NBA SUN 03-29-09 Scouting Sides & Observing Overs (NO PICKS INSIDE)

Slicer

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Interesting public bets:

# of bets: 4557
LAL 83%
Line Move -.5 from opening -4

# of bets 1679
Nets 76%
Line Move: None

# of bets: 4200
BOS 78%
Line Move: -.5 from opening -11.5

# of bets: 1719
Phx 89%
Line Move: -1 from opening -6
 

VegasAce21

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a lil sich take from Mak across the way....he has good insight IMO...."I understand there is little to no chance for the Nets to make the playoffs but with a coach like Lawrence Frank there is no way the Nets give up. Frank won't allow it. Harris's shot looked rusty but his 14 assists last game makes me think he is just fine and should have the same impact he did on this team earlier. This All-Star point guard will run Minny out of the Arena as he did earlier this season in a NJ blowout of the Timberwolves. That was with Al Jefferson playing well for Minny. The Nets are big enough and fast enough to handle these pups with ease. NJ gets yet another road win on the season."
 

proguy747

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This is my only caveat...these Lakers like to try to pad their stats and with Kobe's limited PT...???
With that said, ATL still has their say and they like to keep it under...

I agree with that statment if it is a blowout or big lead which will not happen against atlanta. farmar stays within the system if the game is close, in fact he tends to struggle against tuff teams. I believe the secret to atlanta winning the game is shutting down Gasol. This guy is a crouching tiger. i dont know the hawks enough and how they matchup against gasol.
 

proguy747

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92% of the public is on Phoenix, and the line dropped a full point. Isn't that strange? This is setting up for a nice clean up by the books, and Joe Pub getting massacred.
 

LookKaPyPy

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Mar 21, 2009
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How do Nets previous games come into play ? Cavs x2 and Lakers. They should be more relaxed playing easier opp. Does that mean they come out flat, but Harris back and "wanting" to play should offset all those slacking tendencies.
 

axp59

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a lil sich take from Mak across the way....he has good insight IMO...."I understand there is little to no chance for the Nets to make the playoffs but with a coach like Lawrence Frank there is no way the Nets give up. Frank won't allow it. Harris's shot looked rusty but his 14 assists last game makes me think he is just fine and should have the same impact he did on this team earlier. This All-Star point guard will run Minny out of the Arena as he did earlier this season in a NJ blowout of the Timberwolves. That was with Al Jefferson playing well for Minny. The Nets are big enough and fast enough to handle these pups with ease. NJ gets yet another road win on the season."

Thanks Ace...urgghhh...hate being on the same side as Mak...no disrespect intended
 

VegasAce21

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yeah i hear ya...dont follow him etc but do read his posts as they can be insightful at times IMO....
 

VegasAce21

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look at the last 10-15 games for MN, hell, ever since AJ went out...i just dont see how they keep up in this game. losin their ass night in n night out...playin for lottery balls...switching lineups every nite cant help w chemistry either...
 

LookKaPyPy

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Hah I have a friend who's total "square", no trends, no player matchups, just this team sucks, this teams owns and he just came with his POD which is Nets -3, even called it "a gift" as he sees them win by 15. The thing is that he's been smoking hot this week. I actually like the play more now, and am willing to go with it. Makes me feel so dirty... :D
 

axp59

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A friend emailed this to me...

New Jersey @ Minnesota
This "should" be an easy win for the Nets - the only concern would be New Jersey's motivation; it's obviously evident that they're not going to the playoffs - there is a growing likelihood that b/c of that consequence, Lawrence Frank won't be back as coach. This almost boils down to whether or not the team wants to finish strong for Frank or if they've entirely zoned him out and are just thinking of what they'll be doing once the regular season wraps up - they have been known to be mightily unfocused at points during the season.
Definitely do think that the Timberwolves are undermanned and looking at the lottery. It's being shorthanded that's been a concern ever since Jefferson went down - they aren't in most games they've played since then - although they did ambush the Bobcats (which will be one of the losses Charlotte will curse themselves for should they be on the outside looking in come April 18th) at home (2 out of 4 wins last homestand); that said, this is the 1st game back for a very young (prone to mistakes of inexperience) team after a short 3 game road trip.
Push comes to shove, would go w/ the Nets, only b/c everything LOGICALLY points to them winning. Not sure about personally having any action on this game myself though.

Philadelphia/Detroit
Philadelphia plays that chaotic brand of basketball - turnovers, steals, etc. If Wallace plays alongside Hamilton for Detroit, that'll be a veteran crew w/ the exception of Rodney Stuckey at the point who'll be taking the floor and less fazed by the 76ers harrassment - the presence of McDyess, Wallace, Hamilton, Prince likely will compensate for any errors of judgment Stuckey commits. Will Bynum has been coming off the bench for the Pistons to great effect - a sparkplug in the mode of Vinnie (The Microwave) Johnson. Last night's marginal win over the Wizards revealed more cracks as they weren't able to hold the double digit lead they enjoyed - although Arenas's return may have inspired the Wizards a little more than usual.

When working on these 2 games, had pencilled in a 2 point victory for New Jersey and the same outcome for Detroit. The point differential is intentionally conservative - when I drew up yesterday's slate (before looking over official lines), had Indiana favored - b/c they were the underdog, that's why was advocating taking the Pacers + the points - couldn't really envision an outright win, but thought they could keep it competitive. That said, the lines that have come out for both games are close to personal guesstimates - would have to say that the New Jersey game looks more likely whereas the potentially positive variables of returning players among the Pistons may be of consequence in determining the final outcome.
 

axp59

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Hah I have a friend who's total "square", no trends, no player matchups, just this team sucks, this teams owns and he just came with his POD which is Nets -3, even called it "a gift" as he sees them win by 15. The thing is that he's been smoking hot this week. I actually like the play more now, and am willing to go with it. Makes me feel so dirty... :D

:mj07: Hey pal, Squares do win...keeps their interest...
 

thanhdang60

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Mar 21, 2009
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SUPER SUPER SUPER PLAYYYY:
NCAA: LOU-6.5 (100% WIN)
OKL/N.CAR OVER164
NBA: SAS-1
NJ-3
 

Ools

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Mar 18, 2009
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FYI

FYI

from the other side -- both Illinibill and disco have system plays on Atlanta +4 or 3.5
 
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