NBA WED 040109 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

[grindstone]

The 3 games you graciously provided data for - like the hangman/Wheel of Fortune phrase.

Heat/Mavericks more of a gut instinct than anything although Mavericks are prone to stumble more often than not.

Hornets haven't been impressive as of late despite their wins and a depleted unit doesn't help. Clippers unpredictable, but can get up for marquee teams.

Nets - Pistons still may be sore over last night's defeat to the Cavaliers, especially after leading w/ comfort early on in the game. Carter - needs to play for a new contract w/ remainder of regular season given that he won't be showcasing his eroding talents come the playoffs.

Thanks ETZ got you and GL to you sir

 

[easterntimezone]

do you like anything or are your picks in the Wheel of Fortune clue???

GS -

Ax's homer play is the one personally feel has the best likelihood.

Hope this helps. And best of luck.

 

[grindstone]

on it's way bro

thank you so much sir


:toast: :toast:

 

[grindstone]

here you go AX public %

Char open 9 current 8- 8.5
Bost

Char 56 %
Bost 46%

Loving Bost in a big way brother.

Thanks ETZ I love this play tonight just like I told AX a while back. Thanks ETZ really appreciate your effort. GL pal

 

[grindstone]

Stepping out see you guys a little later on.


GLTA :sadwave:

 

[VegasAce21]

hey Ax, pick looks solid. CHA has owned the LAL 7-1 L8 n took out Kobe w their D and LAL a bit tired towards end of road trip and expending alotta emotion in big initial road wins and L to ATL. couple of ?....what your take on the C's U bein that both are very good D teams (both in top 5 in ppg allowed) n its comin up on playoffs? 2nd, howz bout the side on LAL 2 nite only -7 and losing 2 in a row, and on last game of roadie. need one good dubya to get the bad taste outta their mouth n go home on a pos note.....

 

[VegasAce21]

ps...i can do some queries but not sure how to do win % etc. can you do a querie for elite teams (BOS) playing other teams <.500 (.400?, ie CHA) after the <.400 team beat another elite team SU and on back end of B2B? that querie should work for both BOS vs CHA tonight and LAL vs MIL...thanks, and youve probably already done this i just havent seen it posted...

 

[burnetto57]

burnetto57

burnetto57

Playoff - Situational objectives: How much do we think this fits into L 8 or so games in terms of how they approach each game. Example (seeing their both playin tonite and some of us have a 'homer play on 1).

Bost: currently 56-19, #3 seed, wud play Philly #6 who they have beaten 3-0 TSeason and play one more time on 4/14. Additionally: Bost can only influence seed 3 or Orl's seed 2(Orl 55-18).

Bost remaining games: V.CHA 4/1; V. MIA 4/3; V.NJ 4/8; V. MIA 4/10; @Cleve 4/12; @Philly 4/14, V. Wash 4/15 (4 @H in a row - not exactly grueling)

Orlando: Currently #2 seed (1 game seperate them fron Bost) - they would currently play Detroit, whom they r 0-3 against T Season

Orl remaining games: V. Tor 4/1; V.Cleve 4/3; @ Atl 4/4; @ Houst 4/7; V. Memph 4/8; V.NYK 4/10; @NJ 4/11; @ milw 4/13; V. CHA 4/15 ( a bit more grueling w/ travel) Like Bost, they cannot catch Cleve#1(unlikely) nor can they loose seed to ATL#4 :shrug:

 

[snuss]

You still in the area??

Moved over the border to Salem but I go to school at University of Wisconsin

 

[JBrilman]

:mj07: ETZ, I'll send you the doc, you'll appreciate the graphs and tables...

Ax,

thanks for the email. Guess I read right past the joke...Haha

Please shoot me the doc mentioned above as well please.

tonights card

Bos -7.5 (planet hollywood here i come...)
Tor +9.5
LAC U 194

 

[Joe_Vienna]

ps...i can do some queries but not sure how to do win % etc.

To query on a team?s win-loss fraction for the current season, use:
tA(W)

To query on the opponent?s win-loss fraction for the current season, use:
oA(W)

example:
tA(W)>=0.600

But I don't know how to do the rest, sorry!!
BOL!

 

[PickNPop]

Believe that Domenech relies on Tarot cards or something to that effect; given to a full litany of superstitions that would make those held by sports gamblers pale in comparison.

Je pense non - think that Zidane still is loosely affiliated w/ Real; not sure if he resides in Spain or France, but may very well allow his prodigious son to represent Espagne. If you've ever been to Marseille, you know it's really North Africa in disguise anyway - complete w/ hotels boasting names like "The Sphinx" - and replicas of vintage postcards trumpeting the southern port city as the gateway to Africa.

Yeah some fortune telling madness. Personally if I was on the FFF board I'd have canned him as soon as I heard that. Not sure how anyone can take him seriously.

Well it's one thing to let your kid play for Real, one of the biggest clubs in the world, but that doesn't mean he can't play for France internationally right?

Ireland equalized late to send my parlays down the drain. Although to be fair, media reports indicate that Pazzini's sending off was quite harsh.....Oh well.

 

[PickNPop]

Saw a poster across the street mention it and I queried it.

team=Raptors and site=away and date>20090217

My Craptors have given up over 100 points in every road game post ASB. Should the not-under be considered for this game???

 

[LookKaPyPy]

No need for queries to consider it. Raptors are non-under team nowaday, they've given up on the D and started to run. With Howard post there is pretty much no way they make something happen inside -> perimeter shooting. Magic may try to slow down the pace due to their clash with Cavs next, but they oughta get some solid good looks. Both teams like to shoot 3s. Seems like a relaxed highscoring game

 

[M__J]

Found a few eyebrow raisers that point to ORL -9.5 as the play...

TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.

TORONTO is 5-15 ATS vs. a team with a record over .500

ORLANDO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

ORLANDO is 14-6 ATS coming home after a road game

The total for this game should be north of 200, and with ORL striving to hold of BOS for the 2nd spot in the east, expect a strong showing from Dwight Howard and the magic.

No backdoor cover in play here. Magic Roll.

 

[JBrilman]

Saw a poster across the street mention it and I queried it.

team=Raptors and site=away and date>20090217

My Craptors have given up over 100 points in every road game post ASB. Should the not-under be considered for this game???

VERY INTERESTING ON THE NOT UNDER ORL/TOR...

AX,

you have 187 on Clips, your 3 possession cushion is there and this to support it si I ask why no play on the CLIPS UNDER?

t:team=Clippers and site=home and 100.*tp:assists/tp:field goals made<50 and 100.*tpp:assists/tpp:field goals made<50 and tpp:season=season and 20031115<=date

 

[40seven]

I need some help please.

I need some help please.

I show the Public on the Nets.

Can someone help me know for sure!


Thanks

 

[PickNPop]

No need for queries to consider it. Raptors are non-under team nowaday, they've given up on the D and started to run. With Howard post there is pretty much no way they make something happen inside -> perimeter shooting. Magic may try to slow down the pace due to their clash with Cavs next, but they oughta get some solid good looks. Both teams like to shoot 3s. Seems like a relaxed highscoring game

What are the parameters of lookahead games exactly? I see everyone mentioning the Cavs when they talk about the Magic today but these two don't match up until Friday? If it was tomorrow I'd understand...

 

[bleedingpurple]

AXP

AXP

I don't know how others feel, but it would be nice if you could have a thread posted with just your plays after you have figured them out... Sometimes I work late anddon't have to get throught this thread...

 

[JBrilman]

I don't know how others feel, but it would be nice if you could have a thread posted with just your plays after you have figured them out... Sometimes I work late anddon't have to get throught this thread...

This thread is for discussion of picks, not to be used as a blind following tool, if it is used that way, the least you could do is read it...

SO NO I DON'T FEEL THAT WAY:director: