NBA vacation hangover day early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

[proguy747]

This was a question asked last thread.

So do you think Leborn can steal a game in Orl tomorrow?

No way in hell can lebron steal a game in orlando.

Will lebron play a better game tonight yes. last game was easy for the magic. Cavs had crawford on their side and still no luck.

During last game warm up interview you could see lebron clunking the ball of the rim from everywhere.

I doubled up my wager last time based on this info. it was good info becuase lebron was off with his jump shot.

I believ lebron will shoot the ball better tonigh but the one man show is not enough for the cavs.

The line is set for the cavs money for this kind of thinking. Public see's lebron down and say's they have to win tonight king james will pull it off.

This is a huge gift +105 money line for the magic.

I am taking my gift and will take the under most likely.

There were so many foul calls last game it was a joke. that game should have gone under by a mile. Crawford gave the cavs every chance he could without being charged by the fbi.

Be back later with more.

 

[proguy747]

64% are on the cavs. I love this. Public just dont see the mismatch. I will be waiting to place my free magic gold nugget.

 

[proguy747]

Joe DeRosa - Profile
GeneralJersey Number 14 Avg. Home Score 100.0
Games Officiated 71 Avg. Road Score 98.8
Home Team ATS 28-42-1 Home Avg. Margin 1.2
Home Team W/L 39-32 Avg. Total Score 198.8
Over/Under vs. the TotalOverall 32-39
184.5 or less 0-3
185-194.5 8-17
195-204.5 10-9
205+ 14-10
Favorite or UnderdogSpread Home Fav Home Dog
0-4.5 7-11 4-8
5-9.5 4-14 5-5
10+ 8-3 0-1


Scott Foster - Profile
GeneralJersey Number 48 Avg. Home Score 101.7
Games Officiated 77 Avg. Road Score 99.8
Home Team ATS 33-41-3 Home Avg. Margin 1.9
Home Team W/L 46-31 Avg. Total Score 201.4
Over/Under vs. the TotalOverall 47-29
184.5 or less 6-3
185-194.5 14-10
195-204.5 11-10
205+ 16-6
Favorite or UnderdogSpread Home Fav Home Dog
0-4.5 9-14 7-4
5-9.5 9-13 5-1
10+ 3-7 0-2


Mike Callahan - Profile
GeneralJersey Number 24 Avg. Home Score 99.9
Games Officiated 63 Avg. Road Score 98.0
Home Team ATS 30-33-0 Home Avg. Margin 1.9
Home Team W/L 37-26 Avg. Total Score 197.9
Over/Under vs. the TotalOverall 34-26
184.5 or less 4-6
185-194.5 15-9
195-204.5 9-4
205+ 6-7
Favorite or UnderdogSpread Home Fav Home Dog
0-4.5 9-10 4-7
5-9.5 11-7 3-4
10+ 3-5 0-0

 

[Eagle123]

The Line is pretty tricky here pro.

Cavs is -1.5 on my side now

What do u think bro?

 

[proguy747]

The Line is pretty tricky here pro.

Cavs is -1.5 on my side now

What do u think bro?

have you been watching the games?

What is tricky about these games?

Who has been the better team every game?

The trick is on the public and their love for lebron.

They will see this as a must win for the cavs and lebron cannot lose.

Reality is that lebron hitting that three was a gift to good cappers.

Lebron misses that three and everybody is talking about the sweep. Magic would be heavy favorites.
Vegas is setting up the trap line by moving the line against the cavs.

They are moving that line becuase every joe blow sees the line and says look even vegas thinks lebron is going to win.2

0060310 ORL CLE H 102-73 3&1 57-34 +3 +187 29 32.0 -12.0 10.0 -22.0 W W U
20061216 ORL CLE H 81-74 1&0 41-36 +1' +182' 7 8.5 -27.5 -9.5 -18.0 W W U
20061223 ORL CLE A 83-86 0&1 43-40 +7 +179' -3 4.0 -10.5 -3.2 -7.2 L W U
20070122 ORL CLE A 90-79 1&1 54-39 +4' +181' 11 15.5 -12.5 1.5 -14.0 W W U
20071114 ORL CLE A 117-116 0&1 47-45 +3 +194' 1 4.0 38.5 21.2 17.2 W W O 1
20080211 ORL CLE H 111-118 2&0 48-53 -8 +197' -7 -15.0 31.5 8.2 23.2 L L O
20080317 ORL CLE H 104-90 1&0 39-43 -6' +203 14 7.5 -9.0 -0.8 -8.2 W W U
20080405 ORL CLE A 101-86 3&1 46-38 +2 +197 15 17.0 -10.0 3.5 -13.5 W W U
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
20090129 ORL CLE H 99-88 1&1 45-41 -4' +195' 11 6.5 -8.5 -1.0 -7.5 W W U
20090317 ORL CLE A 93-97 1&1 45-46 +6 +192' -4 2.0 -2.5 -0.2 -2.2 L W U
20090403 ORL CLE H 116-87 1&0 53-36 -3' +187 29 25.5 16.0 20.8 -4.8 W W O
20090520 ORL CLE A 107-106 2&8 55-48 +8' +185' 1 9.5 27.5 18.5 9.0 W W O
20090522 ORL CLE A 95-96 1&1 47-45 +9 +188 -1 8.0 3.0 5.5 -2.5 L W O
20090524 ORL CLE H 99-89 1&1 42-37 -1' +189' 10 8.5 -1.5 3.5 -5.0 W W U


This line is a true cavs trap. Look at the stats.

The magic are 13 for 14 ats.
magic are 10 for 14 SU.

 

[proguy747]

The magic are the better team.

The nuggets are the better team.

My money has been on the better team every game. The better team has only lost for me once.

The better team is 6/7 ats. No need to rock the boat with overthinking.

This is a gift take it and run.


Enjoy boys.

 

[Eagle123]

That was what I think.

Magic is a better team in this series obviously

They have complete control over the CAVS and only lost one by a lucky last second 3 pointer.

Everyone know Magic is a better team now, but the line is still -1.5 Cavs.

The book know something on tomorrow game??

 

[cleeves]

NBA is goofy...

NBA is goofy...

Everything you say makes sense.

I'm not a lebron fan, but I think they win tonight by 5-7 points... just a hunch, because in the end, when picking a side against the spread, you're getting about the same odds as red or black...

:nutkick

 

[proguy747]

That was what I think.

Magic is a better team in this series obviously

They have complete control over the CAVS and only lost one by a lucky last second 3 pointer.

Everyone know Magic is a better team now, but the line is still -1.5 Cavs.

The book know something on tomorrow game??

The line is set only and only for the public.

everyone thinks the great lebron cannot let his team lose. This has been the case for every game. He cannot do it on his own.

What has changed in two days?

williams says they will win. Sure the cavs come out strong but the only thing that has changed in two days is the pressure on the cavs.

I have been in pressure sitiuations and it affected me severly. The pressure is going to affect everyones jump shot except lebron.

cavs come out strong feeling good, magic rally back with threes cavs mind say" oh shit we were on fire and we still cant shake them. Jump shots go clunck. lebron drives more and more getting fouls. The extra effort he puts in affects his jump shot if he has to make threes to catch up. same old story.


Eagle and everyone else do what you feel is best with your money.

I am on the magic regardlees what vegas does.

I might take the points if it goes to +2. BOL

will decide on the under later.

 

[Eagle123]

Agree with your point Pro.
"Bet on the better team"

Leaning on the Magic +2

BOL to us!!


I belive Ax is here, any thought on this bro?

 

[proguy747]

Just missed the +2 has gone back down to +1.5.


I still like the magic.

 

[Ools]

under

under

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the 4th game of a playoff series
82-42 since 1997. ( 66.1% | 35.8 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.8 units )

interesting play here - history supports my lean.

 

[gamecocks207]

Good Evening fellas...
Hope AX is doing okay!

What do you guys think about the over?
You guys think its has good value?

THANK YOU AND BOL to all!

 

[JBrilman]

Good Evening fellas...
Hope AX is doing okay!



!

Got an email today he is fine just busy with family.

Yes Orlando is the MUCH better team but I think this is one of those "NBA" games where you see every call go Lebron and the Cavs way. Both conference finals would be 2-2 and what better for ratings?

As far as proguy saying bet the better team I usually agree. As far as his comments about Denver being better I have to disagree and we will see that in the next 2 or 3 games when the Lakers advance to the finals against the Magic.

 

[sharktank]

Have to play over. Cavs must score with Magic. They match poorly on def. If not they lose big.

 

[sharktank]

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the 4th game of a playoff series
82-42 since 1997. ( 66.1% | 35.8 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.8 units )

interesting play here - history supports my lean.

Good stat ools. The only thing I see is that cavs had tried numerous dif def matchups and none have worked against Magic at home. Good luck everyone. As a Vegas resident I love to hear when people hammer the books! Not many pleasant book directors out here.

 

[proguy747]

could not play a total. I did play a small parlay though.

Magic/over


Loving the points in la/denver series.

 

[Eagle123]

CAVS looks different today:shrug:

Any though on 2H pro?

 

[proguy747]

CAVS looks different today:shrug:

Any though on 2H pro?

cavs have led many times at half.

I will have some action on magic.

To be honest I have been watching baseball.

Philly can hold on for a huge parlay please hold on.
cubs win even bigger parlay.


Total I dont know but would think over.

 

[proguy747]

magic have one every second half.