NBA Thurs 051409 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

[KillerKardoogan]

you're saying there's no such thing as a trap line? i doubt that's right.

There are trap "games"; such as playing the Lions in between games against teams who are in the NFL, but, THERE ARE NO TRAP LINES.

I've explained the Orl game.
How is that a trap?

If vegas is smart enough to set traps, what where they doing opening Den at -7.
:00x12
That game had -9.5 written all over it.

Vegas knows how to set a line (usually).
Very few of those guys know jack when it comes to capping a game.

 

[ari]

I got screwed on the over in the last laker's game thought the over in the 1H took some of the sting out of it.

Perhaps we should be looking at the LAL team total instead? Just a thought.

Yes indeed. 44-dimes has Laker TT at 103 Over as his only NBA play today. I like it a lot too - with LA motivated to close it out, clearly they have figured out how to manage the smaller and more mobile lineup without Yao. I took Over 103 for 1 unit.

 

[JBrilman]

Yes indeed. 44-dimes has Laker TT at 103 Over as his only NBA play today. I like it a lot too - with LA motivated to close it out, clearly they have figured out how to manage the smaller and more mobile lineup without Yao. I took Over 103 for 1 unit.

AGREED

TONS OF VALUE THERE!!!

but not available at most books in Vegas, maybe the Hilton but not driving there when I get off work, I like my card!

 

[JBrilman]

No disrespect JB, just hoping for a BIG showing from them tonight and not like on Sunday.

Sunday was almost expected...Look at the Orlando Game 6 against Philly...BIG let down by a team facing another team without there best player.

Lakers wont lose focus again, they know Denver is playing great basketball right now and Kobe and Phil have the ship righted. You will see another DOMINANT performance by the twin towers GASOL and BYNUM as well as a typical Kobe close out game 32, 5 and 5.

HEY HOUSTON :thefinger

 

[grindstone]

Sunday was almost expected...Look at the Orlando Game 6 against Philly...BIG let down by a team facing another team without there best player.

Lakers wont lose focus again, they know Denver is playing great basketball right now and Kobe and Phil have the ship righted. You will see another DOMINANT performance by the twin towers GASOL and BYNUM as well as a typical Kobe close out game 32, 5 and 5.

HEY HOUSTON :thefinger

This is what I'm expecting tonight to Houston :bigun:

 

[uwmattyk13]

FINAL CARD

LAL 1h -4.5
2 UNITS

LAL -8.5
1 UNIT
LAL -9 (already up when I was rebuying)
1UNIT

2 TEAM PARLAY:00hour
LAL -8.5
BOS ML
1 UNIT

2 TEAM PARLAY
LAL -9
ORL-7
1/2 UNIT

I put in the small parlay on Orlando as an insurance play against my C's ML parlay. I truly believe the C's close it out but some very strong cappers are on the Magic and with the reverse line movement I figured I would just insure my bet.

ALL OF THIS IS ASSUMING THE LAKERS ROLL TONIGHT...WHICH I BELIEVE THEY DO!!!:00hour :00hour

BOLTA TONIGHT!!!

On that 2 Team Parlay LAL -8.5 and BOS ML are you also adding the LAL Moneyline and BOS Spread? My book lets me add these as well and It ends up paying around 15 to 1

 

[JBrilman]

On that 2 Team Parlay LAL -8.5 and BOS ML are you also adding the LAL Moneyline and BOS Spread? My book lets me add these as well and It ends up paying around 15 to 1

No i live in Vegas and bet at the casinos (primarily the new M resort where they have live wagering) so I have to make pretty normal bets and parlays...haha

Personally I believe the C's close it out tonight and that why I took the ML parlay with the Lakers.

I only took the other small parlay to cover me. Way I see it is Either Boston gets blown out and rests for game 7 or they WIN out right. If they get blown out I make $30 bucks (assuming the Lakers win) if they Celtics win I make $575

LETS GO CELTICS!!

 

[mpnyc76]

where's AX been?

 

[JBrilman]

where's AX been?

No idea...

But wherever it is I'm sure hes pickin winners!:SIB

 

[mpnyc76]

weird how he just disappeared last 3 nights with only the one liner yesterday about the nugs winning every quarter.

 

[KillerKardoogan]

Ax will be back, and when he does, i'm sure he'll bring winners.
No days off can wear u out.
Let him relax, let him watch, and let him get ready for the next round.
I want his input on these 2 totals as much as anybody, but if we pressure the goose, he won't lay those golden winners...
HMMMMM WINNERS (where's Homer Simpson when u need him)

 

[mpnyc76]

i was leaning under Magic and over lakers but now i am going towards both overs. thoughts?

 

[ari]

anyone else noticing the reverse line movement on Mav/Cs:sadwave:

 

[JBrilman]

anyone else noticing the reverse line movement on Mav/Cs:sadwave:

yep mentioned in a post above

 

[JBrilman]

Accuscore:

Sides: 26-34-3
Totals: 39-24-1

Orl by 4.6 and 186.6
Lakers by 5.2 and 194.6

Trend Notes: Dogs of 1.1-2.9 are combined: 44-51-1

Dogs of 3.1-3.9 are 22-20

Unders of 1.1-2.0 are 30-16-1
Unders of 2.1-2.9 are 34-29
Unders of 3.0-3.9 are 28-37-2

Boston is 32-0 when leading a series 3-2, taking the points tonight and following it with ML bet on Saturday if they lose tonight.

Thanks for the numbers Slice

 

[joe_shmoe]

In addition to my Lakers play(s), I just locked in on:

Under 94.5 bos/orl 1H
Over 102.5 Lakers TT

GL everyone.

 

[Slicer]

Thanks for the numbers Slice

Anytime bro, I'm busy burning down the house in MLB, 7 in a row on Willbet's competition, over 70% at 39-16-1.

 

[JBrilman]

Anytime bro, I'm busy burning down the house in MLB, 7 in a row on Willbet's competition, over 70% at 39-16-1.

I didn't join the competition on the other side but I see your name at the top of the list over here...GOOD WORK

Do you ever post your MLB play anywhere?

Like to tail the good bases cappers when NBA is over

 

[joe_shmoe]

Anytime bro, I'm busy burning down the house in MLB, 7 in a row on Willbet's competition, over 70% at 39-16-1.

I'm coming for you bro... just wait and see. Haha.

 

[Ace_Ace]

BOSTON 1st Qt ML ---- 2 Units

ORL 2nd Qt -2 --- 4 Units