NBA SAT 032109 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

PickNPop

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Mar 18, 2009
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Give me a breakdown of what you think favors Liverpool tomorrow - I'm interested to hear a counterpoint - it's easy to get caught up in the belief of one's thought processes (guilty as charged ALL the time) and I always invite opposing or alternate angles...

I will say right now it's quite clear that your knowledge of the beautiful game is vastly superior to mine, but I shall share my limited insight.

Villa haven't won a game in the last 5 for all competitions, would now be the best time to back them? Carew is the only striker scoring for Villa lately and the strength and height of Skrtel and Carragher should negate that.

Additionally, Villa play a counter-attacking style on the road, which will be very dangerous tomorrow when you consider the attacking options Liverpool have. Alonso should be back from injury which will highly help their distribution. Also, they may find it hard to win the midfield seeing how Liverpool play with 5 in MF while Villa will only have 4.

Well, I tried. :shrug:
More of a gut feeling than anything I guess.
 

easterntimezone

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Mar 18, 2009
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I will say right now it's quite clear that your knowledge of the beautiful game is vastly superior to mine, but I shall share my limited insight.

Villa haven't won a game in the last 5 for all competitions, would now be the best time to back them? Carew is the only striker scoring for Villa lately and the strength and height of Skrtel and Carragher should negate that.

Additionally, Villa play a counter-attacking style on the road, which will be very dangerous tomorrow when you consider the attacking options Liverpool have. Alonso should be back from injury which will highly help their distribution. Also, they may find it hard to win the midfield seeing how Liverpool play with 5 in MF while Villa will only have 4.

Well, I tried. :shrug:
More of a gut feeling than anything I guess.

PNP -

No one's knowledge is superior - the differences that lie in perception is key b/c the aggregate makes for a full 360 vantage point as opposed to a keyhole perspective looking out.

The points that you've furnished are solid - really (and I'm not patronizing here); if Villa don't win outright, do you think a draw is feasible? It's what's plagued the Reds (and Arsenal and Chelsea) all year in that they've dropped points to inferior competition instead of picking up the full 3?

The part of betting on football that lends hesitation personally is the prospect of a draw. And when I referred to an upset by Villa @ Anfield, I'm including a draw b/c that doesn't narrow the gap b/w Liverpool and United to just 1 point (w/ Man U having a game in hand).

Like almost everyone else, there's an latent action junkie in me - and I'm tempted to place a wage just to feel part of it all. But losing bankrolls in the past have wizened me to picking spots - I guess I'm saying I would rather ride this out and watch as an interested spectator w/ no fiscal liability on the line.

By the way, I noted you said you weren't confident about your capping - I think you ought to write more, to be honest - it's far more enriching for everyone including the author to flesh out ideas, notions, etc. - some may be more valid than others on different days, but there's nothing that isn't of value... Just a thought...

Again, best of luck if you do play. And looking forward to brainstorming w/ you on the end of the EPL as well as the remainder of Champions League.:mj06:
 

axp59

Jarhead
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Oct 8, 2008
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Hell of a day and another POD in the books. I never get tired of this ever growing conga line going to the window. No wrap up tonight fellas.

Our POD got lucky. Yes, live with it, luck is very much part of this game we play. Those overs backers got the bad luck and we got the good luck. You can't cap for that. Look at my single loss tonight. That BOS/MEM moose was tough to take. Not because I lost, because the game was capped correctly and luck got me...bad luck. Luck often shows itself in one possession games. Not the one possession on the scoreboard but the one possession around the number. NY/ORL U covered by one possession...BOS/MEM did not cover by one possession. No one in their right mind caps a game with a one possession cushion in the NBA. The crap that happens in the end, and you've heard me preach this, has to be at least 3 possessions for any comfort.

With that..I leave this day behind me...You'd think I lost my shirt with this rant. My plays were posted...you guys know how I did.

Thank you all for the hard work. I am in awe at the caliber of cappers we have here. Thank you so, so much!
 

RevBen2006

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Sep 4, 2006
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Hell of a day and another POD in the books. I never get tired of this ever growing conga line going to the window. No wrap up tonight fellas.

Our POD got lucky. Yes, live with it, luck is very much part of this game we play. Those overs backers got the bad luck and we got the good luck. You can't cap for that. Look at my single loss tonight. That BOS/MEM moose was tough to take. Not because I lost, because the game was capped correctly and luck got me...bad luck. Luck often shows itself in one possession games. Not the one possession on the scoreboard but the one possession around the number. NY/ORL U covered by one possession...BOS/MEM did not cover by one possession. No one in their right mind caps a game with a one possession cushion in the NBA. The crap that happens in the end, and you've heard me preach this, has to be at least 3 possessions for any comfort.

With that..I leave this day behind me...You'd think I lost my shirt with this rant. My plays were posted...you guys know how I did.

Thank you all for the hard work. I am in awe at the caliber of cappers we have here. Thank you so, so much!

Where do you list your pods? Dont wanna miss out. Are they in this thread? casue at the top of your post you say no picks inside. just a little confussed. thanks
 
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