NBA MON 032309 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

Slicer

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Mar 18, 2009
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Good Afternoon AX ... lot of action on the Minn / Atla under ... I locked in at 196 1/2 and it's now down 2 points since ... when you speak -- people listen !!!

Best NCAA game tonight is Oregon St. minus 1 over Vermont ... Michelle "snuff under her lower lip" Obama's brother is the head coach at Oregon St. so the refs will be giving them favorable calls since they are looking for stimulus money !!!

Will throw in my 2 cents on your thread everyday ... glad I found you here !!!

ChumpChange aka Chump / Covers
ROFLMAO That might be the greatest single handicapping angle I've heard, j/k bro hilarious.
 

Slicer

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Updated Accuscore as of 1:45pm EST:

Orl 8.5 and 214.3
Phx .1 and 233.7
Port 9.2 and 190.8
ATL 9.1 and 190.9
Mia 10.8 and 189.4
Chi 6 and 206.6
Bos 18.9 and 197.3
 

axp59

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Oct 8, 2008
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Good Afternoon AX ... lot of action on the Minn / Atla under ... I locked in at 196 1/2 and it's now down 2 points since ... when you speak -- people listen !!!

Best NCAA game tonight is Oregon St. minus 1 over Vermont ... Michelle "snuff under her lower lip" Obama's brother is the head coach at Oregon St. so the refs will be giving them favorable calls since they are looking for stimulus money !!!

Will throw in my 2 cents on your thread everyday ... glad I found you here !!!

ChumpChange aka Chump / Covers

What a relief...I've been asking for you everyday it seems like. Welcome!!! I just didn't want to bother you over there. I know you're a low key family man with all your grandchildren and I didn't want to intrude.
I am very happy to see you though. Always looked up to you and your insight. I was just telling the story yesterday about your advice on the W2-G. That $100 investment is well worth it.
Again, glad to have you on board and I'm sure I'm not the only one here very excited that you've dropped by. Grab a stump because I'm all ears :bigear:

Chump...gotta check out the emoticons...and I quit snuff a long time ago. Not a day goes without me thinking about it. I'm a gambler and snuff keeps me focus...now I'm just a nervous gambler. LOL
 

granpa

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Mar 18, 2009
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ALL,

Can you please PM me at the old place when you have a minute? Thanks Guys.

Ax
Ax, been busy at work and just got through the thread to see this. Hope all is well. Loving the picks tonight as well. Plenty of good info today as well.

G
 

easterntimezone

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Mar 18, 2009
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ETZ...well done sir...buying that ORL side right now. Your logic is right on the money and after running some numbers, I concur. This may be the Side of the Day.

:topic: Please don't go Turc on us :joke:
love your write-ups...

Thanks again, Ax; hope it's on the right side...

As for Turc, just for fun, I was considering starting a post w/ the blah, blah, blah, a friend has approached me w/ a business proposition and I can finance it by selling picks, blah, blah, blah just to see how asinine it would be if scripted by me... No worries on that front ever - spoke to a friend working in Glasgow, Scotland yesterday and he concurred w/ me after we had broached the topic of touts and their slimeball take advantage of people's insecurities behavior -
'If these touts are doing so well, why bother selling picks, why not just bankrupt the 'books on your own?' - and that right there says it all...
 

rragga2727

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ax, i always look first for atlanta games and think can we get an under, and minnesota is dreadful, but for some reason when i saw this game for today i see an up and down game . with the greatest cappers and opinions i still see atlanta going off on one of those offensive games. i have nothing to prove this theory just the gut 114 -90 something like that.felt the other way with okla-minn, but that was from experience of the week before that i tried to warn. i can't bet either way , think my play is only phl/prtlnd u. possible play on side......i was hoping ax you had opinion on the celts. it is stretch time all they care about is championship their glaring problem and road to championship is defense .they know if they keep teams in the 80s they will win all the time. with garnett back is now the time they start to focus on defense and bring back those 15 pt quarters of last year. It is a revenge of the embarrassment of a couple of weeks ago, but does this game mean anything to boston other than getting garnett back in shape. wanted to know what you thought . they can totally stop la if they cared to..thanx for everything and any info. b2b 8-2 weekend days only because i played so much madness games and of course thanx to you and everyone's input sincerely appreciated..
 

axp59

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Oct 8, 2008
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Taxachusetts
This is going to be my other 1U play

[607] ORLANDO -6-110

I bought back the CHI/WAS Under. Gotta do what you gotta do.

My other 1U play is the MIN/ATL U which I was fortunate to move on last night @ 196.5
 

chasing2day

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Mar 19, 2009
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This is going to be my other 1U play

[607] ORLANDO -6-110

I bought back the CHI/WAS Under. Gotta do what you gotta do.

My other 1U play is the MIN/ATL U which I was fortunate to move on last night @ 196.5

ax, when you say you bought back your chi/was play, does it mean that you reversed the previous under? so you only lose juice? thanks
 

axp59

Jarhead
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Oct 8, 2008
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Taxachusetts
i was hoping ax you had opinion on the celts. it is stretch time all they care about is championship their glaring problem and road to championship is defense .they know if they keep teams in the 80s they will win all the time. with garnett back is now the time they start to focus on defense and bring back those 15 pt quarters of last year. It is a revenge of the embarrassment of a couple of weeks ago, but does this game mean anything to boston other than getting garnett back in shape. wanted to know what you thought . they can totally stop la if they cared to..thanx for everything and any info. b2b 8-2 weekend days only because i played so much madness games and of course thanx to you and everyone's input sincerely appreciated..

Brother, this is one thing I cannot be objective about. I am a die-hard C's fan through thick and thin. I have my homer plays but those are blind. I'd love to tell you they'll cover this number easily but is that Ax the capper or Ax the homer? Better off not trying to draw that line. I wish you luck if you must play this game but I think there's good value on others.
 

coolhandluke

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Thanks again, Ax; hope it's on the right side...

As for Turc, just for fun, I was considering starting a post w/ the blah, blah, blah, a friend has approached me w/ a business proposition and I can finance it by selling picks, blah, blah, blah just to see how asinine it would be if scripted by me... No worries on that front ever - spoke to a friend working in Glasgow, Scotland yesterday and he concurred w/ me after we had broached the topic of touts and their slimeball take advantage of people's insecurities behavior -
'If these touts are doing so well, why bother selling picks, why not just bankrupt the 'books on your own?' - and that right there says it all...

OMG, here I am spitting out my tea again reading that first part, that's so funny:142smilie


About going tout, that is exactly what I said when it's was brought up, shouldn't need to!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 

Slicer

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Mar 18, 2009
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North Carolina
Locked:

1U Chi/Was Under 210
1U ATL/MN Under 196
1/2U Port -8

That's all for me tonight, BOL to everyone :00x22


Gonna follow ax and bought back 1/2 unit of my Chi/Wash bet (still gonna let 1/2U ride out on it)and add Orl -6 1/2 unit.

Also locking in St Mary's -4.5, Bradley -3 on the college sides for $100 action plays.
 

easterntimezone

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Mar 18, 2009
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Brother, this is one thing I cannot be objective about. I am a die-hard C's fan through thick and thin. I have my homer plays but those are blind. I'd love to tell you they'll cover this number easily but is that Ax the capper or Ax the homer? Better off not trying to draw that line. I wish you luck if you must play this game but I think there's good value on others.

The other part of the equation is that the Clips have good talent that just doesn't MESH well together on a consistent basis and occasionally clicks - Gordon, Thornton, Taylor are all good young prospects whereas Davis and Randolph drag 'em down - Kaman's presence back inside in the interior has begun to show some returns...

Earlier on the season, I didn't have any reservation about the Celtics covering both an U and a side that was 18 + (see Bulls)... Now, not so sure given that there are postseason considerations to take into account and that Pruitt and Walker and Giddens aren't really what you're factoring in when assessing matters.

Personally try to stay away from homer plays...
 

rragga2727

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Mar 18, 2009
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agreed , saw the difference though in the last game should have been an under except for the blow out garbage time points. seems like its gonna be time to start riding the c's again. in the past 200 was unheard of for them always looking to the future as well as the now .....thanx though
 

JCWhy

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Mar 17, 2009
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Indiana
This is going to be my other 1U play

[607] ORLANDO -6-110

I bought back the CHI/WAS Under. Gotta do what you gotta do.

My other 1U play is the MIN/ATL U which I was fortunate to move on last night @ 196.5

What made you buy back the CHI/WAS under? Just curious as I am yet to lock in but liked it on first glance.
 
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Crockie

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Mar 22, 2009
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Ax I'm so afraid of the opening line of Golden State/San Antonio tomorrow. Hope we'll get a line like Phoenix/San Antonio or Golden State/New Orleans.

I think it's a good choice of buying back the Chicago under.
 
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winonv

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Mar 23, 2009
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ETZ...well done sir...buying that ORL side right now. Your logic is right on the money and after running some numbers, I concur. This may be the Side of the Day.

:topic: Please don't go Turc on us :joke:
love your write-ups...

Ax,

Great to see you over here away from the B.S. over there at you know where! Didn't know where to find you and came across this link and here you are. (lips are sealed)

Hey! how's old Turc doing. He dissapeared to start his own svs. business I guess.

Anyway, thanks for all your great write ups and picks!
 
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