NBA WED 051309 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

[grindstone]

Here are the lastest public #'s

Dall/Denv

Bet # 34329
Spread
Denv 72%
Dall 28%


Total
51% Over
49% Under

Now


Spread
Denv 67%
Dall 33%


Total
46% Over
54% Under

SOME LATE MONEY COMING ON DALL AND THE UNDER

 

[grindstone]

There have been 16 quarters of bball played. Only 5 of those quarters have had fewer than 53 pts scored. 7 quarters have totaled 58 or higher.

These two teams love to score. You just have to watch out for one slow quarter that kills the over for the whole game. With that said, I have a parlay on the Den -5.5 1H/Over 107.5 1H. I am leaning over for the FG but have not locked in anything just yet.

HEY JOE ANYTHING LOCKED IN???

 

[grindstone]

Locked up Over 212

GLTA

 

[joe_shmoe]

HEY JOE ANYTHING LOCKED IN???

Sorry GS, just saw this.

I think I basically have the same plays as everyone else... I locked in a big play on Den -8.5 last night, added Den -3 1Q, Den -5.5 1H.

I have a parlay on Den -5.5 1H/over 107.5.

Lastly, I have small plays on Denver in EVERY Quarter and the Over in every quarter. I think I lose the juice in a bad scenario but more likely, I'll edge out edge out some sort of a win.

 

[grindstone]

Sorry GS, just saw this.

I think I basically have the same plays as everyone else... I locked in a big play on Den -8.5 last night, added Den -3 1Q, Den -5.5 1H.

I have a parlay on Den -5.5 1H/over 107.5.

Lastly, I have small plays on Denver in EVERY Quarter and the Over in every quarter. I think I lose the juice in a bad scenario but more likely, I'll edge out edge out some sort of a win.

That's OK Joe

GL with your plays

 

[ari]

nugs -2 and over 106.5 is my lean - let's hear it

 

[joe_shmoe]

nugs -2 and over 106.5 is my lean - let's hear it

I have the same lines and I'm taking the same plays as you just mentioned. I'm a little nervous on the over as I see a big 4th quarter but could see a slow down in efficiency/effort in the 4th. Still, I would rather have my money on the over than the under the way these two teams are going at each other.

 

[gamecocks207]

2nd half thoughts?? Joe you already got over covered... you think 2nd will go under? :00hour

 

[ari]

I have the same lines and I'm taking the same plays as you just mentioned. I'm a little nervous on the over as I see a big 4th quarter but could see a slow down in efficiency/effort in the 4th. Still, I would rather have my money on the over than the under the way these two teams are going at each other.

Joe et al. - good luck buddy

 

[Truckin']

Have the over for the game

going with Dallas +2.5 for 2nd Half going to wait and maybe get +3

that would be +16.5 or +17 for game I really think they cover the 10 :scared

Back door action :s6:

 

[canuckfan77]

Have the over for the game

going with Dallas +2.5 for 2nd Half going to wait and maybe get +3

that would be +16.5 or +17 for game I really think they cover the 10 :scared

Back door action :s6:

Dallas is demoralized and will quit by the beginning of the 4th. Den -2 is a gift

 

[Eagle123]

DEN cover 1Q, 1H, and FG

Congrate to all brother.

:mj06: :mj06: :mj06:

PS Time to come back from you day off Ax:director:

 

[JBrilman]

Great night guys.

Still got a live teaser with LAL goin for tomorrow.

Leaning Celtics ML and points tomorrow.

Lakers cover EASY 1Q, 1H and FG

 

[Truckin']

Dallas is demoralized and will quit by the beginning of the 4th. Den -2 is a gift

2nd half never in doubt :00x9

 

[canuckfan77]

that would be +16.5 or +17 for game I really think they cover the 10 :scared

Denver -9.5 never in doubt.

Good call on the 2H though.:00x1

 

[Truckin']

Denver -9.5 never in doubt.

Good call on the 2H though.:00x1

appreciate it

Glad to go 2-0

I like the group of guys we got taking part in these threads. Hopefully it will continue into other sports once the NBA is done.

BOL :mj06:

 

[canuckfan77]

appreciate it

Glad to go 2-0

I like the group of guys we got taking part in these threads. Hopefully it will continue into other sports once the NBA is done.

BOL :mj06:

I completely agree.