If I didn't already have 11x pending on this game including 5x at the very generous number of 196.5, which I got live after the high-scoring first qtr... I would definetly go UNDER 93.5 here. This will play out exactly like game two, total-wise, high scoring first half, low scoring 2nd, and the game will total will go under as well. Also lean to the Lakers to take this one down. Should have bet it before the game, but I saw so many people, sharps included, on Dallas. Not much difference here with the 2nd half line at basically a PK for the game, but I'll stick with the under, sure to cash. GLTA
NBA Playoffs
- Thread starter DZ
- Start date
Thinking under and Boston so we'll looking for value on either of those at the half. Lines very tight, so I really have to see something to take a position on a full game line.
:toast:
LAKERS -5 2H(-105) 6x -6.3x
Sorry, but I can't resist... even though I have them at +13 already for a hefty amount, this is a play I make 10 out of 10 times at halftime, regardless of the situation. Dallas is not going to continue shooting 60% from the field and 73% from 3pt land, and the Lakers FG and 3PT percentages will move up from 36.8% & 12.5% respectively. Regression to the mean, its very simple.
Also, if I didn't already have the under at 194.5, I'd be pounding the under 93 at the half as well. In fact, that's my favorite bet right now. If you have the over at 188/187, you'd be smart to go for the middle IMO. As long as this game stays at a 10 point margin or more, the Mavs will be smart to run time off the clock and make it tough for the Lakers to mount a comeback. They will close the gap some, but not enough to make it a close game where there are lots of late stoppages, time outs and FTs.
Sorry, but I can't resist... even though I have them at +13 already for a hefty amount, this is a play I make 10 out of 10 times at halftime, regardless of the situation. Dallas is not going to continue shooting 60% from the field and 73% from 3pt land, and the Lakers FG and 3PT percentages will move up from 36.8% & 12.5% respectively. Regression to the mean, its very simple.
Also, if I didn't already have the under at 194.5, I'd be pounding the under 93 at the half as well. In fact, that's my favorite bet right now. If you have the over at 188/187, you'd be smart to go for the middle IMO. As long as this game stays at a 10 point margin or more, the Mavs will be smart to run time off the clock and make it tough for the Lakers to mount a comeback. They will close the gap some, but not enough to make it a close game where there are lots of late stoppages, time outs and FTs.
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Man was I wrong about that last game :facepalm:
Mavs did finish shooting 60% from the field and the Lakers finished at 37%. What a disaster for one of the most storied franchises in sports. :facepalm: :facepalm: :facepalm:
Upgrading this Hawks play to 6x and adding the ML for 2x... I'll make the changes above. Also looking at the under for that one, but waiting for more value while the public drives it up.
Mavs did finish shooting 60% from the field and the Lakers finished at 37%. What a disaster for one of the most storied franchises in sports. :facepalm: :facepalm: :facepalm:
Upgrading this Hawks play to 6x and adding the ML for 2x... I'll make the changes above. Also looking at the under for that one, but waiting for more value while the public drives it up.
F*ck me... waited too long, should of fired when I saw 188.5 after the 1st, now I'll just have to hope a team goes on a run. You can really find some good value betting LIVE if your timing is right and you know what you're looking for. Let's see now because the pace has picked up a bit midway through the 2nd qtr...
Obviously I like the 2nd half under... my live bet is the same as the 90.5 total and I'd stick with that 6 unit-sized wager.
Gonna take a shot here with a parlay...
Celtics +1(-105) 2H/THUNDER ML+110 4x to win 12.4x -4x
GLTA
:toast:
Gonna take a shot here with a parlay...
Celtics +1(-105) 2H/THUNDER ML+110 4x to win 12.4x -4x
GLTA
:toast:
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Look at the pace of this game... both teams have combined for 71 FGA... the only reason they scored over 100 in the first half is because they combined to shoot 39 FTs... Combine that with the fact that the total is going up at square books while it sits at 98 at other places makes me like the under more. I'll make a small play on it. Also going for a 4 point middle with my live bet at +8.
GRIZZ/THUNDER UNDER 98.5 EVEN 4x -4x
GRIZZ PK +110 4x -4x
GRIZZ/THUNDER UNDER 98.5 EVEN 4x -4x
GRIZZ PK +110 4x -4x
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Total came crashing down a full 1.5-2pts right before tip... most certainly smart money since public is heavily favoring the over. You can bet I'll be looking for value 2nd Half if the First is high scoring.
BOL to everyone today :toast:
BOL to everyone today :toast:
