NBA THU 040209 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

[PickNPop]

I bought at 196 this morn -- added at 199 (buying 1/2)
I just read Philly paper - appears that Speights is getting nod for Young being out -- he is better offensive option and worse D option -- this may have something to do with the line move. But Young has been avg 21/game over last 16 and runs the floor very well at the "4" position -- I don't see the point upside myself

On the flip side, whoever is coming off the bench for Speights will surely be pretty bad? Speights I know is a decent scorer, but like you said, can he replace Young's 21per/L16?

 

[MyAddidas]

It'll be Reggie Evans backing Speights but I thought I read somewhere that Philly coach might go smaller by upping Louis Williams minutes.

 

[axp59]

Thank you all for the BDay wishes.

I just wanted to add another full 1U U198.5 @Bookmaker. I think this is the peak for this under play.

BOL fellas.

 

[snuss]

crap, don't put any weight on my play bro. short card today and this is very minimum value for me. BOL pal.

Nah man, Im not playing it any heavier, just feel better about it

 

[JCWhy]

Happy Birthday Ax :00x1
I like the POD, it's my only play of the day as well

 

[Eagle123]

Thank you all for the BDay wishes.

I just wanted to add another full 1U U198.5 @Bookmaker. I think this is the peak for this under play.

BOL fellas.

Back so early Ax, not going out for Bday dinner?

Good luck to us for the Phi U

 

[noropin]

Happy birthday!!!, your POD will be a nice gift tonite at the window.....

On this with you for 2 u.............

 

[grindstone]

Thank you all for the BDay wishes.

I just wanted to add another full 1U U198.5 @Bookmaker. I think this is the peak for this under play.

BOL fellas.

Happy Birthday my friend all the best and good health above all. God Bless you

:hbd: :00x1 :00x9 :rimshot




here are the numbers


Milw O 195 C 198
Phil

55% over
45% under

 

[barts185]

My (un)unsual birthday greeting.

Unforunately, they got rid of the version I liked a lot more, but this one still gets the point across.

Happy Bday.


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[clkclass]

FELIS CUMPLEANO AX...

 

[LFTNUT]

HAPPY B DAY AX AND MANY MORE!!! :toast:

 

[Ools]

Think about this...how the hell were the Nuggets able to unload Iverson and land Billups??? I know the crazy world of NBA trades and salary implications -- but just look at jow the Iverson cancer has damaged Det and Billups team approach has elevated Den

 

[barts185]

Found something interesting, right from the trends page, and then played with it a little to get more current numbers, which still seem to support an under play.

It actually goes back a few more games into the previous season, but including the 2005 season, after playing DET, CLE seems to slow things down A LOT.

t:team=Cavaliers and playoffs=0 and po:team=Pistons and po:season=season and season>=2005

O/U: 1-13-0 (-13.8) avg total: 191.0

So the line has been set at 191 and the actual scoring has been 177.1

This year, 1-2 for the o/u with the average line 194.0 and the average scoring 187.7

The one over was back in November.


When they beat DET, they have gone under the total by over 17 points.

O/U: 0-5-0 (-17.2) avg total: 195.4

 

[Chooch77]

Ax, Happy Birthday my friend!

Having a terrible week! Baseball is around the corner, thank goodness!!

Like the play today

 

[compita_luigi]

happy birhtday bro :mj06: .. my best wishes to you.. hope u win 2night

 

[burnetto57]

burnetto57

burnetto57

Happy birthday AX,

Just tell me what you're feasting on today - besides the Under play. I'm going to put some work towards my Associates Degree in baseball wagering. BOL on EVERYTHING today.

 

[BillyBatts]

Ax, Happy Birthday my man!! :00x1 :hbd:

Enjoy it.
Im going with the Philly under for 2 units at 198 and the Wizz for one unit at 10.5. Have a wierd feeling im gonna regret not taking the Jazz tonight as well, just have that feeling. BOL tonight guys!!!

 

[Joe_Vienna]

Found something interesting, right from the trends page, and then played with it a little to get more current numbers, which still seem to support an under play.

It actually goes back a few more games into the previous season, but including the 2005 season, after playing DET, CLE seems to slow things down A LOT.

t:team=Cavaliers and playoffs=0 and po:team=Pistons and po:season=season and season>=2005

O/U: 1-13-0 (-13.8) avg total: 191.0

So the line has been set at 191 and the actual scoring has been 177.1

This year, 1-2 for the o/u with the average line 194.0 and the average scoring 187.7

The one over was back in November.


When they beat DET, they have gone under the total by over 17 points.

O/U: 0-5-0 (-17.2) avg total: 195.4

great work! I also have it on my card :toast:

 

[LookKaPyPy]

Happy bday ax :toast:

Attention! Huge trend for Bucks - Sixers game for those looking at sides (I hope I havent missed some):

since feb 2001, the SU winning or losing team is also ATS winning or losing team to the tune of 29-2 between these two teams (home and away)


Bucks away att Sixers, going back to 1999, 18-1

team=Bucks and o:team=Seventysixers and site=away and 19981030<=date


Pretty much all you have to do is find the winner... ?


Edit: lol maybe not...they just suck at losing and covering as dogs... :mj1:

edit2: since jan 09, they were away dogs 16 times, went 3-13 and 4-11-1...1-11-1 ATS when losing...7-17 ATS for the season when losing SU

 

[omega]

HAPPY BDAY AX:toast:
ALSO
THANKS FOR THE INTRO TO MLB MANUAL
BOL TONITE
kurby TO THE CASH WINDOW