NBA Thur 031110- Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

[BillyBatts]

Great night all around for the board last night, let's keep the winning run going. :00hour

Up early capping college hoops, so wanted to start the thread early.


Early lean

Wizz +7 and under 194


Query help.

Is this right?? A team with a 3 game ats losing streaking, giving more than 5 on the road??
site=away and line<=-5 and p:ats streak==-3 and 20081030<=date
SU: 8-2 (8.4)
ATS: 5-5-0 (0.5) avg line: -7.9
O/U: 1-9-0 (-11.3) avg total: 193.1

 

[JBrilman]

Did the same query and came up with

Did the same query and came up with

site=away and line<=-5 and ats streak==-3 and 20081030<=date
SU: 6-4 (0.9)
ATS: 3-7-0 (-5.5) avg line: -6.5
O/U: 5-5-0 (-1.1) avg total: 195.4

 

[JBrilman]

Not betting much these days, just observing

Not betting much these days, just observing

Hey fellas,

Haven't been posting much but I read everyday. Really just picking my spots with some NCAA conference tourney games and watching how teams finish the year and get ready for the playoffs. I like what I am seeing from a few teams and worry a little about my Lakers but we will see what happens the next 20 games or so.

I think the TNT trend continues tonight with an underdog winner and a blow out favorite. I may have a little action parlay with the 2 but thats about it. Like I said mainly watching.

Orl -12.5 (easy way out is to take the 12.5 with Chicago, just seems way to easy to do that)

GSW ML +200 Seems like everyone looks right past these Warriors. They are a monster at home and Curry is a stud. Look for him to get 30,8,8 tonight and lead this battered Warriors team to a win...

Just my 2 cents.

 

[BillyBatts]

site=away and line<=-5 and ats streak==-3 and 20081030<=date
SU: 6-4 (0.9)
ATS: 3-7-0 (-5.5) avg line: -6.5
O/U: 5-5-0 (-1.1) avg total: 195.4

Thanks JB. Could you please explain where I went wrong?? Thanks

 

[barts185]

Thanks JB. Could you please explain where I went wrong?? Thanks

site=away and line<=-5 and p:ats streak==-3 and 20081030<=date

vs.

site=away and line<=-5 and ats streak==-3 and 20081030<=date


the difference is the p:

your query will find teams that were on a 3 game ats losing streak going into their previous game, not their current game.

 

[BillyBatts]

Thanks

Thanks

site=away and line<=-5 and p:ats streak==-3 and 20081030<=date

vs.

site=away and line<=-5 and ats streak==-3 and 20081030<=date


the difference is the p:

your query will find teams that were on a 3 game ats losing streak going into their previous game, not their current game.

Thanks Bart, I appreciate it. Anyway you could run it with 7 pts or more please? And maybe send me a mssg across the street at a good site for queries. Thanks buddy.

 

[barts185]

Thanks Bart, I appreciate it. Anyway you could run it with 7 pts or more please? And maybe send me a mssg across the street at a good site for queries. Thanks buddy.

Just want to make sure that by 7 points or more, you mean the line on the current game is 7 or more. If so, just change the -5 to a -7 and you get


site=away and line<=-7 and ats streak<=-3 and 20081030<=date

SU: 6-2 (6.9)
ATS: 2-6-0 (-2.2) avg line: -9.1
O/U: 3-5-0 (2.6) avg total: 195.8


actually, that will find a lose streak of 3 or more. To find exactly 3 (which is what you've had so far)

site=away and line<=-7 and ats streak==-3 and 20081030<=date

SU: 2-1 (0.7)
ATS: 0-3-0 (-7.0) avg line: -7.7
O/U: 2-1-0 (16.0) avg total: 192.7




Can't find you across the way. My username is the same. I don't use it much, so maybe I'm doing something wrong. It seems like I need to be your friend before I can send you a message, but I don't see a way to search for friends and looking for billy batts comes up empty in the forums.

update
I may have found you across the way. If I did it right, you have a friend request.

 

[BillyBatts]

Bart

Bart

Username is different, look in the title of my name here right next to BillyBatts

And the only query website I use only offers either 5 or more points or 10 or more, not 7. Thanks.:toast:

 

[barts185]

Username is different, look in the title of my name here right next to BillyBatts

And the only query website I use only offers either 5 or more points or 10 or more, not 7. Thanks.:toast:

nevermind, it's below it. sorry. You should have a friend request.

 

[barts185]

nevermind, it's below it. sorry. You should have a friend request.

Or if this is easier


myusername at this site-yourusername at this site

at

yahoo


don't forget the hyphen between the usernames, no space.

 

[BillyBatts]

Plays

Plays

Posted record
67-45 W/L (14-6 kurby Last 20)
23-16 POD's (4-1 kurby )

Locked in :director:

Hawks-Wizz Under 194.5 POD

Under is 8-1-1 in Hawks last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400
Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 games playing on 2 days rest
Under is 6-2 in Hawks last 8 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 7-0 in Wizards last 7 games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Wizards last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 5-1-1 in Wizards last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 18-5 in Wizards last 23 games as an underdog.
Under is 20-6 in Wizards last 26 overall.


Warriors +5.5

Portland's club is 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS the last nine visits to the Bay Area dating back to April 2005.
Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game

Heading off to the bar for a few :drinky: and watch the games.

Best of luck and let's kill :firing: the books!!



PS-Bart it's accepted :mj06:

 

[canuckfan77]

:00x1

 

[JBrilman]

And maybe send me a mssg across the street at a good site for queries. Thanks buddy.

http:// killersports.com /nba.py/query_matrix


once you pull up this site you can change to a small, medium or large query

 

[Joe_Vienna]

17 - 16 :00hour:00hour:00hour
2 - 1 yesterday :mj06:

Today

No totals!

but

Warriors +6
Warriors ML (small)

BOLTA :box2:
Joe

 

[cubboy]

love this card.....

love this card.....

keep it up BB...nice call on that under last night grind..ive got 4 plays locked in tonight...
magic - 13
portland -6..pod
cbb...k state - 4
penn st +6...good luck guys.:toast:

 

[barts185]

http:// killersports.com /nba.py/query_matrix


once you pull up this site you can change to a small, medium or large query

That's the site I use. I didn't think we were allowed to post links. Maybe we are now, things change.

 

[40seven]

Tonight

Tonight

Magic -12

Wiz +7

Dubs +6


CBB LONGHORNS:00hour I maybe the only won in the Nation on them but I am!!!:00hour


MLB Twinkies

 

[frogster]

Last night I split, went 1 - 1 which brings my record to 3 - 4. Today I will go with CHI + 13 pts vs ORL. GL to all.

 

[Gibson7]

2-3 last night. Not good

Magic -12

warriors +6


Gibby

 

[canuckfan77]

Posted record
67-45 W/L (14-6 kurby Last 20)
23-16 POD's (4-1 kurby )

Locked in :director:

Hawks-Wizz Under 194.5 POD

Under is 8-1-1 in Hawks last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400
Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 games playing on 2 days rest
Under is 6-2 in Hawks last 8 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 7-0 in Wizards last 7 games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Wizards last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 5-1-1 in Wizards last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 18-5 in Wizards last 23 games as an underdog.
Under is 20-6 in Wizards last 26 overall.


Warriors +5.5

Portland's club is 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS the last nine visits to the Bay Area dating back to April 2005.
Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game

Heading off to the bar for a few :drinky: and watch the games.

Best of luck and let's kill :firing: the books!!



PS-Bart it's accepted :mj06:

1-1 with you tonight billy, live to fight another day.
:toast: