NBA SUN 042609 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

axp59

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Here comes the free money. Seriously, if you can bear letting the man hold your money for a little while, he will give it back plus some. Lay the juice on CLE ML. There might be good value since they're on the road and you'll have DET backers saying they have too much pride to get swept. Worst case, chase and matingale this. No team has ever come back from an 0-3 and DET is not the team that's going to break this trend. Chase the ML on CLE.

Off topic. I may go off line for a couple of days next week. Some of you remember I was tearing down a wall and remodeling the house. Well, we're at the finishing stage and I've been ignoring this far too long. I have to put up some molding, paint and other fun stuff.

I'm sure I'll have other action apart from the CLE chase. BOL
 

easterntimezone

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Here comes the free money. Seriously, if you can bear letting the man hold your money for a little while, he will give it back plus some. Lay the juice on CLE ML. There might be good value since they're on the road and you'll have DET backers saying they have too much pride to get swept. Worst case, chase and matingale this. No team has ever come back from an 0-3 and DET is not the team that's going to break this trend. Chase the ML on CLE.

Off topic. I may go off line for a couple of days next week. Some of you remember I was tearing down a wall and remodeling the house. Well, we're at the finishing stage and I've been ignoring this far too long. I have to put up some molding, paint and other fun stuff.

I'm sure I'll have other action apart from the CLE chase. BOL

Definitely concur w/ this w/o reservation - nice call on the Cavs tonight, Ax - w/ Orlando 2-1 down, things looking slightly dicey for the Magic maybe? A lot harder to score from the perimeter when everyone knows that that's where the Magic's margin of victory builds from and that allowing Howard to get his is acceptable if everyone else is tempered from meeting their averages...

You thinking about a side line venture in remodeling homes as well? :D
 

easterntimezone

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Anticipate that if the Rockets are able to maintain this lead, the Trail Blazers may very well be heading back to Portland looking at a 3-1 series deficit - and that Houston may take care of business in the Pacific Northwest instead of extending it to 6 games.
 

axp59

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I have nothing for SUN guys. Time to get some housework done.

9-1 and haven't tasted defeat in a week. BOL with your action. I'll be offline for a few.
 

gamecocks207

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Nooooo don't leave us. I can't afford to loose money when you are gone. J/k. Hope you can get your stuff done in two days and you and your wisdom will be back soon!!!

Thank you for all you do.
 

burnetto57

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burnetto57

burnetto57

Enjoy your day Sunday - Ax(wow!) - incredible Playoff run and, mlb today - AMAZING stuff. :Yep:
 
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axp59

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Thanks guys. It's a time management issue at this point. Tough capping two sports everyday. BOL guys. If I run across anything or if I get some juicy info, I'll pass it along.
 

axp59

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FWIW, these are my leans. I have no play today.

Heavy lean on BOS/CHI Under
Lean POR

If lines move and there's value, I'll chime in.

BOL
 

rragga2727

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ax great to see ur on fire!!!!!!!!!!!!great day with the under on no/den ,lakers, mia ,and the mavs!!!
gave a little back with denver getting the late cover..
next months vacation is paid for just hoping to keep it rolling.working 18 hour days so i don't get in til late...i'm always looking for great input from knowledgeable cappers,if i agree or disagree it is always respected and appreciated.
tommorrow we start off with bos/chicago.again world champions dogs to a 7 seed.betting is 77% on boston yet the number has risen from 2.5 to 3.
Are the sharps on chicago or do the casinos want you to play boston so they can get our money?.I originally was thinking of the zag for game 4, but what i saw from boston the world champs! with hearts of champs!(and i'm not a boston fan) is this is a team that knows how to win. think of any playoff team and take away their best player let alone some key role players and see how they hold up !!!!!!!!!just look at san antonio w/o ginobli . I have alot of respect for these celtics this year. on to the game. game 2 it started and game 3 continued,the celtics have focused on stopping rose. inconsistant shooting from gordon ( who can be unstoppable),thomas , salmons, hinrich, & miller, is not gonna get it done.every player has to be at his best in order for them to beat the celtics.
the celtics know that they need rest and to put away the bulls asap is very much required. i think the celtics have alot to say before these playoffs are over and would not be surprised to see garnett in the later rounds(unless he has been declared ineligible for playoffs, i believe they set roster at the beginning of each series?) the celtics should beat a highly spirited bulls team, and finish them in 5
cleveland /lebron is so focused they want to win every game every quarter every play.detroit has pride ,no pressure, probably the last game together for some of the key players. they will go out give their best , but in the end give in to the cavs. they know they are going :sadwave: nowhere. can cleveland cover the 8 or 9 probably, but maybe the tease or ml would be the best. as ax said i never mind letting the casino hold my money for a few hours if i know i'm gonna get it back!
i have not been impressed by orlando for about a month ( probably since nelson went down) you can't say superman is overrated he is an incredible athlete, but he will never be a superstar if doesn't develop a shot. turk was hurt at the end of the year and hasn't gotten off. orlando has no offensive concept at all no ball movement they will hold it and shoot the jumper or drive. the sixers are not playing any better for these playoffs then they did for the season, they are consistent they give a hard effort lots of youth great interior d , some exciting offensive talent,orlando has just sucked!!!and i've seen no heart, if they show up this is the game to do it i'm taking philly +4 i can't put my money on a team with no heart!!
houston/portland maybe the best series i love portland old man odom actually looks good!Roy should not have an off night like he had in game 3 . i think Yao is gonna wear down as the playoffs move on . he might get them past portland , but he is getting worn down you can see his stamina is less and less as the game and series moves on!I like the guard play of houston Brooks is one of the best looking young guards in the league.give him a couple of years plus he is highly motivated playing against and in front of oregon. I like houston, but as they have done consistantly during the season they let the teams back in the game and cover the spread.i'm taking the m/l -190
probably put the cavs m/l with the rockets m/l and see what happens ..
have a great day all, ax good luck w/the chores:mj07:
 

axp59

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This is good stuff rragga. I'm likely going to be lurking for a few since I have no time to cap. Thanks for sharing this stuff. On my way out to Lowe's or Home Depot now. Had to check in to see where everyone was sitting on these games. I got no calls or emails this morning but the west coast is still dealing with its hangover. Good luck everyone. I have my laptop set up in the 'new' room just in case. LOL, the woman is not happy I'm on the computer right now. :)
 

Eagle123

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Good Morning Ax


Heavy lean on BOS/CHI Under
Lean POR



Are those OK to bet ?
 

Slicer

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North Carolina
Accuscore Sunday Update:

Playoff Records:

Sides- 10-15-1
Totals: 19-6-1

Today:

Bos by 1.0 and 196.6
Clev by 8.4 and 173.6
Hou by 5.1 and 180.5
Orl by 5.0 and 186.6

Trend Spotter Plays:

Boston 4.0 dog at +3 is 13-9
Orl Under @ 191 is 4.4 Under which is 26-19-1

My lone play is Orl -4 2 units BOL.
 

proguy747

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It is sunday. That means fade detroit.

I see no pride in this team.. RIP.
 

axp59

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looks too attractive to pass up after bump.

only play today:

NBA [528] TOTAL u202?-110
(BOS GM4 vrs CHI GM4)

BOLTA
 
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