NBA SAT 050209 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

[axp59]

The early moves is looking like the public likes BOS to cover here. I'm not sold. I'm leaning CHI and the points here but will wait this one out.
The total is a different story. This number looks off considering how things have played out. I like my chances with the over. Gm 6 went over before OT. I may just lock this now. Be back later with an update. BOL

 

[axp59]

OK, I got the total @ 197 on bookmaker. Locked the Over.

BOL

 

[LFTNUT]

LETS DO IT :toast:

 

[axp59]

LETS DO IT :toast:

BOL LFTNUT

 

[Griffin8s]

I know we never count on OT but with this series I wouldn't bet against. Wait a minute I have bet against it and it bit me like a SOB!!!:mj07:
I think you read here is right AX, Bulls are going to have to score for a chance to win this game and it will be a close one.:toast:

 

[axp59]

hmmmm number moved down?

 

[wersty]

last night

last night

doc rivers pointed out how the celtics defense was not very good and that they would have to get back to playing solid defense in order to win at home----- i like the under in game #7 as i think boston will come out and try to slow the tempo down more to their liking but what do i know :shrug:

 

[Griffin8s]

Now I never post these % because I don't know how they a caluclated. If it's all of the public or just the people using this site. It's in the betting trends link on scores and odds.
2009-05-02 CHICAGO BULLS 197.0 196.5 94%side 48%over
20:05 EST BOSTON CELTICS -6.5 196.5 6%side 52%under

Hope you can understand it, it's not a good copy and paste. I;m not a puter wiz I'm a Jarhead damn it.:mj07:

 

[axp59]

doc rivers pointed out how the celtics defense was not very good and that they would have to get back to playing solid defense in order to win at home----- i like the under in game #7 as i think boston will come out and try to slow the tempo down more to their liking but what do i know :shrug:

thank you sir. living in beantown, i've seen/heard Doc go through this routine with the media. Although I think they're the better team, I'm just not sure they dictate. We've only seen one game where the C's dictated and that was the blowout win in CHI last week which did go under. I doubt that they change their colors now. They've already had 3 chances at home to dictate their game defensively but they're not holding the leash here. The dog is doing the walking.
I'm also guessing like everyone :shrug:

 

[axp59]

I know we never count on OT but with this series I wouldn't bet against. Wait a minute I have bet against it and it bit me like a SOB!!!:mj07:
I think you read here is right AX, Bulls are going to have to score for a chance to win this game and it will be a close one.:toast:

I hate capping the home team Gunny. I'd like to be objective but I'm a realist.

 

[Joe_Vienna]

Over!

Easy money :toast:

 

[JSwinz213]

I am leaning over on this one and might put Boston ML in a parlay with something else...maybe PACMAN!!

 

[Eagle123]

Line move to 195.5 from my side

Still go for the Over Ax?

 

[axp59]

I am leaning over on this one and might put Boston ML in a parlay with something else...maybe PACMAN!!

Bro, how you betting Manny tonight? Manny under? I love the play BTW. Thinking of Celtics/Manny/Nuggets 3-way ML parlay. BOL

 

[axp59]

Line move to 195.5 from my side

Still go for the Over Ax?

I am absolutely puzzled. Does anyone know where or how to get regional numbers? I want to know what part of the country is moving this line down. Is there something I'm missing here? Someone please let me know what's up.

I'm not going to second guess. OVER for me. please tail at your own risk.

BOL Eagle.

 

[Eagle123]

They have so many OT play in this series and 3OT in last game.

Do you think they will have a tired leg and result in a low scoring game?

 

[coolhandluke]

I am absolutely puzzled. Does anyone know where or how to get regional numbers? I want to know what part of the country is moving this line down. Is there something I'm missing here? Someone please let me know what's up.

I'm not going to second guess. OVER for me. please tail at your own risk.

BOL Eagle.

FWIW, opened here at 8:30 at at 198, 15 min later it droped to 196.5 something seems to be up:shrug:

 

[Griffin8s]

They have so many OT play in this series and 3OT in last game.

Do you think they will have a tired leg and result in a low scoring game?

This game makes or breaks your season. I would bet these guys are not going to be tired. This is what you play all year for is this 1 game!! Now if the game goes under it won't be cuz they are tired.

Ax, I have to say I'm to back and forth on the side of this game so much that I may stay away. I need to hear a good solid reason why go one or the other. Taking the points seem like the right play but then Game 3 sticks out at me and changes that thought. Bulls have not won a game by more then 3 pts but C's have.:shrug: That's why its called gambling I guess!!!

 

[axp59]

Off topic: fight fans. I am betting on PAC tonight

OPTION 1:if I bet manny -240

OPTION 2:if I bet manny wins by ko, tko, dq +115
if manny wins by dec +230

question: am I missing something here or is option 2 the bet if betting manny to win anyway. is there another outcome to win in boxing besides ko, tko, dq or dec?

i know atton can win or it's a draw and I lose but if I want to bet PAC and e does win, isn't the value in option 2?

thanks

 

[thanhdang60]

BOS-6
UNDER196
Chi :
D.Rose have no experience for play off and this game will decide in or out, so he will have nervious from champion defence.
B.Gorden got hamstring from last game so he will not felling good 100% .
I think final score:95-85 BOS