NBA MON 032309 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
I think this might be the side bet of the day IMHO. I really see ORL just pounding NY into the ground tonight. It's Monday night in the big apple, people are winding down from their weekend. No one gives a crap about the Knicks to begin with so the Knicks will play like the city expects them to and the way the city feels. Let's get this Monday over with. Had this been a weekend game in NY...maybe, just maybe...On a Monday night, ORL looking at this as a business trip. Time to take care of some stuff. NY, at home is looking at this as a hassle.
Take it for what it's worth. Only one man's opinion
- Mar 18, 2009
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ETZ, SAS was on Gm 1 of 3 on the road when they got beat by 18 in POR then came back on a b2b and absolutely put a beating on the Clipps by 28. They had a day rest and lost to the Mavs by 5 going 1-2 on this very short road trip. FYI, came home and killed the Wiz by 22 first game back at the AT&T.
Not sure if that was what you were looking for. If not let me know and I'll try to find out. Here's an interesting note from researching this. SAS games this season after they lose by at least 15 have gone under 4 of 5 times. the only over was a 2OT game in MIN on 11/5. That was the first...since, all 4 games have gone under by 23, 19, 16, 1. Taht last one was the same game where they beat the Clipps by 28.
If that wasn't what you were looking for. I still learned a lot.
Thanks for looking into this - appreciated as always.
The information concerning the Spurs definitely is of interest and may prove valuable in assessing matters a little further down the road.
Was wondering what sort of rest pattern the Spurs were on - wasn't sure if this set of games away also comprised part of that long Rodeo road trip (they don't - so they wouldn't have been road weary as such)...
What intrigues me here is that Portland lost to the Rockets (in Houston) on the 24th of February, Spurs (in San Antonio) on the 25th, then went to Minnesota and beat the 'Wolves on the 27th, only to return to Portland and deliver the hammer on San Antonio on the 1st of March - there are a couple of points to consider here: only 3 road games in this cycle and all closer to a time zone that is favorable to their own Left Coast internal clock.
There also lies the potential for a 2nd half play on the Trail Blazers tonight if they're behind or close at the half - they do come alive more often than not when re-emerging from the dressing room (I think this was a trend pointed out in an article at C*vers). If someone has the numbers to verify, more than welcome to chime in.
The Blazers will be playing their 6th game in 9 nights (and not on a back-to-back); 76ers 5 in 7 (back-to-back) - I don't usually invest a lot of value into this element, but may give it slightly more weight here.
Looking into the other games now...
:00x32
- Mar 18, 2009
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Read some reflections about the game in Orlando in the media; the Knicks know the gig is up - Robinson laughed about needing to go 13-0 to make the playoffs and Hughes added that they wanted to finish the season strong even if they don't have a realistic postseason opportunity. The former signals to me a clear pragmatic comprehension; the latter, standard platitude you've come to know and be familiar w/: i.e. overused soundbite...
lip service if you will. good morning ETZ...I'm on a holding pattern waiting for my attorney to get some business taken care of so I'm spending this time constructively. Looking forward to your analyses.
Early Morning Accuscore (still waiting on 3-4 other games not released yet)
Orlando by 8.5 and 213.7
Phoenix by .2 and 233.6
Portland by 9.5 and 190.3
Waiting on other games, will post ASAP
Orlando by 8.5 and 213.7
Phoenix by .2 and 233.6
Portland by 9.5 and 190.3
Waiting on other games, will post ASAP
- Mar 18, 2009
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Good Morning Ax and company, :00hour
Fresh lines...
hot, right off the presses.
chi = opened -6.5
was = o/u 210
lac = o/u 199
bos = opened -16
-------------------------------------------------
minn/atl = opened 196.5 currently 195.5
13%
87%
orl/ny = opened 213.5 currently 216
86%
14%
phi = 35%
port = 65% = opened -7.5 currently -8.5
Fresh lines...
hot, right off the presses.
chi = opened -6.5
was = o/u 210
lac = o/u 199
bos = opened -16
-------------------------------------------------
minn/atl = opened 196.5 currently 195.5
13%
87%
orl/ny = opened 213.5 currently 216
86%
14%
phi = 35%
port = 65% = opened -7.5 currently -8.5
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Update and ***ALERTS****
Atlanta by 9.1 and 190.9
Miami by 10.8 and 189.4
Chi by 4.6 and 203.6
Bos by 19.4 and 198.4
Putting ATL/Mia/Chi totals in the 5.1,4.6,6.4 variance categories !!!
Sorry Slice. Was posting the same time you were. Thought you might still be sleeping.
- Mar 21, 2009
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Woohoo wishful thinking came through! Bulls 207+
Now what...I must have missed something huge in that game... :shrug:
Celts under is looking as a play, just have to figure out by how much will they kill Clips.
Anyone looking at player bets ? Rudy Gay @18.5
There is no one in the Heat lineup that should be able to contain him, he'll torch Beasley and shoot over Moon/Haslem with relative ease. 24+ night for Rudy ?
Billups o18.5
vs Nash...he's gonna kill him...
Now what...I must have missed something huge in that game... :shrug:
Celts under is looking as a play, just have to figure out by how much will they kill Clips.
Anyone looking at player bets ? Rudy Gay @18.5
There is no one in the Heat lineup that should be able to contain him, he'll torch Beasley and shoot over Moon/Haslem with relative ease. 24+ night for Rudy ?
Billups o18.5
vs Nash...he's gonna kill him...
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information is welcome here...no problem!! If you got it, share it. I'm sure slice won't mind.
- Mar 21, 2009
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No problem, Im feeling much better today, just waiting on the wife hand/foot cause she's still down with the flu :sadwave:
- Mar 21, 2009
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ax i like the atlanta game and portland game.......i don't see philly having too much energy for this game against portland at home.....this is going to be portlands 7th game in the last 9 days......this going to be philly's 5th game in 7 days......i see this as a slow tempo game....miller for philly is a jitterbug guard he pushes the ball all the time.....but i don't see him having the energy to do it the whole game........the problem here is how many points do u see portland scoring....philly gives up 100 on the road......portland scores 100+ at home......i see philly scoring 90 or less cause of fatigue and portlands front line is just big......thats why they match up well against the lakers......do you see portland scoring 100 points......both teams have played alot of games as of late.....
