NBA Thursday - Kings +4 and ML

zealot

Vegas res
Forum Member
Dec 1, 2010
1,002
11
0
Las Vegas, NV
Yesterday: 2-2 -3.3 units
Overall: 26-15-1 +21.25 units hitting 63% and ML 0-1 -1 unit
2H plays overall: 3-0 +10.8 units

Can't say much other than I failed yesterday. My big play was San Antonio and while they looked good in the first and third quarters, they looked horrible in the second and especially the fourth. I had the Spurs ML on a 7 team ML parlay as well and they were the only team that didn't hit. That was a 47-1 parlay. :sadwave:

Today's a new day and it's what a sports bettor looks forward to every time we having a losing night so let's get it.

There is a recurring theme with the Sacramento Kings at home this season. SAC has been a home dog nine times this year. They are 6-3 ATS in those nine games. Four of those 6 wins ATS actually ended up being straight up wins. Winning against the: Lakers, Bucks, Pacers and Thunder. I say it every time I bet SAC. They are a young team but they have loads of talent and it seems like the talent explodes when they play in the Pavilion. Line opened at LAC -4. 82% on LAC and the line has dropped to LAC -3.5. I will always take the Kings as home dogs, especially when there is RLM like there is today. Seems like there is great value every time. I'll buy the half point and sprinkle some cash on the money line.

My plays:

SAC Kings +4 -120 for 5 units
SAC Kings ML +145 for 1 unit
Orlando Magic +1 for 1 unit

Let's get it :0074
 

Mulligan

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 20, 2010
1,246
8
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Zealot-nice record, and I agree with what you say totally. Just wondering where you get your numbers from? Again, I'm not disputing anything, just trying to add another source for my numbers. I have clippers opening at 3.5 and more or less staying at that number. And definitely have the overwhelming majority on the clips at 72%.

00 PM ET (Open) +3.5 200.5u
02/29/12 04:20 PM ET +3.5 201.0u
02/29/12 06:00 PM ET +3.5 201.5u
03/01/12 10:40 AM ET +3.5 200.0u


also? I also have 72% on Miami, that game opens at 4.5, gets pushed up to -5, and then gets big dog money all the way to -3.5
what would keep you off Portland in a game like this? Blazers haven't been quite as reliable in the Rose Garden this season.


Time Odds (Line) Over/Under (Total)
02/29/12 04:00 PM ET (Open) +4.5 196.0u
02/29/12 11:50 PM ET +4.5 196.5u
03/01/12 08:50 AM ET +5.0 196.5u
03/01/12 10:40 AM ET +4.5 196.5u
03/01/12 11:00 AM ET +4.5 197.0u
03/01/12 02:50 PM ET +4.5 197.5u
03/01/12 03:20 PM ET +3.5 197.5u
03/01/12 03:30 PM ET +4.0 197.5u
03/01/12 04:20 PM ET +3.5 197.5u

thanks for your efforts!
 

zealot

Vegas res
Forum Member
Dec 1, 2010
1,002
11
0
Las Vegas, NV
Zealot-nice record, and I agree with what you say totally. Just wondering where you get your numbers from? Again, I'm not disputing anything, just trying to add another source for my numbers. I have clippers opening at 3.5 and more or less staying at that number. And definitely have the overwhelming majority on the clips at 72%.

00 PM ET (Open) +3.5 200.5u
02/29/12 04:20 PM ET +3.5 201.0u
02/29/12 06:00 PM ET +3.5 201.5u
03/01/12 10:40 AM ET +3.5 200.0u


also? I also have 72% on Miami, that game opens at 4.5, gets pushed up to -5, and then gets big dog money all the way to -3.5
what would keep you off Portland in a game like this? Blazers haven't been quite as reliable in the Rose Garden this season.


Time Odds (Line) Over/Under (Total)
02/29/12 04:00 PM ET (Open) +4.5 196.0u
02/29/12 11:50 PM ET +4.5 196.5u
03/01/12 08:50 AM ET +5.0 196.5u
03/01/12 10:40 AM ET +4.5 196.5u
03/01/12 11:00 AM ET +4.5 197.0u
03/01/12 02:50 PM ET +4.5 197.5u
03/01/12 03:20 PM ET +3.5 197.5u
03/01/12 03:30 PM ET +4.0 197.5u
03/01/12 04:20 PM ET +3.5 197.5u

thanks for your efforts!
I use iodds and wagerweb for percentages. Iodds still has the Clipps at 80% and wagerweb still has them at 81%.

The only thing keeping me away from betting the Heat game is the fact that I'm a Heat fan. I'm still thinking about it, though! lol

Good luck!
 

Mulligan

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 20, 2010
1,246
8
0
Thanks for answering greatly appreciated. Good luck!:toast:
felt your pain with Portland last night. Seems as soon as they started hitting stride and got up four or five points, Pop went to the bench, and they turned it over I believe four straight trips. Very frustrating.

Good luck tonight thanks again
 

netMinder

Tailing away.
Forum Member
Dec 8, 2008
1,134
6
0
ive got over 200 for the game fellas... lets get this!

GL!

:toast:
 
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