCE (43-43)
DENVER BALANCED SCORING
DEN HAD SIX GM 3 DOUBLE-DIGIT SCORERS
LAL HAD THREE GM 3 DOUBLE-DIGIT SCORERS
DENVER ENERGY, W\BENCH production & MIN
DENVER Bench outscr'd LAL Bnch (again) almost 2:1 RATIO
DEN BENCH - 80 MIN \ 29 PTS
LAL BENCH - 77 MIN \ 15 PTS
4. 'GAME FEEL':

Will\Can Denver WILL shoot that poorly again at home?

Mello 4-13 (1-7 deep)
Billips 5-15
JR Smith 4-15
13-43 FG FOR DEN 3 MAIN SCORERS; again?

Reeeally unlikely

5. DENVER'S FOUL ISSUES:

I believe Nuggets will ADJUST TO TIGHTER GAME CALLING - TO avoid the Foul mistakes and tighter action that they weren't ready for:

Starters for Denver finished w\ 6, 6, 5 & 5 Fouls
This was a Really big factor in Nuggets Poor Execution down the stretch ~ being forced to play w\fouls.

6. LAL - 'MISSION ACCOMPLISHED':

LAL routinely takes a 'day off' (wink-wink), ESP after having ACCOMPLISHED their most important Goal - re-acquiring Home Court Advantage on this Trip. In order to Win the War (Series - in This Case) despite the battle (GAME 4) - and try and get some fresh legs for Game 5 Back Home in another quick turnaround, I look for Kobe to play his standard Game 4 \ Pivot Game-Type Minutes (34.39 in Houston).

STANDARD WAGER, w\LINE still OVER 2 POSSESSIONS ... & BUYING HOOK...

2 UNITS:

LA LAKERS at DENVER -4 (BH)

 

[sheets]

from all i read i reallythink denver plays a good solid sound game tonite and i am thinking about taking them for the q and half
i already have a ml parlay with them plus the angels and am looking at adding more to denver fg and under
also i dont think kobe has a usual kobe game tonite i mean he is human or maybe hes not lol

gl guys

 

[harlytiger]

Believe I am a Denver man tonight....ML -200 Refs will make this a 7 game series........:scared

 

[Truckin']

BOL Tonight

I am on Lakers Half, Game & ML

Had to go against the grain :shrug:

 

[Eagle123]

Good Job DENVER:mj06:

Always nice to see those Fakers Bitches Lose. :00hour

 

[proguy747]

Good Job DENVER:mj06:

Always nice to see those Fakers Bitches Lose. :00hour

agree they win one road game and everybody says how great they are and denver is done. Sorry but nuggets and magic are cash trains. :00hour

Nuggets have dominated almost evry qrtr. Young team going to make a few mistakes but they have twice the heart as the lakers.

 

[Eagle123]

agree they win one road game and everybody says how great they are and denver is done. Sorry but nuggets and magic are cash trains. :00hour

Nuggets have dominated almost evry qrtr. Young team going to make a few mistakes but they have twice the heart as the lakers.

So do you think Leborn can steal a game in Orl tomorrow?

 

[JBrilman]

Good Job DENVER:mj06:

Always nice to see those Fakers Bitches Lose. :00hour

One game Eagle...:nono: :nono:

A win tomorrow and all they have to do is win 1 out of 2 to go to the finals...

I like my chances for the Lakers in the Finals!!

 

[JBrilman]

agree they win one road game and everybody says how great they are and denver is done. Sorry but nuggets and magic are cash trains. :00hour

Nuggets have dominated almost evry qrtr. Young team going to make a few mistakes but they have twice the heart as the lakers.

Heart might get them to a 7th game, but it wont win it for them alone, especially on the road against the best closer in the game. Gonna be tough for Denver to take 2 out of 3 on the road.

 

[proguy747]

Heart might get them to a 7th game, but it wont win it for them alone, especially on the road against the best closer in the game. Gonna be tough for Denver to take 2 out of 3 on the road.

The lakers have only outscored the nuggets in three qrts..

They have a lot more then heart. They are playing better basketball................

Being a capper you should be able to read the numbers and see that nuggets are the better team.

Nuggets are a complete team. lakers are a two man team with their third player showing up once every couple of games (Ariza).