NBA PLAYOFFS THURSDAY 04212010 - Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

[JBrilman]

Early start to today!

I am throwing out my guesses with absolutely NO research I will dig into these games after I cap the baseball games for today!


Cavs -4 (personally think this line is a mistake)
Pho -1 (from +1 to -1) hmmmmm

 

[barts185]

I lean OKC, but line has gotten too high.

Also lean under in the LAL/OKC game.

Lean POR. Some places are up to +1.5. At +2 I'm definitely on them.


Good Luck,
Bart

 

[JBrilman]

CALLING AXPIOTA & GRINDSTONE

CALLING AXPIOTA & GRINDSTONE

You guys were absolutely MONEY in the playoffs last year....

Where you at????

Grandpa
Slicer
Chump

and any others who USED to contribute lets get some thoughts formulating and some tickets cashing!

 

[Slicer]

hey i posted my 3 losers last night :mj07:

Tonight: Phx, LAL, Clev, if the Lakers drop a game it'll be gm 4, same with Clev.

Phoenix play the way they did the other night and Port has no shot ever.

 

[logan]

Only one play for me tonight.

OKC ov 191

Okc has to be very happy to be home. The youth will push the pace tonight.

 

[Gibson7]

I think 6-4 in the playoffs so far. I'm headed to the Thunder game so I gotta make a play on it right??? YES

lakers/Thunder OVER 191.5

 

[gjn23]

Early start to today!

I am throwing out my guesses with absolutely NO research I will dig into these games after I cap the baseball games for today!


Cavs -4 (personally think this line is a mistake)

what do you think the line should be?

cavs -10.5/11.5 at home (which has turned out to be the correct line) equals cavs -3.5/4.5 on the road

not saying clev wont win by 20 or lose by 20, but opinion aside clev -4 is right where the number should be.

 

[JBrilman]

what do you think the line should be?

cavs -10.5/11.5 at home (which has turned out to be the correct line) equals cavs -3.5/4.5 on the road

not saying clev wont win by 20 or lose by 20, but opinion aside clev -4 is right where the number should be.

why would one #1 seed be a fave and the other be a dog in game 3?

How do you justify that? Line is not correct...Neither is Lakers line it should be closer to pickem

Cavs covered game 1 and Bulls backers were only teased to think they had a shot at covering that game and 2nd game missed by a FT...

Line should be -5.5 to 6.5

-4 or -3.5 is a mistake

 

[gjn23]

la was a 5.5 fav on tuesday

now they're on the road and getting 3.5.....translation, a 4 point swing for home court....that line should be around 2.5/3 and the series ml was 60% less on la than clev so somebody making lines expected okc to win a game.

i dont think a team is fav by 10.5 at home, doesnt cover and then goes on the road in game 3 and is laying 6.5......now, clev rolls tonight, then absolutely the line goes up in game 4 to 5.5/6 range but tonight that line is set about right at 4/4.5

 

[JBrilman]

la was a 5.5 fav on tuesday

now they're on the road and getting 3.5.....translation, a 4 point swing for home court....that line should be around 2.5/3 and the series ml was 60% less on la than clev so somebody making lines expected okc to win a game.

i dont think a team is fav by 10.5 at home, doesnt cover and then goes on the road in game 3 and is laying 6.5......now, clev rolls tonight, then absolutely the line goes up in game 4 to 5.5/6 range but tonight that line is set about right at 4/4.5

You act liked they missed the cover by 3-5 points in game 2. They missed it by 0.5 points....

Only reason line is 3.5-4 is becasue if Bulls keep ANY game within 10 its this one

THATS THE ONLY REASON

 

[gjn23]

You act liked they missed the cover by 3-5 points in game 2. They missed it by 0.5 points....

Only reason line is 3.5-4 is becasue if Bulls keep ANY game within 10 its this one

THATS THE ONLY REASON

right

and thats why a line of 4.5 is dead on for this game.

again, the cavs may win by 20 or lose by 20...it doesnt matter, but the 4.5 spread isnt off for this game and i fully expect it to rise for game 4 no matter the outcome (cavs by 5 if chi wins and cavs by 6.5 if clev wins)

 

[JBrilman]

right

and thats why a line of 4.5 is dead on for this game.

again, the cavs may win by 20 or lose by 20...it doesnt matter, but the 4.5 spread isnt off for this game and i fully expect it to rise for game 4 no matter the outcome (cavs by 5 if chi wins and cavs by 6.5 if clev wins)

Line will be -6 to -7 regardless of outcome tonight...

BOL whatever you play!

 

[gjn23]

i'm so confident the line is right i'm playing

clev wins by 4 exactly = +2000

 

[JBrilman]

i'm so confident the line is right i'm playing

clev wins by 4 exactly = +2000

Hope your not putting much on that...prop bets are usually a big waste of money...


Really disappointing the lack of conversation in the threads recently. We used to share ideas and come up with some damn good plays...

 

[granpa]

You guys were absolutely MONEY in the playoffs last year....

Where you at????

Grandpa
Slicer
Chump

and any others who USED to contribute lets get some thoughts formulating and some tickets cashing!

Working my ass off these days.. No time for capping or betting. :sadwave: