NBA Mon 02222010 - Early Thoughts and Value Hunting

[sonic2538]

Ref

Ref

I hate locking in plays so early in the day. 5 Minutes after I locked in the Bulls over at 200.5, it dropped to 199.5 all the way down to 198.5 at some places. Unreal. Anyone hurt or just major steam??? :bsflag

Read a post a bit ago that a ref in the game was switch out?? Hope it help, I have not locked the over in the Bulls game and now just do not know.

 

[BillyBatts]

Ahhh

Ahhh

Read a post a bit ago that a ref in the game was switch out?? Hope it help, I have not locked the over in the Bulls game and now just do not know.

Thanks for the info, unless it's Donahey, I don't see it playing that big of a factor, but it sure would've been nice to get it at 198. Oh well, it is what it is. Best of luck to ya Sonic.


Anyone run that query please on the Utah total??:director:

 

[CUBBOY69]

billy i think that total will go back up..

 

[BillyBatts]

It is

It is

billy i think that total will go back up..

Ya, it's crept back up to 199.5 at most places. Should've put another Nickel on it at 198, but I thought someone was hurt.

 

[BillyBatts]

Please help

Please help

I really like the under in the Hawks-Jazz game based on it's the 4th game in 6 nights for both teams. Tired legs affect jump shooting and less likely to run up temp, BUT, I'm afraid of the fatigue causing a lack of intensity on the Defensive side. Can some query the over/under on maybe the last 3 years and this season on both teams playing this amount of games in this stretch?? Thanks in advance.

ANYONE????

:sadwave:

 

[40seven]

Grindstone

Grindstone

Thanks 40seven did you climb aboard . GL with your plays

In on Indy still unsure about the Bulls, Do you have an opinion?:shrug:

 

[JT 314]

Liked indy, but now seeiing that Granger is doubtful? Changes things

 

[Ools]

I totally agree, that's the point I was trying to make, sorry if I misunderstood you.

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.

Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest

Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

I think ATL is a situational play here...both teams last night played reverse rolls in their games: ATL blew a big lead and lost late, Utah made a great rally and won late...Utah 1st game back after road trip...they have injuries too...can't see Atlanta not hanging in this game. Utah overacheived on the road, time for some good homecooking reality.
Probably a ML spinkle too at +175.

 

[BillyBatts]

PLEASE HELP

PLEASE HELP

I need help with the queries as I have just started doing them on my own.

Could someone PLEASE
run one for this season, and the last 3 seasons combined on both teams playing for the 4th time in 6 nights. THANK YOU:toast:

 

[grindstone]

In on Indy still unsure about the Bulls, Do you have an opinion?:shrug:

No real opinion here but a slight lean to Wash and the under if your asking.

GL

 

[Joe_Vienna]

0-2 yesterday, total 2-4

No plays I like today :shrug:

Hope you guys do better!!

BOLTA :0corn
Joe

 

[BillyBatts]

my 2 cents

my 2 cents

I think ATL is a situational play here...both teams last night played reverse rolls in their games: ATL blew a big lead and lost late, Utah made a great rally and won late...Utah 1st game back after road trip...they have injuries too...can't see Atlanta not hanging in this game. Utah overacheived on the road, time for some good homecooking reality.
Probably a ML spinkle too at +175.

I hate to talk people out of winners, but please be careful here. Look at the previous stats in this thread. 2 teams going in oppo directions. Hawks might just want to get this over with and get home. Best of luck either way. :toast:

 

[barts185]

I need help with the queries as I have just started doing them on my own.

Could someone PLEASE
run one for this season, and the last 3 seasons combined on both teams playing for the 4th time in 6 nights. THANK YOU:toast:

Sorry, haven't been around. Since I can't pick winners (what was I thinking going against grindstone :shrug: :mj03: ), I can at least run queries.

Both teams playing 4th game in 6 nights. Showing record for home team to avoid duplicates.

This season
ppp:date=date-5 and oppp:date=date-5 and H and season=2009

SU: 44-34 (3.5)
ATS: 32-43-3 (0.3) avg line: -3.2
O/U: 45-32-1 (0.7) avg total: 199.5



2008
SU: 84-62 (1.7)
ATS: 65-80-1 (-2.4) avg line: -4.0
O/U: 80-64-2 (2.0) avg total: 198.4


2007
SU: 99-66 (2.9)
ATS: 78-83-4 (-0.2) avg line: -3.1
O/U: 83-79-3 (1.4) avg total: 199.6


Combined 2007 to current

ppp:date=date-5 and oppp:date=date-5 and H and season>=2007


SU: 227-162 (2.6)
ATS: 175-206-8 (-0.9) avg line: -3.5
O/U: 208-175-6 (1.5) avg total: 199.1




I liked IND, but don't like that Granger is out. Tough to replace his production.

 

[BillyBatts]

Much appreciated

Much appreciated

Sorry, haven't been around. Since I can't pick winners (what was I thinking going against grindstone :shrug: :mj03: ), I can at least run queries.

Both teams playing 4th game in 6 nights. Showing record for home team to avoid duplicates.

This season
ppp:date=date-5 and oppp:date=date-5 and H and season=2009

SU: 44-34 (3.5)
ATS: 32-43-3 (0.3) avg line: -3.2
O/U: 45-32-1 (0.7) avg total: 199.5



2008
SU: 84-62 (1.7)
ATS: 65-80-1 (-2.4) avg line: -4.0
O/U: 80-64-2 (2.0) avg total: 198.4


2007
SU: 99-66 (2.9)
ATS: 78-83-4 (-0.2) avg line: -3.1
O/U: 83-79-3 (1.4) avg total: 199.6


Combined 2007 to current

ppp:date=date-5 and oppp:date=date-5 and H and season>=2007


SU: 227-162 (2.6)
ATS: 175-206-8 (-0.9) avg line: -3.5
O/U: 208-175-6 (1.5) avg total: 199.1




I liked IND, but don't like that Granger is out. Tough to replace his production.

Thank you VERY much for running the query. It would trend toward over so I will stay away from that game. As for Granger, a lot of times teams come together when thier star is out, and the Mavs have a tendency to take lesser teams lightly.

Thanks again and best of luck :toast:

 

[40seven]

Bulls

Bulls

No real opinion here but a slight lean to Wash and the under if your asking.

GL

Thanks, the more I look at the game the stat that is killing me and always does.

Everyone is on the Bulls I hate going with the Public.

The Bulls are 7-2 after 10+ points wins ATS

The Wiz are 1-4 (approx) after 5-9 point losses.

I have a system that is working well, but I will not include the Nets or Wiz in it, tonight fits the system, but it is a no play for the Wiz because they let me down.

The system went 4-0 yesterday and 2-0 Saturday and 2-0 Friday, But the Wiz are not allowed in it

 

[Ools]

I hate to talk people out of winners, but please be careful here. Look at the previous stats in this thread. 2 teams going in oppo directions. Hawks might just want to get this over with and get home. Best of luck either way. :toast:

They are 1-2 on road trip - win tonight makes the trip a .500 road trip, which most teams would call successful? why rushing home?

 

[logan]

I guess i just have to be different.

wiz + 2.5
nyn un 208.5

g/l guys

 

[BillyBatts]

My 2 cents

My 2 cents

They are 1-2 on road trip - win tonight makes the trip a .500 road trip, which most teams would call successful? why rushing home?

Like I said, it's just my opinion, buddy. Sometimes the best plays, are the ones we pass on. Had they won last night, I'd probably be on them. But I think after that humiliating loss, I think they will not have much morale or effort tonight. Don't let me talk you out of it though, it's just my 2 cents. Good luck.

 

[eeeerock]

Like I said, it's just my opinion, buddy. Sometimes the best plays, are the ones we pass on. Had they won last night, I'd probably be on them. But I think after that humiliating loss, I think they will not have much morale or effort tonight. Don't let me talk you out of it though, it's just my 2 cents. Good luck.

Not to mention the showing Utah had in Atl earlier this year.They got emberassed and the starters sat most of that game,we know the NBA has alot of egos and I think Utah strikes back.I think one team rolls with the comeback and the other packs it in after they fell apart.W'll see.

 

[Slicer]

Bobcats -3.5 1/2 unit
Bulls/Wiz Over 200 1/2 unit
Atl/Utah Under 197 1 unit

College:

Uconn +2.5 action only
Uconn Over 137 action only
Kansas/ok Under 147 1/2 unit

BOL Guys:toast: