NBA TUE 110309 early thoughts - value hunting

[logan]

adding WAS/CLE U197.5

g/l tonight ax this was my one and only play tonight. I have been playing only one game per day and am currntly 6 - 1. I really enjoy reading what your thoughts are.

 

[BillyBatts]

Leans

Leans

Getting a late start on posting due to work, but have been throwing thses leans around all day. Gonna try to limit down to one or 2

2-1 last nite
12-7 YTD

Leans
Washington and Under
Pacers and Under
Celts and Under
OKC
Dallas-Utah over
Hawks and under


Going to look thru this thread and hope to get some great info as always and help me narrow all these down. Good luck tonight guys

 

[axp59]

g/l tonight ax this was my one and only play tonight. I have been playing only one game per day and am currntly 6 - 1. I really enjoy reading what your thoughts are.

That's usually how I play when it's time for 1U plays. action plays allow me to spray the board a bit. great discipline buddy. BOL off to dinner.

 

[JCWhy]

It looks like I am on the same page as the rest of you and using this time to gather data and just placing small bets right now.
With that said my only play tonight is
WAS/CLE U197.5

 

[BillyBatts]

Pacers +5.5

t:team=Pacers and playoffs=0 and 20<=p:three pointers attempted and 100.*p:three pointers made/p:three pointers attempted<25 and p:season=season and 20031229<=date

Wizards @ Cavaliers U197.5
Nuggets @ Pacers U223.5
Celtics @ 76ers O190
Bucks @ Bulls U192

BOL :SIB
Joe

I always like it when we're on the same page with most games. usually a good night. :mj06:

 

[grindstone]

Just got back from work boys , nice to see you at the window last night AX with minn and the under.

Here are the % public bets

Clev - 11 36% current 11.5
Wash 64%

Love Clev here line moving up and the public is on wash


Clev Open 197.5 down to 197
Wash

71% under
29 % over


I 'm looking at Dall - 6

Here are the % public bets

Dallas - 4.5 70% current- 6
Utah 30%

ALot of public money on Dallas will wait and see

Dall 74% Over
Utah 26% Under

 

[BillyBatts]

For the record, I can almost say i've "never" went against my intital lean on a game i really like, but I do leave it as a no play if there are some valid points the other way, unfortuantely it cost me on Houston last nite but oh well........I HATE that Ax and a few others are on the cavs tonight. I'm still on autofade with Cleveland:shrug:


Narrowing it down to
Wizz and Under
Pacers and under
OKC
and Dallas over (I have a local who will drop the total a pt or 2 cuz im usually an under player)
this game scares me though, because I feel these 2 team are at the top of the list of "what will we get tonight". They play like they can beat anyone one night, and lose to the lowest of the low the next....

 

[grindstone]

Here is another game that has caught my eye

Mia - 3.5 34%

Phx 66%

Line has moved up to - 4 and the public is still pounding phx. Mia might be a play

 

[BillyBatts]

Here is another game that has caught my eye

Mia - 3.5 34%

Phx 66%

Line has moved up to - 4 and the public is still pounding phx. Mia might be a play

i liked it better at 2.5 obviously, but really like Heat in a close game like this, mainly because Wade will get ALL the calls at the end. Thanks for the info:toast:

 

[BillyBatts]

And is there a reason why Orlando and Boston shouldn't kick the crap outta thier opponents tonight?? I hate the 6.5-7 lines in hoops, but man those are mismatches, albeit on the road. I'm really liking the thunder tonight at home. I think this may be one of the "Fakers" hiccup games where they don't give full effort

 

[grindstone]

i liked it better at 2.5 obviously, but really like Heat in a close game like this, mainly because Wade will get ALL the calls at the end. Thanks for the info:toast:

No problem BB glad to help let me know if you need other things

 

[TWHIT]

Anyone know the status of Carter and Pietrus tonight for the Magic??

 

[paradox]

Anyone know the status of Carter and Pietrus tonight for the Magic??

Pietrus will not play. Carter is ok and will play.

 

[TWHIT]

thanks for the info

 

[TWHIT]

And is there a reason why Orlando and Boston shouldn't kick the crap outta thier opponents tonight?? I hate the 6.5-7 lines in hoops, but man those are mismatches, albeit on the road. I'm really liking the thunder tonight at home. I think this may be one of the "Fakers" hiccup games where they don't give full effort

I agree. Throw Denver in there as well. I realize all 3 games are on the road, but all 3 teams are 1-3 seeds with lots of veteran all-star players.

 

[BillyBatts]

Plays

Plays

OK, I'm passing on the Cavs game all together.

Locking these in now
Thunder +7
Pacers +6
Mavs over 201

Hope it's a great night for us all. :00x15

 

[BillyBatts]

I agree. Throw Denver in there as well. I realize all 3 games are on the road, but all 3 teams are 1-3 seeds with lots of veteran all-star players.

I know it's early in the year, but the Pacers have fresher legs tonight. They usually have max effort at home vs a team of this caliber, and Denver sometimes goes to sleep behind the wheel, on the road. Good luck with whatever you go with, but I put a lil on Pacers ML as well.

 

[grindstone]

OK, I'm passing on the Cavs game all together.

Locking these in now
Thunder +7
Pacers +6
Mavs over 201

Hope it's a great night for us all. :00x15

Love the pacers BB

GL

 

[ivabign]

I like Denver a great deal

I like Denver a great deal

Denver has won eight of 10 meetings dating back to Jan. 29, 2005, including four of five at Conseco Fieldhouse.

Indiana short in the post - allowing 108pts - Denver averaging 114pts - I think 5.5 on the road has value...

Leans
Thunder +7 - Lakers do well for the first 44 min - then think about ordering room service at the hotel and let OKC come in for the cover.

Miami -4 - Value in the home team - Think Wade takes over in the 4th qt - win by maybe 10+

First NBA picks - GLTE!!

 

[Truckin']

Based on what little I've seen of 'em thus far this season, yes, they do push the pace - but not to the same extent as Denver or Houston - Denver has the luxury of both Billups and rookie Lawson whereas Houston's 2-headed point of Brooks and Lowry is tailor made for such a strategy.

Kidd likely would still look to go uptempo (and does so when the opportunity arises), but Barea not so much - Carlisle isn't renown for accelerating pace either although he's had to modify some given that he now enjoys the luxury of Marion; leaving Dampier on the bench for significant minutes in lieu of Kris Humphries is also a nod towards having a faster unit on the floor.

Have a sneaking suspicion (and that's all it is - likely will not play this game w/ regards to totals) that it stays U if @ 203. But it's a guesstimate and nothing more.

Thanks ETZ
I am not sold on this over either. After last nights embarrassment maybe Utah NUTS UP and plays some D tonight. :shrug:

BOL