NBA SAT 103109 early thoughts - value hunting

[rragga2727]

man ,you guys are all in midseason form!!! Last night I liked dallas n da under and now i lose a couple points. Same with Cleveland,San Antonio big jump. I'm 3 steps behind..Detroit without Hamilton has to affect the totals n #. Washington poss. without Butler the same. Probably wait for AX n washington home opener.Good luck guys.still scratch'n:thinking:

 

[compita_luigi]

what up bro

what up bro

what do you like on the FL-GA game today? in nba i like detroit to pull the w 2nite.. thoughts?

 

[axp59]

what do you like on the FL-GA game today? in nba i like detroit to pull the w 2nite.. thoughts?

My only NCAAFB play today is FLA -15. Locked that mid-week.

seems like there are a few of you guys on DET. That's a no play for me.

 

[t20boss]

An observation:

NJ/WAS has dropped significantly to 192.5 presenting possible value on the O.

Just a thought.


Agree. NJ shut down a bit last night by a good Orl team. Considering the 3 possession safety cushion, I do see that this game total should be around 200 pts myself, which does offer some value, especially if it drops anymore.

 

[t20boss]

Wow - NJ / Wash down to 190.5 :scared

Enough value for me...locked in on the O.

 

[BillyBatts]

Leans

Leans

Nice hit on the over last nite Ax, wish I would've tailed. Instead I went 2-2 and had my 1st losing night. 7-4 YTD

I also have a play on the Gators in CFB, and will have a big one on Oregon tonight.

Leans in NBA
Bobs
Knicks
Spurs Over as well
Wizz, and Wizz-Nets Over

Good luck tonight guys.:toast:

 

[Truckin']

already locked in at hou un 186. i also like det tonight. any thoughts on that one ax?

I locked this in at 186 & now its at 187.5 at my book

Dallas / Clips at 194
NJ / Wash 190.5

 

[barts185]

FWIW, my leans (did not make any plays)

CHA/CLE under 182
POR -3
MIL -3
DAL/LAC under, but not touching it after that move.

Good Luck,
Bart

 

[axp59]

rragga, by mid-season form you mean dazed and confused with all these line moves, then yes. :mj07:

I'm going to focus on these the next few hours:

In the order as listed on the board:

NJ/WAS O
POR/HOU U
DET/MIL U
SAC/SAS O
DAL -
DAL/LAC U

didn't list the numbers because they will vary across books and shopping is part of the game.

 

[CUBBOY69]

nice call on bulls/celts total..ax

nice call on bulls/celts total..ax

rode with you on that one..also hit under in the lake show..2-0 night ....check back later looking at a few games ...gl guys

 

[axp59]

:topic:

Anyone like GT -11.5 over Vandy tonight? No value at that number I know but still thinking it's maybe worth a play.

Any ACC/SEC gurus out there? Appreciate it.

 

[arabmoney]

hey ax' that hou total moved up to 187.5, u still like the under

 

[axp59]

hey ax' that hou total moved up to 187.5, u still like the under

LOL, they're gonna give me more points. I'll try to see why this moved in that direction. Some things I just don't understand. :shrug:

 

[CoFred]

:topic:

Anyone like GT -11.5 over Vandy tonight? No value at that number I know but still thinking it's maybe worth a play.

Any ACC/SEC gurus out there? Appreciate it.

Yea Ax. I locked in GT at -11 earlier today. I think it ends with us at the window :cheers:

 

[PeePee]

LOL, they're gonna give me more points. I'll try to see why this moved in that direction. Some things I just don't understand. :shrug:

First home game.... all fired up, maybe? The only chance Hou can win games this year is playing up tempo style (Rick's style too) and I think they have the personnels for it. imo.
Now, if they can make shots or not is another issue.

 

[axp59]

Yea Ax. I locked in GT at -11 earlier today. I think it ends with us at the window :cheers:

Thank you much sir. I feel like pushing my luck with 2 ncaafb plays today. :toast:

 

[BillyBatts]

First home game.... all fired up, maybe? The only chance Hou can win games this year is playing up tempo style (Rick's style too) and I think they have the personnels for it. imo.
Now, if they can make shots or not is another issue.

I agree. I had the under between these 2 the 1st game of the year, and the slow start helped me. The home team usually controls the temp, so I think both of thse numbers on this game are very sharp

On another note, I really want to take the Bobs getting 15. If anyone remebers, i said I'd be fading the Cavs early this year. Yes the Bobs played a 2ot game last nite and now travel on the road, but I think the points are WAY overadjusted, especially in what looks like will be a low scoring game. I'm also leaning Clips now too.
:00x24

 

[axp59]

First home game.... all fired up, maybe? The only chance Hou can win games this year is playing up tempo style (Rick's style too) and I think they have the personnels for it. imo.
Now, if they can make shots or not is another issue.

Got any action on this PeePee? This is intriguing since this HOU team is very different from the past few years which is the base of my trending analysis.

 

[barts185]

Thank you much sir. I feel like pushing my luck with 2 ncaafb plays today. :toast:

FWIW, I'm on GT as well.

Good Luck to all of us,
Bart

 

[axp59]

so I think both of thse numbers on this game are very sharp

Thanks BB

as for the CAVS, fade away brother. SHAQ is still exhausted.