NBA MON 032309 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
I have done the same. Digging as deep as I can because I want to lock in for a full unit.
it was posted at the "other" site.
hehe. oh, you should try to visit cebu. one of the best places. i live in dumaguete now, other side of bacolod. once again, thanks ax. learned a lot from your insights and discussions. keep it up sir.
it was posted at the "other" site.
glad to have you here bro...come back soon sir. pinoy ako!
I agree with those liking that Port/Philly Under...Port coming home from road trip and philly on back to back....This is also a revenge spot for Port,think you see a low scoring game.I don't like the number on the side as most teams don't seem to cover in first game back home after road trip of a week,with little rest.Philly already is on the west coast but think they lose value playing on back to back so safest play is the Under.GL
of course it did...geez, should have went in full...this is the value on the board
- Mar 18, 2009
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I totally agree! BIG revenge game for Portland plus Philly on a B2B and will be on the last game of their gruelling West Coast swing.
Also liking the Atlanta Hawks -11.5.They are playing good ball at home and played the whole game vs Clev getting backdoor cover.Think they blow the doors off Minn who is on a back to back.
- Mar 18, 2009
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Philadelphia's offensive sets: NONE; reliant on turnovers that they generate or are self-inflicted from the other team. Will they have the patience to play a disciplined game against a well-coached (albeit young) team like the Blazers who are at home which (to borrow a footballing/soccer term) is a fortress?
Blazers offense: either early or last 12 seconds of the clock - in Portland, they're quite good at exacting revenge against clubs who blew them out earlier on: Lakers, Spurs, Clippers... Great offensive rebounding unit so Evans is somewhat negated.
Only concern remains Miller who is a superior point to Blake, Rodriguez, and Bayless. Maybe tired legs from a back-to-back will engineer a less-than-stellar effort from him?
:topic:
DeJuan Blair = second coming of Reggie Evans, but w/ a far more playful nature. If Pittsburgh advance to the 4 in Detroit, anticipate they won't face as hard-nosed a game before getting there as they did today against Oklahoma State. Although Big East alum personally, let me raise a :00x1 to the Big 12 for showing a ton of character so far in the tournament.
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ETZ, I'd like to comment positively on your love for the game. It's so obvious that you love basketball. Your approach to situational analysis and game-flow is without question top notch. :142hail: :142hail: :142hail:
I do like the game and understand its nuances but after getting to know you. I'm just a gambler...a smart and profitable one but still just a gambler.
Love reading your write-ups.
i am from boston. celtics is going to wreck clippers tomorrow by at least 15 pts.
Main reason: We finally have our starters back. No one fucks around when KG is in the game. The bench is going to play hard D during garbage time and continue to score. All the bench players are trying to compete for more minutes. They'll play hard even if Doc sits KG, pierce, Allen. I see a big blowout.
Clippers is just the clippers. Randolph is cancer to the team. B. davis doesn't try.
That's why vegas is having such a hard time coming up with numbers for this game.
Main reason: We finally have our starters back. No one fucks around when KG is in the game. The bench is going to play hard D during garbage time and continue to score. All the bench players are trying to compete for more minutes. They'll play hard even if Doc sits KG, pierce, Allen. I see a big blowout.
Clippers is just the clippers. Randolph is cancer to the team. B. davis doesn't try.
That's why vegas is having such a hard time coming up with numbers for this game.
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Thanks Ax - much appreciated. Like I said, I'm useless in MLB - so I'll be leaning pretty DAMN hard if you don't mind come the summer. Follow the NFL more than college, but can talk pigskin when need arises.
Hoops was and is still my 1st love - led me to go to college in DC and support the program I grew up watching; thankfully, the school was somewhat academically rigorous... Have come to follow football/soccer more and more in the last decade. And then when you travel through the developing world, you see that both enjoy a high degree of popularity b/c of the low economic entry.
My biggest concern is divesting myself from any emotive content when looking over situations. The anxious/nervous gambler is more often than not on the losing end.
What you've taught me Ax over the brief time we've interacted and while following your threads is DISCIPLINE - the high of gambling for most people is CHASING LOSSES (adrenalin rush), not the wins... And if you can get beyond that, you're halfway there.
the very least. see the line coming out (-12) or maybe I'm hoping.
C's this season coming off b2b W's on the road and first game back at home
4-0 SU win by average 14
I'm going to have my homer play anyway but this is a solid wager.
