NBA Mon 02222010 - Early Thoughts and Value Hunting

granpa

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Early leans

Early leans

Started a new thread at the same time. :mj07:

Early leans

Hawks/Jazz U 196 - 4th road game for the Hawks and they ran out of gas last night. Jazz are rolling right now and playing nice defense.

Bulls/Wiz O 201 - Wiz seem to be rejuvenated offensively since the trade. Should be a high scoring affair.

GL - Granpa
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CUBBOY69

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hawks

hawks

POD....atlanta hawks +5.5..jazz return home from a long road trip..teams never do well 1st game back home..both teams are spent after tough games last night..and the under looks good also but my only play will be on the hawks...good luck everyone...and is ax posting somewhere else ?????
 

40seven

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Sorry I missed yesterday

Sorry I missed yesterday

Had some family matters but NBA Saturday and Sunday were hot.


Love the Indy play Grindstone!!!

Have been fading the Wiz for a few months with great benefits, but not sure what the new team will do, first reaction is the Bulls POD, maybe. More later.


If you look at last night the home teams did very well, all but the Nets, but they never do well.

Thinking, Love your insight!
 

BillyBatts

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for what it's worth

for what it's worth

Started a new thread at the same time. :mj07:

Early leans

Hawks/Jazz U 196 - 4th road game for the Hawks and they ran out of gas last night. Jazz are rolling right now and playing nice defense.

Bulls/Wiz O 201 - Wiz seem to be rejuvenated offensively since the trade. Should be a high scoring affair.

GL - Granpa
__________________


An intersting trend I just saw:director:

since road teams(Bulls) with a total of 200 or higher, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, against opponent(Wizz) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, are 32-10 OVER since 1996.


My leans
Pacers +9
Hawks +5 and under 196 (possible POD on both)
Bobs -2.5
Bucks and over

Looks like we are on the same page for the most part. Let's find us some winners :00hour
 
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BillyBatts

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Another trend backing over

Another trend backing over

An intersting trend I just saw:director:

since road teams(Bulls) with a total of 200 or higher, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, against opponent(Wizz) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, are 32-10 OVER since 1996.


My leans
Pacers +9
Hawks +5 and under 196 (possible POD on both)
Bobs -2.5
Bucks and over

Looks like we are on the same page for the most part. Let's find us some winners :00hour



The Bulls are 22-5 OVER the last 2 seasons after a straight up win of 10+ points :scared
 

Lumi

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NBA | (703) MILWAUKEE @ (704) NEW YORK | 02/22/2010 7:35 PM
Play ON MILWAUKEE against the spread in Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 12 Wins and 1 Losses this season (+10.90 units)
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NBA | (701) CHICAGO @ (702) WASHINGTON | 02/22/2010 7:05 PM
Play OVER CHICAGO on the total in All games after a win by 10 points or more
The record is 22 Overs and 5 Unders for the last two seasons (+16.50 units)
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NBA | (701) CHICAGO @ (702) WASHINGTON | 02/22/2010 7:05 PM
Play AGAINST CHICAGO using the money line in Road games against Southeast division opponents
The record is 1 Wins and 12 Losses for the last two seasons (-12.65 units)
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NBA | (707) ATLANTA @ (708) UTAH | 02/22/2010 9:05 PM
Play AGAINST UTAH using the money line in Home games when playing on back-to-back days
The record is 1 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (-17.65 units)
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NBA | (701) CHICAGO @ (702) WASHINGTON | 02/22/2010 7:05 PM
Play AGAINST CHICAGO using the money line in Road games against Southeast division opponents
The record is 5 Wins and 17 Losses for the last three seasons (-18.90 units)
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NBA | (707) ATLANTA @ (708) UTAH | 02/22/2010 9:05 PM
Play AGAINST UTAH using the money line in All games when playing on back-to-back days
The record is 19 Wins and 32 Losses for the last three seasons (-32.80 units)
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NBA | (709) CHARLOTTE @ (710) LA CLIPPERS | 02/22/2010 10:35 PM
Play ON CHARLOTTE using the money line in All games against Pacific division opponents
The record is 12 Wins and 3 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.20 units)
 

Wise and Wiser

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NBA | (707) ATLANTA @ (708) UTAH | 02/22/2010 9:05 PM
Play AGAINST UTAH using the money line in All games when playing on back-to-back days
The record is 19 Wins and 32 Losses for the last three seasons (-32.80 units)


Illuminati, thanks for the information, but Utah is 7-3 ATS when playing on back-to-back days this season. Atlanta is 6-7.
 

Lumi

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Trends - Atlanta at Utah

Trends - Atlanta at Utah

Trends - Atlanta at Utah

ATS Trends

Atlanta

Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Hawks are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.
Hawks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Northwest.
Hawks are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Hawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
Hawks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss.
Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.


Utah

Jazz are 6-1-3 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Jazz are 10-2-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.
Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
Jazz are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.
Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Jazz are 18-5-3 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Jazz are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Jazz are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.
Jazz are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 Monday games.
Jazz are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 home games.
Jazz are 3-1-3 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Jazz are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Jazz are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
Jazz are 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
Jazz are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Jazz are 33-15-3 ATS in their last 51 games overall.


OU Trends

Atlanta

Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 9-1-1 in Hawks last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Hawks last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 10-3 in Hawks last 13 Monday games.
Under is 16-5 in Hawks last 21 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 3-1-1 in Hawks last 5 games as a road underdog.
Under is 3-1-1 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 3-1-1 in Hawks last 5 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-2 in Hawks last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.
Over is 5-2 in Hawks last 7 games following a ATS loss.


Utah

Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a ATS win.
Over is 6-2 in Jazz last 8 Monday games.
Over is 6-2 in Jazz last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 13-5 in Jazz last 18 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.
Over is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.


Head to Head

Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Utah.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Favorite is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
Hawks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Hawks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Utah.
 

BillyBatts

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NBA | (707) ATLANTA @ (708) UTAH | 02/22/2010 9:05 PM
Play AGAINST UTAH using the money line in All games when playing on back-to-back days
The record is 19 Wins and 32 Losses for the last three seasons (-32.80 units)


Illuminati, thanks for the information, but Utah is 7-3 ATS when playing on back-to-back days this season. Atlanta is 6-7.



Not sure if this is a question or not, but the stat said play against Utah on the MONEYLINE, not ATS. Hope this answers your question. Atlanta is also 0-4 last 4 ATS on the second of a b2b, and then I saw this little tidbit as well. Be careful on backing the Hawks tonight.

home teams (Jazz)covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 31-7 ATS.
:scared


Favorite is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

The Jazz are 8-0-1 ATS (10.9 ppg) since February 02, 2009 when their opponent is playing in at least their fourth straight road game.
Hawks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Utah.
 
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Wise and Wiser

Here Until 5K
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Not sure if this is a question or not, but the stat said play against Utah on the MONEYLINE, not ATS. Hope this answers your question. Atlanta is also 0-4 last 4 ATS on the second of a b2b, and then I saw this little tidbit as well. Be careful on backing the Hawks tonight.

home teams (Jazz)covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 31-7 ATS.
:scared

If Atlanta wins, it obviously covers too. :mj03:
 

BillyBatts

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Query

Query

I really like the under in the Hawks-Jazz game based on it's the 4th game in 6 nights for both teams. Tired legs affect jump shooting and less likely to run up temp, BUT, I'm afraid of the fatigue causing a lack of intensity on the Defensive side. Can some query the over/under on maybe the last 3 years and this season on both teams playing this amount of games in this stretch?? Thanks in advance.
 

BillyBatts

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Billy, Utah is 7-3 ATS when playing on back-to-back days this season. Atlanta is 6-7. To me, this season's trend is more important.

I totally agree, that's the point I was trying to make, sorry if I misunderstood you.

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.

Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest

Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
 

BillyBatts

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Plays

Plays

Updated Posted Record

44-28 W/L (61 %)
14-9 POD's (60.9 %)


Locked in


Bulls -Wizz OVER 200.5 POD

Pacers +9




Still looking at the Utah under

Let's keep the winning going fellas :box2:
 

BillyBatts

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AND THIS IS WHY....

AND THIS IS WHY....

I hate locking in plays so early in the day. 5 Minutes after I locked in the Bulls over at 200.5, it dropped to 199.5 all the way down to 198.5 at some places. Unreal. Anyone hurt or just major steam??? :bsflag
 

grindstone

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Let's do it again boys here you go

IND +9.5 :padlock:

GLTA


Also like one more

IND/Dall U208

This line opened up at 206.5 and climbed as a high as 210 and then has come back down to settle at 207.5. I have this game capped at 201.
 

grindstone

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Had some family matters but NBA Saturday and Sunday were hot.


Love the Indy play Grindstone!!!

Have been fading the Wiz for a few months with great benefits, but not sure what the new team will do, first reaction is the Bulls POD, maybe. More later.


If you look at last night the home teams did very well, all but the Nets, but they never do well.

Thinking, Love your insight!

Thanks 40seven did you climb aboard . GL with your plays
 
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