Agree, i locked the over a few hours ago, chump change for action but nevertheless a wager
GL
NBA TUE 032409 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
Agree, i locked the over a few hours ago, chump change for action but nevertheless a wager
GL
it's not because of this, I also have no time to post the codes I tried ... it doesn't matter we will see what comes out after the game
- Mar 21, 2009
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Back on track...anyone got ideas on Jazz? Looks like it can be a close one and I have a really good feeling on the Rockets, but Jazz at home is no walk in the park. Jazz frontcourt is really tough and hard to do much against and backcourt should produce better. Artest and Battier are good defenders, Brooks should be able to stay in front of his man, Yao in middle. Still they had a late cover last game with 2 big contributors, Artest 25p and Lowry 14p of the bench.
I have no doubt Artest can pull off same stuff...but 7.8ppg avg Lowry ? He does seem able to play against good teams (but is kinda hit or miss): 17 @ATL, 11 vHOU, 15 @DAL, 25 vCLE, 13 vDEN, 14 @UTA, 11 @SA
I have no doubt Artest can pull off same stuff...but 7.8ppg avg Lowry ? He does seem able to play against good teams (but is kinda hit or miss): 17 @ATL, 11 vHOU, 15 @DAL, 25 vCLE, 13 vDEN, 14 @UTA, 11 @SA
do we agree or disagree with Chumps' play? i would think under too but Duncan being out scares.
- Mar 22, 2009
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HOU/UTA
FWIW
you have 2 teams playing the last of 4 this season. along the way, they've gotten to know each other. this comes down to expectations. take the last 3 matchups. O/U margins down with each game and I believe that trend will continue tonight.
gm 1 over by 43.5 2OT...still over big time
gm 2 over by 9
gm 3 under by 6.5
start seeing the picture? teams getting to know each other.
dps and dpa which were discussed earlier
HOU/UTA (rounded)
+20/+24
+7/+2
-7/-3
seeing the same picture. teams getting to know each other.
personally, you give me two teams that know each other well, you get a close game. give me the points in a close game.
IMHO
FWIW
you have 2 teams playing the last of 4 this season. along the way, they've gotten to know each other. this comes down to expectations. take the last 3 matchups. O/U margins down with each game and I believe that trend will continue tonight.
gm 1 over by 43.5 2OT...still over big time
gm 2 over by 9
gm 3 under by 6.5
start seeing the picture? teams getting to know each other.
dps and dpa which were discussed earlier
HOU/UTA (rounded)
+20/+24
+7/+2
-7/-3
seeing the same picture. teams getting to know each other.
personally, you give me two teams that know each other well, you get a close game. give me the points in a close game.
IMHO
Duncan's ? tells me to stay away. Chump knows enough to buy back a bet. Ask him if he will do so if the word comes out on Duncan.
Hell, that's coming from a man who does this for a living.
Thank you for sharing that.
Chump's change...axtion play
[646] TOTAL u207?-110
(GOLDEN STATE vrs SAN ANTONIO)
straight tail
GLTA
[646] TOTAL u207?-110
(GOLDEN STATE vrs SAN ANTONIO)
straight tail
GLTA
- Mar 18, 2009
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Backing the Rockets I think in this one and it will be 1 of 2 at the very most plays tonight (other being Detroit) for action as opposed to anything concrete and to see how personal skills of perception have eroded or took a blip given Sunday's guesses and last night's pummeling.
Wouldn't be surprised if Battier is on Williams or Boozer - he's usually assigned to 1 of the 2 biggest offensive threats at his size; Artest will then take the other.
Williams ABUSES opposing points w/ his size/girth and crossover - Brooks is a thin/lithe undersized shooting guard who has been trying to seize a pass first mentality to little avail during certain games; saw a segment during the Houston/Charlotte game where Yao was breaking down plays on his laptop to an attentive Brook long before tipoff. His jump shooting has been erratic as of late, almost as if he's feeling the pressure of being the primary point since the Rockets traded away Alston (good move from my limited vantage point).
Scola will keep the Jazz honest; got that midrange jumper and is quite a good rebounder; think he amassed more than 10 last game against Spurs.
Lowry is the wild card here - strong, pugnacious, invites contact and not afraid to go down the lane - he may end up being the best guard to come out Villanova out of that particular crop (Randy Foye, Allan Ray comprising the remainder of that trio that gave Carolina's its toughest game in the tournament before the Tar Heels captured the championship: Sean May, Marvin Williams, Raymond Felton, Brandon Wright - to say they've been a disappointment since jumping to the pros would probably qualify as an understatement). He is on the small side, but sturdily built and a proven leader - able to quell Artest's about-to-explode behavior after a questionable foul called on Ron-Ron and immediately breaking down what may have gone wrong when Brooks heads towards the bench during a time out. People may scratch their heads a few years down the road and wonder how the Grizzlies pretty much traded him for nothing... And give credit to Darryl Morey and his staff again.
Will be back after tonight's games to participate in tomorrow's slate...
Best of luck to all as always and hopefully your ticket gets punched.
Always good to see that you're on the same side. With only 4 games tonight, even if I pull an action junkie it's only 2/5U at risk. I have yet to lock this but I do like getting the points here. GL ETZ. quality work as always.
- Mar 18, 2009
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Looking that way Flippa. Nothing really catches the eye. Gonna sit back and start capping tomorrow's card.
GL tonight and every night!
- Mar 21, 2009
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Hey whats up guys my name is Evan...don't know if im welcome to post here but I came across your thread and found it very interesting/informative. And i can really appreciate some of the things being said and some of the attitudes/approaches towards handicapping.
Found this trend interesting....
San Antonio has won 20 straight home meetings against the Warriors.
Will that change tonight or does the trend continue? .. I dunno but they gotta win sometime.. and if tim duncan is out and spurs playing bad lately...why not tonite? its just will donnie nelson be hammered drunk and start 5 rookies tonight...Who knows? All I do know is if G state covers or wins...which i think they can....than I can see the game going over... but if los spurs come to play and looks at this is a must win...than under? what do you think?
In conclusion, thinking about g state + 9 with maybe a little something on them money line.
again let me know if i am intruding on your thread . Thanks all.
p.s
In the teams' only other meeting this season, Duncan had 20 points, 13 rebounds and five assists as the Spurs beat the Warriors 123-88 on Dec. 6, their 21st straight home win in the series.
San Antonio has held Golden State to 85.0 points per game and 38.6 percent shooting during that run. The Warriors haven't won at San Antonio since a 108-94 victory Feb. 14, 1997 -- the season prior to Duncan's first with the Spurs.
pretty sick..
Found this trend interesting....
San Antonio has won 20 straight home meetings against the Warriors.
Will that change tonight or does the trend continue? .. I dunno but they gotta win sometime.. and if tim duncan is out and spurs playing bad lately...why not tonite? its just will donnie nelson be hammered drunk and start 5 rookies tonight...Who knows? All I do know is if G state covers or wins...which i think they can....than I can see the game going over... but if los spurs come to play and looks at this is a must win...than under? what do you think?
In conclusion, thinking about g state + 9 with maybe a little something on them money line.
again let me know if i am intruding on your thread . Thanks all.
p.s
In the teams' only other meeting this season, Duncan had 20 points, 13 rebounds and five assists as the Spurs beat the Warriors 123-88 on Dec. 6, their 21st straight home win in the series.
San Antonio has held Golden State to 85.0 points per game and 38.6 percent shooting during that run. The Warriors haven't won at San Antonio since a 108-94 victory Feb. 14, 1997 -- the season prior to Duncan's first with the Spurs.
pretty sick..
